THE course this week suits a steady eye off the tee, it's a tree-lined track and with tight fairways. Mistakes are likely and driving accuracy and greens in regulation are the stats to look at this week.
Jon Rahm didn't quite raid the Duty Free last week but was steady enough at 14/1 to get us place value. Big congratulations to Danny Willett in getting over the line for the first time since The Masters and that was actually nice to see.
As long as my selections don't do what I did on Sunday and take 11 shots on a par 3 they will surely stage a challenge to an event which sees Fleetwood, Reed and Garcia all battle for favouritism.
Last year's winning score of -11 means it will be a completely different challenge to the usual birdi fest we're used to so hanging in there could also be key.
My main selection this week is MARCUS KINHULT, the best thing to come out of Sweden since those little hotdogs at Ikea.
The Swede has had a good season with a T5th at the Ryder Cup course and a 12th at the BMW.
He's progressed 120 places up the rankings since the same event last year where he finished 27th with only one bad round. He's a thinker and has a very cool head. He's my pick this week.
Secondly ASHLEY CHESTERS. Chesters was put up by a few tipsters for Valderrama a few weeks back in what is without a doubt a much tougher test than this but the course will suit his eye and for that reason he's put up by the Slice.
Last but not least, the Italian-sounding ice-cream seller CLEMENT SORDET is our wildcard at 200/1.
Even though he's French it's a great name. Aside from that, Clement is seen up there after many first rounds and is streaky to say the least.
If he can cut out the mistakes he could spring a surprise at huge odds. A 10th-placed finish in the event last year bodes well for at least a place.
Finally I couldn't finish without saying how excited I am to see VICTOR DUBUISSON playing this week. He's around the 80/1 mark and I will make a small play on him.
It's his first tournament since April and it's so good to see him back. I don't think he will win or place hence not putting him up for selection but hopefully he stays injury free and gets some form behind him.
- Marcus Kinhult 50/1 (Skybet – 6 Places 1/5 Odds) 3pts e/w
- Ashley Chesters 80/1 (Skybet – 6 Places 1/5 Odds) 1.5pts e/w
- Clement Sordet 200/1 (Bet365) 0.5pts e/w
Good luck and keep it within limits