THIS week is the culmination of the PGA Tour Championships for the Fed-Ex Cup at the East Lake GC in Atlanta … and it looks like it’s going to be a thriller.

The East Lake has been the permanent home of this competition since 2004 and since 1998 there is only one person who has won it more than once – Phil Mickelson (2000 and 2009). The Tour Championship has in the past thrown up winners who were not an obvious selection, such as Billy Horschel, Brandt Snedeker, Bill Haas, and Camillo Villegas.

Will this week be another surprise winner? I don’t think so. The top of the field is so strong and the way new world No.1 Jason Day is playing he will be a hot favourite and be hard to beat.

Jordan Spieth is getting his mojo back after two missed cuts and Rory McIlroy with his T4 last week is back in good form after his ankle injury. It would be great if they finished 1-2-3 in any order.

Day is a best 7-2 at Paddy Power, McIlroy 13-2 at Betfred and Spieth 9-1 at Betfred. As most people know I prefer to take bigger prices each-way although one of my choices in the 11-1 fifth favourite.

My first pick is Justin Rose. With six top 20s in his last seven outings and no worse than a sixth in his last three starts at East Lake the Englishman arrives with solid form. He is ninth in GIR with 70.70%, eighth in strokes gained:tee to green and if his putter is working there is no reason why he can't be up there at the finish.

Rickie Fowler has come into some great form recently with four top-10s from six, including winning the Deutsche Bank Championship when my tip Henrik Stenson went swimming on the 70th hole. With GIR just below 70% and driving accuracy around 68% in the past two tournaments his game seems to be on the way back. He hasn’t scored more than 69 in his last two outings and should improve on his eighth-placed finish here last year.

Zach Johnson has been up and down a bit since winning The Open at St Andrews but has played solid golf over the last few weeks. At the weekend he came storming back with a seven-under 64 after a third-round 72. With driving accuracy of 71.37% (7th), GIR of 68.34% and 13th in strokes gained:tee to green he definitely has the ability. Since East Lake changed to Bermuda grass he’s had mixed results here but I think that will change this week.

My final pick is Matt Kuchar, who since the US Open (T12) every alternate week has had a top-10 finish. As he had a bad week last week he should do well at East Lake (hell of a way to pick a winner I know). He hasn’t won this year and if he fails to win this weekend it will be the first time since 2011 he has failed to collect a Tour event title. That could just spur him on and with GIR and driving accuracy in the mid 60s and putting average of 1.732 (10th) he could just surprise a few.

Over on the European Tour the Porsche European Open is being played at the Bad Griesbach resort in Germany. It took me a long time to make my selection with this one but I am leaning toward Maximilian Kieffer. The 25-year-old German has hit some sort of form over the past couple of weeks and he got his maiden Tour win in his home country.

Tour Championship

Justin Rose 2pts ew (14-1, Betfred)
Rickie Fowler 2pts ew (11-1, bet365, Betfred)
Zach Johnson 1pt ew (25-1, boylesports)
Matt Kuchar 1pt ew (45-1, 888sport)

European Open

Maximilian Kieffer 1pt ew (35-1, Betfred)

Ace Venturer

  1. malkster 5 years ago

    Ace ive already did ew double kieffer/zach before ur tips..great minds and all that..

    Tips this week..
    Tour Champ..all w/o day..matsuyama Koepka holmes kisner

    Web.Com. hoge iwata vegas piller

    Asia..Liang muto k.miyamoto..BOL Guys

  2. HullShaker 5 years ago

    Morning gents:

    It’s going to be a close finishing field and I’ll start with backing the play off at 11/4

    Outright, Rory for me – it’s a matter of time and that sparkle was back last week…6/1.

    I’ll be backing Harris English ew for a 1st round lead at 50/1…he was there or thereabouts for me last time out before fading on day 4.

    Good luck lads and enjoy the golf

    Also going to have an e/w

  3. Craig 5 years ago

    After winning in Korea it’s Byeong Hun An for me, long off tee, top 20 in GIR so he will be seeing my money in the PORSCHE EUROPEAN OPEN,
    Also going for small EW of Lee Slattery in the hope that missed putt last Sunday does not affect him too badly.

    The tour championship is tough how can you back against Day right now? but how do you back him at 7/2?
    I am going to agree with Ace + Malkster and go with Z.Johnson but in the w/o Day market

    Tour Championship: 2pts EW Z.Johnson w/o Day 14/1

    Porsche European Open: 2pts EW B-Hun An 22/1
    1.5pts EW Lee Slattery 50/1

    1pt EW Broberg 1st Round Leader. 45/1

  4. Thespecialone 5 years ago

    Rubbish last week with furyk with drawn and reed only managed to get just outside the top 20

    Backed Rory with betfred at 5-1 without day
    And going for Ricky at 11-1 with betfred

    Good luck guys

    • Mr Fixit 5 years ago

      Thespecialone, I’m going with Ace and backing Rose.

  5. leecunliffe 5 years ago

    2 tied 4th from my 3 picks last week but let’s face it I was never in with a chance one Jason day started his first round.

  6. DrWooll 5 years ago

    Tour Championship
    Hideki Matsuyama / Kevin Na – top 10 @ 2.37 / 4.5

    Porsche Open
    Maximillian Kieffer e/w @ 36 or top 20 @ 2.62

    Nature Valley First Tee
    V J Singh e/w or outright @ 12

    Nationwide Children Hospital Champ
    Hiroshi Iwata e/w @ 36 or top 10 @ 4.33
    Thomas Aiken top 10 @ 10

    • DrWooll 5 years ago

      Missed a couple….

      Asia Pacific Open
      Prasad Marksaeng / Brad Kennedy e/w @ 31 / 34

  7. Steven 5 years ago

    Kieffer hasn’t won on Tour yet. He had a Challenge Tour win but it wasn’t in Germany.

    Not sure if you are allowed links here but struggling to cut and paste so will do it and apologies if Im breaking rules.


  8. malkster 5 years ago

    Forgot to post my Porsche men..ahn slattery green jaidee zanotti..honestly..all on before start

  9. leecunliffe 5 years ago

    Just the one this week for me am going all in on Rory mcilroy have backed him last 2 weeks he has got back to form 4th last week this could be the week he gets it done

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