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Well, after a fairly average Cheltenham Festival with a winner with Stumptown and many horses placing it was nice to bounce back with a couple of wins on the normal thread.
Continuance managed to tough it out on the front end under a good ride from 10lb claimer Freddie Keighley. I was concerned throughout the first half of the race as the horse didn't look to be settled, but it didn't mean much as the horse was just too well handicapped with the claimer on board, as well as his jumping being extremely good apart from one mistake.
Milan Forth landed the second winner of the day over at Down Royal and if I'm honest I didn't get to see much of the race as the signal on my phone was horrendous at the time and the picture quality was not the greatest. From the commentary, it seemed that my selection cruised through the race and managed to battle past the leader who tried to hang in there after jumping two from home.
Hopefully, some of you managed to be on the pair, and if you were lucky enough to have faith in me and put them in a double it paid around 16/1.
Rizzel's tips
De Tellers Fortune 7/4 – Wetherby 3.35
Just a heads up, I do apologise for sticking up a couple of shorter-priced horses for Tuesday's racing, but I thought the chances of both horses were very strong…
My first selection of the day is De Tellers Fortune who is one of two rare runners at Wetherby from the Nicky Henderson stable. It probably is a bit of a concern that Nico isn't making the trip up to Wetherby, but I prefer James Bowen anyway, so it's a positive in my eyes. I had this race between the two horses towards the bottom of the weights and Kelce was my idea of the main threat to the selection. I was thinking about tipping the reverse forecast, but I decided against that and went for the Henderson horse.
The main reason for picking De Tellers Fortune over Kelce was Nicky Henderson's record at this track, especially with chasers. Nicky has been training for a very long time but has only sent 33 horses for chase races at today's venue, which has seen him win 10 of them, which is a strike rate of 30%. If you go even further and put that in the last five years he is 4/6 (67% strike rate).
This horse has only been seen over fences on two occasions, so is obviously very unexposed in this sphere and I think the return to good ground is something which will see him back in the winner's enclosure. He managed to win on his chase debut when giving away 12lbs to the runner-up at Taunton after a 211 day absence. Last time out he was pulled up, but that was on soft ground, which the trainer said didn't suit him, and when you look at his previous runs over hurdles, you can't argue with that statement. He was a winner over hurdles on good ground and a PTP winner on the same surface. The form of the win at Taunton looks solid, as the runner-up has since won on his next start and then finished 3rd behind Yes Day, who is a horse that I've always felt is well-handicapped.
Bois Guillbert 6/4 – Wetherby 2.30
The second and final selection of Tuesday is the top weight Bois Guillbert who is making his second chase start for the Lucinda Russell stable.
This race could chuck up a weird result as you have the likes of Do Your Job who is very well handicapped on form from years ago, and Geryville is a very capable horse, but is extremely inconsistent. I thought the safest option was my selection who is unexposed at the trip and as a chaser.
This race could be muddling in terms of the pace as there doesn't appear to be an out-and-out front runner who will set a frantic pace. I did have reservations about the trip for Bois Guillbert as he has been kept to shorter trips and when he did try this trip over hurdles he didn't run too well, but when I thought about the pace, it could be set up for my fancy who clearly has the pace over shorter and if they don't go a good gallop, he could burn past these.
Micks Jet is a useful mare but seems to be on a tough mark and has been running over slightly further, and her latest win was over today's C&D but on a much slower surface. William Cody is a horse that I've felt isn't as good as his current rating, and he hasn't exactly looked like returning to the winner's enclosure in recent runs.
GambleAware
5:25 Wolverhampton- Kento 7/2
2:00 wetherby- treasured company 6/1
Kento saves the day at a drift of 4/1
The Long Point 4.27 Exeter 9/4
Official going report for Exeter Good, good to firm ( in places).
This is exactly what connections have been waiting for with this one today. Really comes to himself this time of year. He’s been bouncing at home really full of himself. This galloping track with the uphill finish will bring out the best of him for sure.
Really intelligent type, knows what he’s meant to be doing. Can be really slick over hurdles. Definitely one for chasing as he’s a big range type but they will get a couple of wins over hurdles first.
Unexposed over hurdles having only the three runs, open to stacks of improvement. Has some decent form already considering it’s taken awhile to get him up to scratch. If you look back to his PTP run at the back end of 2023 you’ll see he was only beaten a neck by Grade 1 winner Potters Charm. Jarrive De Mee finishing 3 lengths further back who is unbeaten under rules.
Expected this to open around 5/4. Shocked they went 9/4 and that’s still available this morning. Expecting the money to come for this or the layers are going to be getting their fingers burnt.
Barring accidents this lovely gelding wins today and will be one to keep an eye out for when sent chasing.
That’s my only bet today. Have a Harry Derham runner I’m waiting for later in the week. All the best gentleman + ladies of course.
Wolverhampton 8.00 Causin A Comotion 4/1
Nice work
Gallileo glass 6.30w 12-1
Heavenly fire 7.00w 14-1
Young fire 7.30w 12-1
Woodway whisperr 8.00w 25-1
Pysanka 8.30w 9-1
Ew singles & ew lucky31☘️☘️gl all
Le ligerian 3-17 Exeter 11-10 top 2 finish bet365
Coleenymore 3-52 Exeter 9-4 HILLS.
Night duty 4-17 Exeter 6-4 top 3 finish betfred …NAP…🏇
In the 3-17 exeter the favourite stoners choice has been declared a non runner, meaning my bet went 4-9 and as odds on are unofficially banned here I’ve gone la ligerian to win at 11-8 instead bet365
La ligaren and cooleymore both stuffed.
The NAP night duty paid out and in fact won his race but I was on place only and overall incurred a slight loss, given the level of races today it could have been worse.
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Notice hibee1 posted today, I’ll leave it there but all I’ll say is beware such lavish write ups on low grade racing where horses are reliably unreliable.
Good write up though….
ballynoe boy 4.45 well done all winners yesterday and today
manyana blue 4.55
There’s definitely 1 person full of themselves and it’s not the horse 🤣🤣🤣
Beat by 35 lengths 🤦♂️🤦♂️
Inside info my ar$e 🤣🤣
I believe he’s an influencer, someone who posts this stuff to try and artificially alter markets by posting on sites like this hoping those who need money follow blindly.
The giveaway is the layout and content of his posts
It’s more or less the same except the horses name etc
100% Elvis he posts 2 different ways
1 he will come on saying he’s on gambled horses at far bigger prices alot of these go into odds on if they win he looks good but we all know he’s not on the 1st price starting the gamble.
2nd way he picks out favs/2nd favs posting alot of bullsh/t like he’s in the know. Nowadays it takes pennies to heavily move markets on small races 1 horse being hammered in means the horse he probably wants to win goes out in the betting.
Either way it’s all bullshIt and taking the piss out of folk on here that don’t know better just desperate for a little extra money.
In a totally unrelated matter, Harry Derham has just announced he has withdrawn all his intended runners for the next few days 🤔
In another UN related matter ! I’ve become addicted to drinking pickling vinegar out the jar !