I CHOSE to listen the Man Utd game and look at some site stats – and that was probably a good idea.
The commentators talked me out of tuning into the highlights but it really was a game of few chances. I tipped the draw but hoped there would have been goals.
Anyway listening to the low-key affair allowed me as promised to look at some of my wins and losses for this month. I'd planned to post something when the changes to the site are made soon but some negative comments yesterday encouraged me to have a look.
If we were charging for tips all our stats would be up to date and quoted all the time. However, we're selling nothing so I'd rather spend time looking for winners than giving out figures.
Anyway here are some results from this month. The one bet I do every day is the Super Single and out of 26 selections there have been 13 winners – including Forest Green on Monday – and 13 losers.
With every winner paying over evens you can see you'd be in profit backing the single every day. A 50 per cent hit rate of course guarantees a profit if picks were exactly evens but I'd prefer that to be around 60 per cent.
Most days I post a Top Treble and in August I've picked 10 winners and 13 losers. If you'd backed them all for a tenner you'd be £210.85 up.
The 10 winners – to a £10 stake – paid on average 3-1 while the biggest success was an 11-2 chance on the first day of the UK football season.
My both teams to score selections were described as “useless” earlier today. Not quite true.
I've landed six winning trebles this month, paying £59.10, £49.10, £50, £47.50, £64.17 and £38 to £10 stakes.
That's a profit of just over £300 – but then you take away £80 for eight losers. So still £220 in the black.
The singles, top trebles and both teams to score trebles are my main bets and are all up this month.
I also landed a 17-1 homes fivefold on the first day of the season – so can afford 17 losses on the bounce before needing another one. Hopefully that won't happen though.
Punters have to remember beating the bookies is a long-term process during which there will be good days and bad days. Unfortunately some people will judge me on my last tip and that's unfair.
There have been many other wins and losses this month – including a 40-1 aways treble (3 out of 4) and first-scorer picks – and I hope these figures show why this site has become so popular with around one million views expected by the end of the month.
Our old friend Nick Murray of Corby has commented on this article by saying he's kept a record of all my Super Singles for 2013 – all 235 of them.
He reports 235 winners – 65 per cent success rate – and from £10 level stakes he is £974 in profit backing the Super Single only (winnings £1824 – losses £850).
Nick tells me my best run was 12 correct from 13 and the longest winning sequence was eight on the trot in May.
That's the kind of record I want to maintain all season and cheers to Nick for keeping track of them.
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
Mr F I don’t think you need to justify yourself to the people who have been on your back when a few bets don’t come up. In my opinion they should be ignored totally …I think that’s what you do with attention-seeking weans! They don’t belong on this site ..CBeebies or CBBC is my suggestion ;-)
Bob H, it’s good to give some updates on figures but as I said earlier I’d rather spend the time looking for winners.
i agree
here here, let them pick them on their own, no one forces people to back Mr F’s tips, personally I start my day here and check what Mr F has highlighted, then time permitting I check other stats etc on picks he might not include, weigh the options then bet, up or down it is not the fault of Mr F, so haters…back the F off!!!
Great stuff Mr F, if this was in court, you lwould be saying ” I have no further questions your honour@ haha! :)
Keep up the good work I am a newish follower as you would know but I shall be a loyal one!
I think it has been said many times before Mr F but most of the grumbles come from people without a proper staking plan and looking short term. Aside from that you provide reasoning which I think is as important as tips because us punters can’t agree all of the time and when we don’t then its best to leave it alone.
I keep a separate account for your bets and have been doing that for about 2 months and its in profit. I do the same as has been mentioned by others on here and that is a base stake for the trebles and double that stake for the singles.
Rab, if I’d known that I’d have asked you to send them to me.
Mr f if people can’t make there own minds up on who to bet on they should keep their mouths shut, I have tried for years to study and find a way to beat the bookies and failed but, after reading a lot of yours and other knowledgeable people on here things have certainly improved. Keep up the good work fella.
