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Tarboosh looked the likely winner entering the final furlong, but he didn't quite pick up the way you'd expect, and eventually finished 3rd in a close finish. I imagine that was down to the weight he was carrying. If they were all on equal weights, I think it would've been a different result.
When I first opened the odds up for this race I was expecting QUEENIE NEWALL to be around 6/4, so the fact she is 11/4 at the time of writing is a big bonus, as I think with natural progression from her first to second run, she should be hard to beat.
On debut she was very slow away out of the gates, and that instantly put her on the back foot and pretty much ended her chances of winning. She managed to settle in midfield on the rail, but that was too far back as the horses from the front managed to kick on around the home bend and the front three who were positioned well pulled clear. Despite this, Queenie Newall was definitely an eye-catching runner back in fourth, as she was making up good ground late in the race, and it did appear she had a little bit of ability. Connections of Queenie Newall were obviously expecting a decent run on debut as she was backed into joint favourite, and when that happens from this yard they don't often get it wrong, so I'd expect a better run this time.
Her pedigree suggests this step up in trip to 10f will see her in a better light, as she is out of an unraced mare who is a full-sister to a horse called Migwar, who was a placed horse at Group 2 level over 12f, so you'd expect this filly to stay further in time. My only slight concern is the ground, which will be rattling quick at the time of racing. She has only raced once, which was on the AW. Her Sire was best on soft ground, and Migwar who I stated earlier, was also best on a slow surface.
Just Jacob is the favourite at the time of writing, but I don't rate his form. I think the main danger is Sarood, who holds Bashful on collateral form based on the form lines of Charging Thunder, who was behind Sarood, but beat Bashful.
To see TWILIGHT SONG dropped 1lb for his most recent run seems a bit bizarre, as that was a good effort behind a horse who has won again since, and I'd like to imagine the second horse will have a very good chance in her run which she contests in the next couple of days.
This horse is now rated 61 after being dropped the 1lb, and that isn't a big drop in the weights, but it will definitely be a help for this horse who is starting to look well handicapped. He finished 6th in a Class 2 handicap last year off a mark of 75, and was 2.25 lengths behind the winner that day. He is now 14lbs lower than he was for that run, and this is a drop in class from what he has been racing in. This is the first time he has competed in a Class 6 race, and I'd expect him to find this much easier. He appears to be much better on fast ground than any other, so the fact that the ground is described as Good To Firm will be a big plus for this lad.
I'd imagine his main rival in this race will be Eyes, who seems to travel quite well through his races, but doesn't always seem to find too much for pressure. Whether or not he'll enjoy this step up back to 1m, I'm not so sure, but they've opted for a 3lb claimer to aids his chances. He'd have to run a career best if he wants to beat Twilight Song, in my opinion.
12:35 Ayr - Race: 2
12:43 Worcester - Race: 1
12:50 Cork - Race: 2