This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.

It was a short-priced winner on Wednesday, but a win is a win and I'll take that from the all-weather on a surface I'm not too fond of and definitely my weakest point in racing.

Touching on the winner from yesterday I thought Brandon Wilki showed plenty of skill from an apprentice. His mount was pulling for the first half of the race and you see many pro jockeys just taking a pull for the entire race and the horse has nothing left in the tank when they ask for an effort, so for Brandon to think sack that and to bring his horse to the front with around 6f to go made it a fantastic ride. The horse was strongly supported into odds-on, but if it wasn't for that move mid-race, it was not going to win.

Market Rasen 1:40 – Shighness 11/1 (0.5pt EW, most bookies)

On a going day, Shighness is a more than capable mare and can win races like this, she can be a bit in and out with her form but she runs Market Rasen well and I think she could be on a decent mark of 110 on just her second start over fences.

She was pitched into a very tough race on chase debut at Carlisle, but it was nothing more than public schooling for Micky Hammond's 6yo. Brian Hughes kept her at the back of the field, got her jumping the fences, which she did nicely, albeit under no pressure, and just gave her a good spin round which would've been a nice prep run for the season with that being her reappearance run.

She is 2/4 at Market Rasen and did her winning in slightly lower company last year, but she wasn't discredited when bumping into a couple of clearly well-handicapped horses at Haydock. The winner Sacre Coeur has won two chase races since being transferred to Dan Skelton and the runner-up Apple Away has gone on to win a Grade 1 at the Aintree Grand National meeting, so if you take the form literally, which isn't the best idea, it looks fairly solid. She is a mare who handles ease in the ground so the forecast rain isn't going to be a problem and I thought she could run a nice race at a decent enough price.

Market Rasen 2:15 – Hokelami 4/1 (1pt, Bet365)

In a race of this nature, I don't think it'll take much for a chase debutante to come in and win, so I'm taking a chance on Hokelami.

This horse was once trained by Olly Murphy but was bought out of that yard when he won a seller and David Brace bought him, but instead of training this horse himself, he sent it to Robbie Llewellyn, who is a very good up-and-coming trainer based in Wiltshire. He was strongly fancied on his first run for the yard just three weeks after being bought and went off 9/4F at Stratford, he appeared to have gotten tired late on in that race, but he has been a free-going horse in the past so that might've been the reason why.

For his chase debut connections have decided to put him up to 2m 6f which is a big jump from his usual 2.2/3f, but they send him to a track in which Robbie Llewellyn is 1/1, which came earlier this season from a 12/1 shot. This horse jumps hurdles like fences, so I think he'll take to chasing perfectly fine, he handles the ground and can tend to jump out to the right, so this right-handed track will also suit. To combat his keen goingness they've reached for the first time hood which is the first time this horse has ever had equipment, and that might be the key to unlock further ability.

Market Rasen 2:50 – Found On 3/1 (1pt, Bet365)

I will always have a bit of a soft spot for Found On since she won for me at Cheltenham last October. On paper, if the short-priced Skelton horse is on point and ready to fire on her first start in 216 days this will be a tough ask, but I think Found On can definitely put it up to her and if she's not 100% she can definitely win this race.

Martin Keighley's 8yo mare is 2/2 at Market Rasen and takes the step into Class 1 company for just the 3rd time. She has disappointed in her two previous tries at this level and was in a race which was won by today's favourite, but I think you can excuse her for those runs. She went off 11/10F for the race Galia Des Liteaux won at Bangor, but for the life of me I can't understand how that even happened as that was over 2m and she is never a 2m horse. On her other attempt at Class 1 company, she was just terrible and far too bad to be true so she deserves another chance at this level.

She might not be up to this class, and she might be a horse who can carry decent weights in handicaps or is just a very good handicapper, but I think there's more to come from her. She has been mainly kept to good ground, and everyone seems to think she is just a summer horse or a good ground horse, but I don't see her like that. Her knee action looks like a soft ground horse and she won a PTP on soft ground, so I think you can take a chance on her handling today's ground. Her jumping is her best weapon, and she likes to run from the front, so if she gets into a nice rhythm around this track which she seems to really enjoy, she could take some pegging back. I think she'll stay the trip at this grade as she stays on very strongly over shorter and has won over today's trip before.

