Marty McFly was brilliant at Carlisle and managed to secure the four-timer.
His jumping was a bit sketchy at the beginning of the race. He skied the first two, but when he got into a rhythm under Danny McMenamin, he was very good.
He cruised through the race, and four from home, I was starting to get quite confident. The favourite underperformed again, and it was a two-horse race when jumping the race. It'll be interesting to see if he can progress further.
Moviddy 9/4 (1pt) – Wincanton 4.22
With how the last few days have gone with getting winners, I'm going to keep trusting my gut, and that has taken me to Moviddy for this contest.
I think if Taxus Baccata stays the trip, she is the most likely winner, but at short odds with an unknown of her stamina, you've got to take her on. Unfortunately, there are only three horses against the favourite, and none of them has a compelling argument as to why you should back them.
Moviddy used to be a decent hurdler a few years ago, and was a solid chaser during her debut season. She was placed in a Class 1 race, so I bet they are gutted that her career hasn't been as fruitful as they'd hoped. However, she did win this race last year, which makes it interesting that they've come back to retain their title.
She ran well the time before last, but was painfully bad last time out. I think she needs good ground at this stage of her career, so the run on soft ground last time around isn't anything to worry about. There is no rain at Wincanton, which means the ground should remain as good, which gives her a chance on old pieces of form.
I try to stick to the in-form horses, but with doubts over the other three with the trip, ground or form, she is a strong candidate.
It would be a mistake if they don't try to make the run on her. They did it last year in this race, and it worked a treat. She is running off a 7lb lower handicap mark than she was twelve months ago, so we know she is on a good mark.
GambleAware