Talking of winners.. Hills are doing 6/4 Celtic to win with Commons scoring. Crazy price considering Celtic are 1/4 with Commons 8/11 to net at anytime.
With Celtic’s possession likely to be the in the region of 70% and the crowd behind them, I’d imagine the chances of a penalty are increased. Be interesting to see if the price stays, or of they limit the bet.
Peter, I’ve been emailed that special among others, I’d imagine they’ll keep it.
Peter, that could be a very good shot. Commons is always a threat and looked our most likely in Kazakhstan, and as you’ve stated is first choice penalty taker. Bookies don’t seem to be given much away with Celtic as short as 1/4 to win the match.
just wanted to say thanks for the tips and keep up the good work
Just a pity tonights United – Chelsea match wasn’t as entertaining as Peter Schmeichels blouse on MOTD
You do not need justify yourself. Keep up the good work
Im all for a bit of banter but no way should someone good enough to freely post their tips have to post profit details,just isn’t justified at all.
Have to remember last week or so there has been a higher than usual percentage of games that have totally gone against form,stats and reason,you can only post reasons for a possible win not a bleedin miracle!
Sean, too true. Life would be great – but maybe a bit boring – if there were only wins. Right, off for the night. Will check the Beeb for English team news then hit the sack.
Mr F
As I have always said,
Come the end of the month I ALWAYS end up in profit, I have been using the site for 3 months now and have built up over 2 grand this includes other tipsters including my personal favourite MR UHT with his immense brazillian tips and of course SLY and GREG for their incredible over’s tips!
All I can say is many thanks and I cannot describe how greatful I am for this site and the time and effort you guys put in to finding out prematch facts and stats
Long live MR F and co!
Jack
Hope you don’t ever feel the need to state your ‘profit / loss’ stats ever again Paul.There is no other page that provides a FREE tipping forum from such a knowledgeable professional tipster and numerous others who provide great tips and great banter….
Keep up the good work mate…
I’d like to echo all the above comments. There is no need to jusify your tips Mr. F. All your tips are well reasoned and explained. The nature of betting means that you can’t win them all. Some folk want 100% winners and never to lose. There is a way of never losing and that is not to bet. When I’m going to do bet or two, this is the first place I go. Mr. Fixit and other posters have given me good tips and I have looked at leagues and made bets that I would never have even thought of. As the saying goes, haters gonna hate.
I have faith keep up the good work . Cheers
What I like about your tipping is you aren’t arrogant when you win, just as you don’t go bitter when you lose. You seem to have been doing this long enough to learn that going for huge wins every day will usually not pay off in the long run.
Also, this site has been great for a reasoned discussion on bets in a variety of leagues where tipsters such as The Dane et al. can provide a little more knowledge in certain countries.
anyone who doesn,t make money from your tips really shouldn,t be betting!keep it up mr f
It is absolutely imperative that punters on here do their own selections and remain disciplined to look at the tips on here as the backbone of their strategy.
As you correctly state, making money from the bookies takes time and has to be viewed over the long term, rather than day by day, or week to week.
This service is free, and as the statistics show, following the advice from Mr Fixit, you will be in the black.
My strong advice is to start with a pot of whatever you can afford and give it a month, and adhere strictly to the tips and you will not be far off.
If you speculate on too many bets everyday, you are only increasing the chances of giving winnings back to the enemy!
ps, I have a friend who was banned from doing a correct score bet every week on the fixed odds coupon. He used to do 5 pence trebles on 3-3 on the four English divisions.
Last year he was up over 7k, and the local bookies put a limit on the number of selections, as do the online bookies.
If anyone knows an online bookie who will allow unlimited selections, let us know and Mr F, it is well worth consideration…
coops, I know people who do this and I’ve had a look. It’s just a bit random for me. How much was he staking then to win £7k? His best bet might be to look at games that have no chance of finishing 3-3 and leave those out which would mean fewer selections.