Tweed Skirt was a tip of mine a couple of weeks ago at Fakenham when she was trying 3m for the first time, she has to be a danger in this race, but on all known form she has to take a decent step up even though she is likely to be racing against just two others. She did finish 3rd in a race that Found On was PU in, but like I said, I don't think that was a true showing.

Sedgefield 12:15 – La Referi 33/1 (0.5pt EW, PaddyPower)

I have serious doubts that Sedgefield will go ahead due to further rain landing on soft ground, but on the chance that it goes ahead I'm taking a wild punt on La Referi.

I don't look at the odds when doing the write-up, so I'm hoping that he is going to be stupidly big odds as he has shown next to nothing in all four of his hurdle races to date, but I imagine he might be shorter than what I expect when I go to look as Nigel Hawke is sending two runners to Sedgefield on an 11-hour journey from Devon up to the North East of England, and on paper both should have no chance, but I think this is the one to be on if you're going for a bet on either.

Nigel doesn't tend to waste his chances when sending his horses on big treks like he has done with La Referi today, he is operating at a 20% SR from 35 runners at this track and the owners of this horse have only sent one runner to Sedgefield which has resulted in a win. Tom Buckley doesn't ride much these days, the reason for that I'm not sure, but he goes up to Sedgefield for this ride and doesn't ride the other Nigel Hawke horse, yet he is the stable jockey, so this must be the one they are travelling for.

You're going to have to take a leap of faith with this one, as he has shown nothing in his runs, but they've given him a wind-op and it just seems ridiculous for them to travel all this way to a track Nigel does well at to come away empty-handed.

Horse Racing Tips
Shighness
Market Rasen - 1:40 pm

11/1 @ PaddyPower

Hokelami
Market Rasen - 2:15 pm

4/1 @ Bet365

Found On
Market Rasen - 2:50 pm

3/1 @ Bet365

La Referi
Sedgefield - 12:15 pm

33/1 @ PaddyPower

30 Comments
  1. hibee1 5 months ago

    Picks Lad 1.40 Market Rasen 7/2 tomorrow

    Olly Murphy record with chasers this season is 2 wins from 28 , 7% strike rate which made me put a line through the fav even though its just had a wind op and has previous experience ove fences.
    Harry Derham 43 % strike rate with his chasers with 3 from 7. New to the stable from Kim Bailey just a couple of weeks ago. Won over this distance over hurdles in April on last run on the same ground as tomorrow’s. Yard have only ever had 3 runners at Market Rasen with 2 winning and the other placed. Expecting this to see money overnight.

    ***Posted this a few hours ago and the money has come already. Best price 5/2 but generally 9/4

    17
    • spurs55 5 months ago

      Nice cheers recoba ✔️

      4
    • hibee1 5 months ago

      Linda Peratt has a 4 yo entered tomorrow. Henry Hawk over 6f in the apprentice handicap at Wolverhampton. Trainers 4 year olds on the AW are always worth checking out. Last 5 seasons 25 % strike rate. This season 40 % strike rate with 12 winners from 30.
      He’s up 4 lb for his last win over 5 f. The way he lead in the final strides you’d think this step up to 6f could get a bit more improvement from him although he hasn’t won over this trip before.
      Young Tommie Jakes is riding who looks a real promising jockey for the future . He has already ridden the horse twice, winning once on him at Newcastle. His own stats on 4 year olds on the AW are standout as well with a 25% strike rate with 7 wins from 28.
      Worth seeing how they are open up on the prices in this race. Should be around 4 pm today for the opening shows.

      Its the yards only runner at the track as well what must be about a 600 mile trek. 4 winners from their last 6 runners as well shows the stable is in very good form.

      Bet of luck everyone today with your bets

      14
    • hibee1 5 months ago

      Picks Lad now currently 6/5 from 7/2. Always consider covering your stake when these opportunities arise if you’re on at 7/2. You can even lay it in a way that you are guaranteed profit whether it wins or not.

      4
    • Super Wilf 5 months ago

      Now into evens fav

      5
    • hibee1 5 months ago

      Aye Wilf, odds on with a few. I’ve tried to find out where this money has come from but it’s not the usual sources. But then looked at who owns it, it’s OLBG which describes itself as a tipster forum. They were selling shares at £60 a go a few months ago, there were 1750 up for grab so all the money is coming from the syndicate so that’s 1750 punters who would have their money on so I’d just tread carefully. Im more than happy to be on at 7/2 and 3/1 and will likely lay some of stake off, but there’s no way I’d back it at the current odds.

