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It's not been clicking in the past couple of days, and the unseating of Oodnadatta summed it up, when unshipping Shane Foley when leaving the stalls. Thankfully, it appears that most bookies refunded people who placed a bet on that horse.

Just a word. In rough times where you're finding it hard to back a winner, don't ever feel the need to chase losses, it's never the answer.

Cartmel 1:50

Cartmel is a tricky course, and it's often best to back horses who have course form, as for some reason not all horses take to it. However, three of the horses in the field have won at this track, and another finished a close second. LIFFEYDALE DREAMER has won at this track twice, and was running on strongly when she finished runner-up on the other occasion, where she finished in front of Ever So Much, who she opposes again today.

This 6yo mare, trained by Sam England, seems to relish this track, as her only two career wins have come at this venue. She seems a dour stayer, which is a big bonus, as this field does have question marks about their stamina over this trip of 3m 1f. She beat Aptly Put last time out, who finished third, by 7.5 lengths, and I find it hard to see a reverse in that form despite the fact he is 7lbs better off.

Ever So Much is a crafty horse, owned by JP McManus and trained by Ben Haslam, who both like to land a gamble. This horse is a prolific winner, and acts well at this track, but he did finish behind Lifeydale Dreamer when they met, and the selection was staying on strongly. Ever So Much probably won't enjoy this trip, as he is arguably better over 2m 4f – 6f, so this will be stretching his stamina, whereas Lifeydale Dreamer seems more at home at this trip. There is a 3lb swing in the weights between these, but it would be a surprise if that was to sway it in Ever So Much's favour. The highest mark he has ever won off is 104, which he races off today, and it seems a difficult task to do that at the age of 12, over a trip he's never raced over before.

As for the other horses, Catchmeifyoucan shoulders a big weight, and looks to be the main danger, but that horse was beaten by Sam England's Oksana, so she will know the level of that form. Ballyfarsoon will be a big surprise if he were to win, as he's shown very little, tackles a trip which probably won't suit, and the yard haven't had a winner over the jumps in 347 days.

Both Trainer & Jockey (Sam & Jonathan England) have good records at this track, operating at a 19.51% SR from 41 runners, with a further 8 being placed.

Cartmel 4:10

 LERMOOS LEGEND could put it up to the Cartmel legend, Tonto's Spirit.

Peter Bowen's progressive 6yo landed the hat-trick last time out at Ffos Las, where all three of his wins have come at. That could be a concern, but I don't think the track is the reason for the progression, I'm fairly sure it's due to the ground. This horse has raced on ground with ‘good' in the description (over hurdles or fences) five times, he's won 3 of those, finished second on one occasion, and third on another. The third place you could probably say he needed the run, the time when he finished second was a good run, but got tired late on, and maybe got to the front too soon. He clearly has been appreciating summer racing, so the new course isn't a worry for me, the step up in grade is the biggest danger for him. He's raced in Class 5's for all of his wins, this is a big jump into Class 3 company, but for doing so, he gets in at the bottom of the weights, which should give him a huge chance.

Tonto's Spirit will attract market support, due to the good form he is in, but also because he is going for a record equaling seventh win at the track. He will put up a big fight, but the top weight might catch him out in the last furlong or so, when being taking on by the progressive Lermoos Legend, who should have more to come.

Peter Bowen loves sending runners to this track, and he has a good record when doing so. He's operated at a 23% SR in the last five years at Cartmel, which equals a profit of +26.84 to a level £1 stake.

Cartmel 4:45

DRESSEDFORSUCCESS has a weird profile compared to your average jumps horse, as it looks like he was never meant to be used under rules, and more of a PTP horse. James Latham owns this horse, and trained this horse until the last race, where he was transferred to James Moffatt. He won easily over this course and distance last time out, winning by 9 lengths. The time before that, he won over 2m 5f, at Cartmel, which was a good run, as that trip was probably not enough of a stamina test.

As I mentioned before, this horse was predominantly used as a PTP horse, where he was doing quite well, winning the occasional race and being placed in others, until they won the 2m 5f race at Cartmel, and James probably thought he has a decent horse on his hands here. He was given a mark of 103 for his handicap debut, at that point he was transferred to a proper trainer, James Moffatt, who sent him back to Cartmel, where he won easily. I get the feeling the switch to James' yard is a signal of intent that they think this horse could be much better than a PTP horse, and much better than a current mark of 113 (was raised 10lbs for recent win). This race has probably been in mind since being transferred to this yard, as James is a local trainer to Cartmel, and is one of the leading trainers at the course. Charlotte Jones take the ride, and takes off a very handy 5lbs. She is a cracking 5lb claimer, and for a claimer her strike rate is phenomenal. Over the last five years, she has been operating at a 18% SR, and this season she is operating at a 28% SR.

A horse to take note of is Dr Robin for Peter and Sean Bowen who won this race in its last renewal, so I'd expect a big run from that horse.