Hi coops,
Could you elaborate on the way the 5 pence trebles bet is placed?
Cheers,
Nick
Nickybhoy, he’ll be doing trebles covering as many games as possible – I don’t know how many but a lot. But for example 200 x 5p trebles would cost a tenner.
Nick,
some bookies won’t let punters select more than a certain number, but if you can get on (especially the lower divisions and Scottish), do as many as you can with 3-3 for example, and 5p or whatever the min bet is and do trebles.
If you get a treble up, it would be say, 33-1 x 10 p, giving 3.40 and then x 33-1, giving just over 100 quid, and then the final leg 33-1 with 100 quid…nice if it comes in!
Cant wait for the critics replies. I think we’ll call it “The sound of Silence “. Great stuff Mr F.
One word:
Brilliant.
The Dane.
Mr F, keep up the good work
I was never in doubt your bets are profitable. I read this site all the time before placing bets, sometimes I go with you, sometimes I decide I fancy backing against you but it’s my choice. Keep up the good work and don’t listen to the idiots
Superb work mr. F
F *ck the begrudgers.
Since coming on this site I have had my eyes opened to different betting strategies, different markets (that are more profitable in certain league) and also on teams and leagues I would never have looked at before. There is a wealth of knowledge on here and if someone can’t use that along with their own research and judgment to make some money they are doing something wrong.
I have had more winners so far this season than the whole of last 17/1, 28/1, 25/1, 6/1 and 4/1 just yesterday. I bet small stakes only £5 per point but I could bet the same stakes for the remainder of the season lose every day and still be in profit come the end of the season. All those winners were a mixture of Mr. F tips that day and his taken from his comments and opinions on other peoples possible selections. When pairing that with other guys picks on here with hours of research explaining why they have chosen them it makes picking a winner a bit easier.
Best betting, tipping and sports site on the net… bar none.
Neil G and others, cheers for the comments. As you know the critics are in the minority but when people such as Lee put up false claims I feel dutybound to answer. I’d like to update the figures more often but it’s something that takes a bit of time to keep on top of.
Neil G and others, cheers for the comments. As you know the critics are in the minority but when people such as Lee put up false claims I feel dutybound to answer. I’d like to update the figures more often but it’s something that takes a bit of time to keep on top of.
My first month betting online and this month has been a training session. Gone into a loss but experimented with different approaches, tried out impulse bets etc. Learnt a lot though and got a fixed staking plan now(20 on single, 10 on the treble and btts) and i’m pretty confident you’ll make me reach a profit. Love this website and keep up the good work
Don’t understand people moaning at your tips
1) free tips
2) don’t have to take them pick your own
3)never going to win all the time
Yeah why the need to justify yourself to the trolls Paul. If you want to be guaranteed profit with the super single just keep doubling your stake. This could be as much as £100, £200, £400 or for lower stakes £10, £20, £40 so all you need is one win 3 which going by your stats would always be a winner.
MR F.. PLS DONT BE DISTRACTED BY ALL THOSE NEGATIVE COMMENTS, JUST KIP UP THE GOOD WORK..
NO ONE WAS BEGGED TO JOIN THIS WONDERFUL SITE OF FREE EXPERT TIPPING.. SO IF ANY 1 DOESNT LIKE THE SITE, HE/SHE BETTER JET OFF..
MORE GREASE 2 YOUR ELBOWS…
MR….
Free
Important
Xpert
International
Tipster
Kuit, like that one even though you cheated with xpert.
Peter I don’t think the 6/4 price about Commons and Celtic is a good one.
Chris, the Commons price is good compared to if you did them as two singles with Hills.