      3
    • hibee1 5 months ago

      Would have been 1750 long faces if that had been beaten ☹☹😅 County Enclosure probably would have got trashed lol

      4
    • lossie jim 5 months ago

      Great stuff again hibee1, managed to get 2/1, away to Tenerife tomorrow, that’s a good few drinks and food sorted for the first couple of days.👍

      4
    • hibee1 5 months ago

      Ah you’re welcome Jim. Have a good one.

  2. spurs55 5 months ago

    spurs55
    18 mins ago
    back on song again…ihope!!

    Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way
    W
    2. Savvy Knight
    6/1

    W
    11. First Company
    12/1 16/1

    ?????????????????????????????????????????

    and
    Lucky 15 (x30) Each Way
    P
    13. Geremia
    7/1 9/1

    W
    11. First Company
    12/1 16/1

    ??????????????????????????????????

    now a long wait until 12.15 race tomorrow

    night night

    2
  3. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    1:40 market rasen – O’Connell – 10/1 e/w

    3
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      3:31 market rasen – Ithaka 11/1 e/w

      1
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      3:51 market rasen – high grounds 9/1

      E/w treble hopefully get a bit of place money to feed the hookers !!!

      1
    • hibee1 5 months ago

      Great ew call @ 20/1. Hope you did the reverse F.C

      1
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      No sadly not or I would be licking out a hooker by now !

  4. recoba 5 months ago

    🇦🇺
    Bunbury -Race 8….Bobsled 16/1 Ew 3 places **+

    2
  5. Gateacre Pete 5 months ago

    Baron Wild 3.45 Punc @ 66s ew top 5
    GL

    2
  6. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    harmony grey 10.20 France well done all winners yesterday

    3
  7. theplug 5 months ago

    harmony grey 10.20 France well done all winners yesterday

  8. Rizzel Tips 5 months ago

    Sick as a pig. Nigel Hawke’s other runner wins, was 66/1 10 mins ago. Why would his stable jockey not be on board the winner…

    2
    • hibee1 5 months ago

      Unlucky Rizzle. Good pointing though still , sure someone had a few bob on both his runners after reading your comments

      2
  9. hibee1 5 months ago

    Henery Hawk opens at 10/3. The yard rattled off a four-time with Nazca recently on the AW who is also a 4 yo. I reckon they might think this one tomorrow can possibly do the same or at least one more win. Last 12 four year olds for the yard on the AW has seen 5 winners from them. Might want to see how the other firms price it. Will just be a fairly low stake in all honesty if I do bet. Good luck tomorrow everyone

    3
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Think I might just side with show compassion mainly because billy is the stand out jockey In this bunch but if only it was that simple hey . They are probably fixing the winner behind closed doors as we speak 😂

  10. recoba 5 months ago

    🇬🇧 🇮🇪
    Well done to any winners today I grabbed a few thanks to some above and Recoba (😋)
    in UK and Irish races. 👍

    🇺🇸

    Trebles (x10)
    4 Fold (x5)
    5 Fold (x1)

    Aquaduct -Race 4….Howzyercasflow 11/4 Betfred **** ‘Money back as free bet if 2nd or 3rd’
    Race 5….Commerce Comet 4/1 ***+
    Same of with Betfred as Race 4 ⬆️
    Aquaduct -Race 8….Timely Conquest 6/4
    *Side bet combo forecast = 9-8-7
    Race 9….War Officer 9/4
    Churchill-Race Race 7…Flashy Lass 11/4 ****+
    *Side bet combo forecast = 1 -10- 6

    GL all
    🫡 🇺🇸 👨‍⚖️

    • recoba 5 months ago

      🇺🇸
      Only just noticed Flashy Lass is NR so be favourite now

      Aquaduct -Race 8….Pobalno and 10-3-6.

  11. theplug 5 months ago

    I posted a horse for Cheltenham festival but somehow it posted a horse for France ?

    1
  12. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    8:30 Chelmsford- andarax 33/1 e/w

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      16/1 7 places e/w extra gonna play it that way as well

  13. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    Loved that bit of fake market action on the conqueror 😂

  14. spurs55 5 months ago

    my first dart found

    13

    Slim Marvel

    J: Trevor Ryan(5)
    T: A. Slattery, Ireland
    F: 44-0

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