Racing tips: Found On can trump the odds-on Skelton shot to grab Listed honours

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It was a short-priced winner on Wednesday, but a win is a win and I'll take that from the all-weather on a surface I'm not too fond of and definitely my weakest point in racing.

Touching on the winner from yesterday I thought Brandon Wilki showed plenty of skill from an apprentice. His mount was pulling for the first half of the race and you see many pro jockeys just taking a pull for the entire race and the horse has nothing left in the tank when they ask for an effort, so for Brandon to think sack that and to bring his horse to the front with around 6f to go made it a fantastic ride. The horse was strongly supported into odds-on, but if it wasn't for that move mid-race, it was not going to win.

Market Rasen 1:40 – Shighness 11/1 (0.5pt EW, most bookies)

On a going day, Shighness is a more than capable mare and can win races like this, she can be a bit in and out with her form but she runs Market Rasen well and I think she could be on a decent mark of 110 on just her second start over fences.

She was pitched into a very tough race on chase debut at Carlisle, but it was nothing more than public schooling for Micky Hammond's 6yo. Brian Hughes kept her at the back of the field, got her jumping the fences, which she did nicely, albeit under no pressure, and just gave her a good spin round which would've been a nice prep run for the season with that being her reappearance run.

She is 2/4 at Market Rasen and did her winning in slightly lower company last year, but she wasn't discredited when bumping into a couple of clearly well-handicapped horses at Haydock. The winner Sacre Coeur has won two chase races since being transferred to Dan Skelton and the runner-up Apple Away has gone on to win a Grade 1 at the Aintree Grand National meeting, so if you take the form literally, which isn't the best idea, it looks fairly solid. She is a mare who handles ease in the ground so the forecast rain isn't going to be a problem and I thought she could run a nice race at a decent enough price.

Market Rasen 2:15 – Hokelami 4/1 (1pt, Bet365)

In a race of this nature, I don't think it'll take much for a chase debutante to come in and win, so I'm taking a chance on Hokelami.

This horse was once trained by Olly Murphy but was bought out of that yard when he won a seller and David Brace bought him, but instead of training this horse himself, he sent it to Robbie Llewellyn, who is a very good up-and-coming trainer based in Wiltshire. He was strongly fancied on his first run for the yard just three weeks after being bought and went off 9/4F at Stratford, he appeared to have gotten tired late on in that race, but he has been a free-going horse in the past so that might've been the reason why.

For his chase debut connections have decided to put him up to 2m 6f which is a big jump from his usual 2.2/3f, but they send him to a track in which Robbie Llewellyn is 1/1, which came earlier this season from a 12/1 shot. This horse jumps hurdles like fences, so I think he'll take to chasing perfectly fine, he handles the ground and can tend to jump out to the right, so this right-handed track will also suit. To combat his keen goingness they've reached for the first time hood which is the first time this horse has ever had equipment, and that might be the key to unlock further ability.

Market Rasen 2:50 – Found On 3/1 (1pt, Bet365)

I will always have a bit of a soft spot for Found On since she won for me at Cheltenham last October. On paper, if the short-priced Skelton horse is on point and ready to fire on her first start in 216 days this will be a tough ask, but I think Found On can definitely put it up to her and if she's not 100% she can definitely win this race.

Martin Keighley's 8yo mare is 2/2 at Market Rasen and takes the step into Class 1 company for just the 3rd time. She has disappointed in her two previous tries at this level and was in a race which was won by today's favourite, but I think you can excuse her for those runs. She went off 11/10F for the race Galia Des Liteaux won at Bangor, but for the life of me I can't understand how that even happened as that was over 2m and she is never a 2m horse. On her other attempt at Class 1 company, she was just terrible and far too bad to be true so she deserves another chance at this level.

She might not be up to this class, and she might be a horse who can carry decent weights in handicaps or is just a very good handicapper, but I think there's more to come from her. She has been mainly kept to good ground, and everyone seems to think she is just a summer horse or a good ground horse, but I don't see her like that. Her knee action looks like a soft ground horse and she won a PTP on soft ground, so I think you can take a chance on her handling today's ground. Her jumping is her best weapon, and she likes to run from the front, so if she gets into a nice rhythm around this track which she seems to really enjoy, she could take some pegging back. I think she'll stay the trip at this grade as she stays on very strongly over shorter and has won over today's trip before.

Tweed Skirt was a tip of mine a couple of weeks ago at Fakenham when she was trying 3m for the first time, she has to be a danger in this race, but on all known form she has to take a decent step up even though she is likely to be racing against just two others. She did finish 3rd in a race that Found On was PU in, but like I said, I don't think that was a true showing.

Sedgefield 12:15 – La Referi 33/1 (0.5pt EW, PaddyPower)

I have serious doubts that Sedgefield will go ahead due to further rain landing on soft ground, but on the chance that it goes ahead I'm taking a wild punt on La Referi.

I don't look at the odds when doing the write-up, so I'm hoping that he is going to be stupidly big odds as he has shown next to nothing in all four of his hurdle races to date, but I imagine he might be shorter than what I expect when I go to look as Nigel Hawke is sending two runners to Sedgefield on an 11-hour journey from Devon up to the North East of England, and on paper both should have no chance, but I think this is the one to be on if you're going for a bet on either.

Nigel doesn't tend to waste his chances when sending his horses on big treks like he has done with La Referi today, he is operating at a 20% SR from 35 runners at this track and the owners of this horse have only sent one runner to Sedgefield which has resulted in a win. Tom Buckley doesn't ride much these days, the reason for that I'm not sure, but he goes up to Sedgefield for this ride and doesn't ride the other Nigel Hawke horse, yet he is the stable jockey, so this must be the one they are travelling for.

You're going to have to take a leap of faith with this one, as he has shown nothing in his runs, but they've given him a wind-op and it just seems ridiculous for them to travel all this way to a track Nigel does well at to come away empty-handed.

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