NOT much happening in the last tournaments of the year on both sides of the Atlantic. In Sun City, South Africa we have the Nedbank Challenge with a 30-man field and over the Atlantic we have the Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas with only 18 invited players. So it should be easy pickings (famous last words).
The Gary Player Country Club is a long 7831 yards course but accuracy off the tee, not long hitting, could be the answer this week.
With this in mind my first pick is Jaco van Zyl who finished T8 in the Alfred Dunhill Championship last week with a superb last round of 64. He missed a lot of season 2014 because of operations on both knees but has come back stronger.
This year he has five top-six placings, including a second in the Turkish Airlines Open at the beginning of November. He has a driving accuracy stat of 67.5%, GIR of 70.5% and putting per round of 29 and looks in good form so a small wager might be in order.
My next selection is Emiliano Grillo who I tipped for the Fry’s.com in the first tournament of the new season on the PGA Tour in October.
He played in the World Tour Championship in Dubai and had a great tournament, finishing T4. His stats for the tourney were impressive with driving accuracy of 82.1% and GIR of 83.3% so if he can continue that form he will be in with a chance come Sunday.
Over the pond the Hero World Challenge goes to the Bahamas for the 18-man invitational. In his last 20 rounds Patrick Reed has only been over 70 twice with five top-10 finishes. On the PGA Tour he has driving accuracy stats of just over 70% and GIR of 82.4% (fourth in the standings). I’ve backed him a few times in the last month or so and I think I’ll give him another go this week.
Paul Casey had a great 2015 with eight top-10 finishes. Although he didn’t win it was great to see him fighting it out regularly. Having ruled himself out of the running for a Ryder Cup spot I think all his focus will be on the Tour.
In his two tournaments this season his stats are really good, driving accuracy of 72.32% and GIR 81.25% and putting average of 30.25. All things considered he’s worth a bet.
That’s me for the year guys. Hope we can round off 2015 with a win this weekend and that you all have a good Xmas and New Year.
1.5pts ew Jaco van Zyl (50-1, BetVictor)
1.5pts ew Emiliano Grillo (28-1, Betvictor)
Hero World Challenge
1.5pts ew Patrick Reed (12-1, Ladbrokes)
1.5pts ew Paul Casey (20-1, Paddypower)