IT'S been a long week and with a ridiculous amount of work and my beloved Bury's demise, I've had better times for sure -it's not the world's best post but it's certainly a game that may pique the interest of any Night Owls out there…
ATLÉTICO NACIONAL VS. DEPORTES TOLIMA
In brief, this one could come down to home form but a recent and relevant H2H record indicates there may be value.
I find that the Colombian games are priced very broadly and by that I mean, I'm not sure it's a league and country that traders have truly gotten to grips with.
Prices for goals tend to be appealing unless there is a really solid favourite and this is the case here – I won't go into stats but it's a fixture that sees two similar teams and so, like the Brasilian B and C ‘tiers', it seems to be a case of setting overs at a decent premium.
Yes, this is a cup game but given Nacional's recent home form (scored 5-3-4-3) and the fact that the previous 5 H2H's within a 13 month period all saw scorelines of 2-1 or 1-2, I sense there may be mileage in taking on a late Colombian line:
- Over 2.5 goals
(23/20, bet365) ⭐⭐
Best of luck 😉