IT IS not often we reflect back on our winning tips but Wednesday night was special indeed! For those that backed we pocketed two winners to increase our overall return on investment which will be updated for the finals weekend!
With MVG and Taylor both being knocked out on back-back nights the current draw and odds look thus
- Gary Anderson 2/1 William Hill
- Adrian Lewis – 4/1 William Hill
- Peter Wright – 6/1 William Hill
- Jelle Klassen – 9/1 William Hill
- Raymond van Barneveld – 9/1 Betfred
- James Wade – 10/1 William Hill
- Michael Smith – 11/1 William Hill
- Alan Norris – 40/1 Betfred
- Barneveld Vs Smith – Barneveld leads 5-3
- Lewis Vs Wright -Lewis leads 12-7
- Anderson Vs Wade – Anderson leads 24-11
- Norris Vs Klassen – Klassen leads 2-0
- Barneveld Vs Smith 17/20 – 11/10
- Lewis Vs Wright 4/5 – 6/5
- Anderson Vs Wade 4/9 – 21/10
- Norris Vs Klaasen 5/2 – 2/5
Looking firstly at the afternoon session, best of 9 sets in this format we can see on the 180 special total market the line is set at 34 with Coral. 8/11 for 35 or more and evens for 34 or fewer. Looking at the way the players hit maximums in the last round I would be more dependent on the opener producing the goods. However I will take a point with Bet365 for 73 or fewer on the day on the basis that the pressure the players are under and the pace in the Anderson match may disgruntle the defending champion.
Norris and Klassen could well be the value for the match with most 180s at 100/30 with Coral. I'd have expected this to be nearer 3/1 although this is just for information. It's also worth mentioning Barney is 6/1 to net the highest checkout with Bet365 on the day!
I would be tempted by the highest checkout on the day if it were 160.5 but is 159.50 and not evens but worth a mention for likeminded punters with Coral.
Alan Norris in his debut year is 5/2 to knock out Klassen at a short 2/5. Jelle switched off the power at the tiebreak in the third round. Norris deservingly beat Mark Webster and has made a great impact. One bet that stands out for part of a double is NO 180 in the opening leg. I am under the impression both will be in a pressurised department which can affect the throw and bet365 are giving both players more credit than is due. With a couple of loose darts I cannot back YES at 11/8 but 4/5 on an outcome not happening is worth a play.
I feel this game could go the distance although Klassen has been class and Norris has missed key doubles.
Gary Anderson is now the new favourite and must beat James Wade in order to meet the winner of Norris and Klassen. The Scot has been in fine form whereas the Machine has been competent in his three victories thus far. Wade has beaten Anderson before with a memorable occasion at the World Grand Prix. As this is set format Wade will need to take the big checkouts as Anderson will out score the Hampshire maestro!
My opinion on this is that Anderson to retain should continue his dominant performance and will be happy enough with the game ending in fewer than 31 legs
Barney and Smith should be an epic although I wouldn't be surprised if the veteran Dutch Legend slows the pace down to interrupt the Smith rhythm and find this difficult to call as Smith embarks on a Premier League spot.
There is a shade of taking Smith to win the 180 count by 2 or more and coupling that with Anderson to win the 180 tally by 3 or more is a 7/5 return with Betfair.
Adrian Lewis versus Peter Wright could be an epic in the final game of the evening and I was surprised with the most 180 market with Wright out at 2/1. I was saying to fellow football guru Scott @Z_tips on Twitter the compilers would price Wright at evens best for Wright to hit ten or more versus Lewis and guess what? Just Paddy Power and Winner offer 1/1 on 10 or more Wright 180s.
Lewis hit just 5 in his win over Suljovic which cost a bet earlier this week and 10 or more from Wright is worth a small play!