I TIPPED a USA v Mexico final at the start of the CONCACAF Gold Cup and that looks a certainty.
Mexico have been the outstanding side of the tournament so far but it would be foolish to write off hosts America.
Their semi-final is first up at midnight (BST) and they're aiming for revenge against a Panama side who beat them in the group stage.
Despite that loss the Americans are a best 4-9 with Stan James and I think the bookies have got it right.
Panama are a best 6-1 with Ladbrokes to get the better of Bob Bradley’s men but it’s hard to see them coming unstuck for a second time.
America looked much improved in their quarter-final tie with Jamaica, winning 2-0, and should get the better of a Panama team who needed penalties to beat El Salvador.
Consider the States at 13-10 with Paddy Power to win to nil.
Mexico, the pre-tournament 6-4 favourites with Paddy Power, are now into 8-13 with the same firm to win outright and meet Honduras in Houston after the USA game.
The Mexicans have bagged 16 goals in their four games while Honduras have failed to net in two of their four and needed penalties to see off Costa Rica in the quarters.
With Man United striker Javier Hernandez inspired another win for Mexico looks on the cards. Hernandez is 3-1 with unibet to bag the opener.
Mexico are 10-11 with boylesports to lead at half-time and still be in front at the full-time whistle.
And the Mexicans should good enough to cover the one-goal handicap at 21-20 with sportingbet.
USA to win to nil
(13-10, Paddy Power)