Related Topic: Racing Tips
12:00 Market Rasen - Race: 1
Distance: 2m 4f 139y
Type: Hurdle
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
3
Moonamacaroona
311-

4
On My Command
4/16224-

1
Glimpse Of Gala
2737-F1

2
Gerritzen
5536

5
Hoorayforhannah
84457

12:20 Catterick - Race: 1
Distance: 7f 6y
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
3
Moonamacaroona
311-

4
On My Command
4/16224-

1
Glimpse Of Gala
2737-F1

2
Gerritzen
5536

5
Hoorayforhannah
84457

12:25 Ascot - Race: 1
Distance: 1m 7f 209y
Type: Flat
Class: 1
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
9
Trueshan
11-2611

8
Stradivarius
0-14112

3
Hamish
3112/4-1

1
Baron Samedi
11-1153

12
The Mediterranean
244232

2
Berkshire Rocco
2421-22

7
Roberto Escobarr
6-51462

11
Tashkhan
191255

4
Master Of Reality
10-2510

6
Nicholas T
050300

5
Morando
436934

10
Princess Zoe
4-94225

18 Comments
  1. elvis parsley 3 months ago

    Maggie’s joy 1-00 Ayr
    11-1 ew and 100-30 top 2 finish.

    Poets magic 2-45 Ayr 3-1

    Tilsit 3-55 Ayr
    10-1 ew and 5-4 top 4 finish

    Framley Garth 4-30 Ayr 3-1 top 2 finish

    Snowed in 5-15 cartmel
    11-1 ew 4 places and 2-1 top 4 finish.

    3
    • postman 3 months ago

      Poets magic 💰

      1
    • elvis parsley 3 months ago

      Cheers, Tilsit just came 3rd at 20-1 😬

      1
  2. uncle pom 3 months ago

    -6pt

    Ayr
    13:00
    Maggies joy 11/1 1 pt win

    15:20
    Marries diamond 3/1 1pt win

    3
    • elvis parsley 3 months ago

      Marie’s diamond 👍🏇

  3. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    All the woods !

    Windsor 5:35 crest wood – 7/2

    Windsor 6:05 woodcock – 9/1

    Beverley 6:15 burton wood 15/2

  4. postman 3 months ago

    Morning all hope you had a great weekend and took note of my mention on my each way punt Mehmo …

    “had nothing more than a pipe opener entered 17th at Doncaster”

    WON 7/1

    Moving on to today
    3:20 Ayr – Shelir ***NAP5/2***
    4:45 Cartmel – Dressedforsuccess **NB** 11/8
    5:45 Beverley – Flyingdale *each way punt* 11/1

    In other news the BBC Panorama broadcast called entitled ‘The Dark Side of Horse Racing’ won’t be a easy watch tonight.

    GL

    1
    • elvis parsley 3 months ago

      Horses slaughtered when they are deemed too expensive to keep due to age and some casas just not being good at their job.
      Shocking stuff but doesn’t surprise me.
      I imagine some owners can’t be arsed rehoming them and they will say it’s simpler to slaughter the poor animals.
      Hope they name and shame them tonight

      2
  5. MattECFC 3 months ago

    Mi capricho 2:10 Ayr

  6. ew thief 3 months ago

    Afternoon all
    Amazing Alba 1.35a 7-1
    Lagenda 2.10a 16-1
    Call me ginger 2.45a 10-1
    Mericourt 3.55a 10-1
    Firlinfeu 4.30a 15-2
    Ew singles & ew lucky31☘️☘️Gl all

    7
  7. Love 3 months ago

    Ayr 3.55 Tommy g 4/1
    Ayr 2.45 la rav 20/1 we
    Bet 365
    Gl.

  8. jimba 3 months ago

    4.45 William of orange 12/1 Cartmel 12/1 e/way.
    GL🍀

    1
  9. ourwullie 3 months ago

    💥 Top stuff again Rizzel 💥

    • elvis parsley 3 months ago

      Aye, as meat loaf said “2 out of 3 ain’t bad”
      Well done rizzles

      2
  10. elvis parsley 3 months ago

    Golden twilight 7-25 ballinrobe 33-1 ew extra 5 places.

    Colonial love 8-10 Windsor
    33-1 ew
    16-1 ew extra 6 places.

  11. elvis parsley 3 months ago

    Casilli 8-20 Beverley 2-1 🏇NAP.
    2 from 3 at this course, the other was a class 4, back to class 5 today.
    Win at Ripon and good 2nd at Donny recently too, has been consistent this year, 3lb claimer will help too…

  12. recoba 3 months ago

    Not so good last night in the USA with 1/4 in my Yankee. 👎

    Trixie and a single for tonight..

    Finger Lakes-R4…No Stone Unturned 9/4(***)
    R7..American Revolution 6/5
    Fort Erie-R7…Money Matters. 2/1
    Bet365

    GL all 🇺🇸🐎

    2
    • recoba 3 months ago

      Ach!
      Should have stuck with American Revolution as my single but went for a price as there’s also a R4 in his race at 6/5

      Ye know I’m going to take it but!! 😉🙈

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