CHELSEA are 3-1 to beat Barcelona at home tonight and that tells you how much they're struggling.
Antonio Conte has a knack of pulling rabbits out the hat but he'll need to conjure up something special to shut out the magician that is Lionel Messi.
Bournemouth and Watford destroyed Chelsea, hitting seven goals between them, so you wonder how much damage Messi and Luis Suarez can do.
Conte might find a way of stopping them but Barca, still unbeaten in La Liga, look a good shout at 6-5 with Marathonbet to win tonight and 4-11 at Sky Bet to qualify.
One concern is they netted just one goal away in the group stage – beating Sporting and drawing 0-0 with Juventus and Olympiakos. However, Chelsea's only win came against Qarabag and their form has dipped.
The Argentine will be desperate to break a jinx that has seen him fail to score against the Blues in 665 minutes of Champions League football. Suarez hasn’t netted in the Champions League for 11 months (791 minutes).
Alavaro Morata knocked back a move to Barca from Real Madrid when he joined the Blues and will be keen to show what they're missing. He is 23-10 at Paddy Power to net.
Tonight's other tie sees Bayern Munich entertain Besiktas and they are extremely short at 1-6 with William Hill.
Besiktas are better than the odds suggests but lost top scorer Cenk Tosun to Everton in the transfer window.
He's been replaced by Vagner Love but it's Brazilian Talisca who is firing for them with six goals in five games.
Robert Lewandowski has 32 for the season, including six in six, and is 85-40 at McBookie to score first.
- Messi to score first
- Bayern & Btts
- Lewandowski to score first