THERE will be no Judgment Night this year since Kim Huybrechts and Jelle Klaasen have been eliminated from the competition.
Their opponents are Peter Wright and Phil Taylor respectively, who coincidentally will both throw second, and Huybrechts and Klaasen are MASSIVE at 59/1 with Bwin to each cause an upset. Two draws is 47/1 with Klaasen and Huybrechts not to lost at just over 13/1 with BetVictor.
At the time of writing all the underdogs to either win or draw pays 254/1 with Sportingbet. All the underdogs to win (Klaasen, Huybrechts, Wade, Lewis and Chisnall pays and unseen 7840/1 with Marathonbet. If you fancy all the favourites on the night to win, this pays 13/2 at Betfair (Wright, Anderson, Taylor, Barney and MVG) is 8/5 with Coral not to lose.
Week 9 fixtures: (Draw price in centre)
Wright Vs Huybrechts – 4/9 – 5/1 – 5/1
- Wright leads 14-7 (Wright has won seven of last eight dating back to October 2013)
- Note: Huybrechts has withdrawn and Wright awarded a 7-0 win
Taylor Vs Klaasen – 3/13 – 7/1 – 9/1
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- Taylor leads 13-3 (pair tied on 2-2 including Klaasen last sixteen win at Worlds 2016 since 2010)
Anderson Vs Lewis – 4/5 – 4/1 – 3/1
- Anderson leads 29-19 (Anderson has won seven of last ten encounters)
Barney Vs Wade – 1/1 – 4/1 – 23/10
- Barney leads 23-21 (Barney is unbeaten in six from ten games dating back to April 2013)
MVG Vs Chisnall – 5/19 – 7/1 – 9/1
- MVG leads 35-9 (Chisnall won just once in fifteen games from the start of 2016, which was a UK qualifier in early 2016)
Looking at the fixtures, the prize for wooden spoon is up for grabs between Jelle Klaasen and Kim Huybrechts. Insiders are well aware that Kim Huybrechts has other priorities at the moment. Out of respect although we know, his mind will be on his immediate family and is all that needs to be said. The Belgian Huybrechts is currently lying bottom on leg difference with Klaasen two legs better off heading into what will be the final week Huybrechts is now 4/11 to finish bottom.
Let's hope that the Premier League does not foresee the rest of their campaign into a downturn. Klaasen, even with his injury did not stop him getting to the latter stages of the first European Tour event, which Peter Wright overcame a 3-2 deficit to MVG to win 6-3.
From the 181 legs the pair have played between them in the competition the combined average is 5.32 180s over this period, or 0.1878 180s per leg (34 180s /181 legs) With the expected 10 or 11 legs the average should fall way under but compilers price between the 4.5 and 5.5 line. With differing opinions and the fact Klaasen has the injury still the under 5.5 line is attractive at 10/11 with BetVictor, where this is as short as 4/7 in other places.
Staying with maximums I fancy the Anderson/Lewis game to see under also, but with the line set at 7.5 bad memories of a few weeks ago where Anderson killed our bet at 7.5 on 184 landing a maximum has not left our minds. However, Lewis has not been firing these in as of late and Anderson is that his mood can determine everything.
I do think with Anderson's record over Jackpot recently, the 4/5 at Betfair Sportsbook for the outright win is also worth taking. Barney takes on Wade in what we would call a battle of the veterans of the PDC. With Barney having the slight edge over Wade in the head to head recently, Barney is only evens with one firm, with the machine 23/10 and the draw at 4/1.
Interesting that dissecting the odds, Coral appear to have made a pricing error chalking Barney up at 4/5 to win or draw, with their win price at 10/11 at the time of pricing. We strongly think the 4/5 should be on Wade or the draw, but lets see if this pans out especially on the Wade +1.5 handicap at 4/5 with the same firm.
The final game has MVG and Chisnall facing off and looking again at the maximum markets, this is surely the first time in Premier League history where the line for a 12 leg best of game has seen a 180 line at 8.5. Based on all 12 legs played this is a 180 per leg average of 0.67, which is very high. Especially with 7-2 the correct score chalked as favourite indicates a 1:1 average to be struck. At 3/4 with Boylesports for eight or fewer maximums to take place has a fairer than usual chance.