Mr F you really don’t need to justify yourself, you offer a free advice service that strikes more often than not, I for one win a lot more as a result of yours and others on sites tips. For morons who question his selections…NOBODY IS HOLDING A GUN TO YOUR HEAD so do one off the site and stick with your own picks
Chris guy how do you mean doubling on the super single? Also I love Mr f tips ican someone provide me with a little advice please on a staking plan as at the min I just do 10 on the treble 10 on single and 0 on byte thanks guys
Mr F,
As a long term follower of the site (from a distance over the past few months without commenting as there seems to be a lot of nonsense posted) – I have kept a record of your Super Single and from 235 tips that I have backed in 2013 there has been 152 winners = 65%
From £10 level stakes currently I am £974 in profit from backing SS only (winnings £1824 – losses £850)
There is no doubt by following your SS you will make a profit long term. Your best run this year was 12 correct from 13 and longest winning run was 8 on the trot in May.
Keep up the good work
Cheers
MUZZA
Muzza, you can be my stats man. A Record reader also keeps a note of them and the Super Single has been in profit in the paper for all 20 years it has featured. I know I had a good run with the single in May and June – especially on the Confeds and Gold Cup – but those stats are superb and as I said I’d prefer to be up about the 60 per cent mark – so 65 per cent is pleasing.
10 on Byrd sorry
Damn phone btts
Mr F, since I’ve started on this site I’ve had more winners than any time previously. This is due to your picks and a special mention for Sly.
Loads of people are jumping on the trolling bandwagon, don’t let them bring you down.
You are appreciated by your many followers!!!
Mr F, like others have said, just ignore the trolls. But I appreciate you posting up the figures. One stat really jumped out. The trebles bets for August works out at around 90% ROI – that’s a hugely impressive return ! If you can maintain anywhere near that level, we can all make some serious cash :-) Keep up the good work.
Mr F – the simple fact is, the site wouldn’t exist if your tips weren’t winning. Like you said, one million can’t be wrong. August was a cracking month for you and therefore us, as above, and unfortunately that will always make anyone left out in the cold resentful. I only started following the site in about November last year, but it’s clear that the guys who have followed you for years know their stuff and aren’t fools, and people like myself wouldn’t be sticking around for this season if Lee was even close to being right about the hit rate or quality of tipping. It’s a shame he’s made you feel like you owe anyone a justification. The justification was already there – one million aren’t wrong ! ;-)
The UHT, it wasn’t just Lee, there were a couple of others too. It seems to me that I could win 10 times in a row and then get slaughtered for getting the 11th wrong. I know what you’re saying’s right though and from now on I’ll just hit the delete button when folk like Lee appear. He’s banned now but of course there are ways round that and he says he’ll be back.
What – like some kind of maggot superhero…? Back to avenge the fly egg community for airtight lids on jam?
Just keep deleting, Mr F!
fair play to the guy who kept records for a year that’s a more accurate description of anyones bets. I remember asking you Paul a couple of years ago about level stake on singles.i was surprised at the time you didn,t keep records. the one that proves clearly is that irrespective of the stake the patience of the single bet is the way to go.
Robert, I always start keeping records but as soon as I fall behind that’s it. I simply don’t have the time.
I usually look here every day, and if I fancy the tips I back them. If I lose my money the only person to blame is myself as far as I’m concerned. Also, I’ve heard you can’t lose at roulette as long as you keep doubling your stake like Chris guy said.
ypu are a decent tipster but.please be braver than trebles returning 27 to a 10 stake, throw a few 10/1 thats whats makea good tipster, my uncle is horse tipster he gets stick but he lands lots of outsiders, please add a braver tip
benny boy, brave punters tend to be losers. Like others if I could treble my money every day I’d be happy – what bank would give you that. If you follow the site you will see bigger accumulators at the weekend. I have to balance between giving people wins (which is what they want more than anything) or speculative bets. Earlier I suggested Orient and Peterborough as a double and that pays 10-1. I often put up first-scorer bets and correct-score bets at 10-1 or thereabouts. But the odds tell a story – that’s the chance you have of winning.
I would take £27.00 on a £10 stake every day of the week.
The risk is far greater trying to find a 10/1 winner imho
A tipster should be able to tip 10+/1s i its npt hard to get a 11/8 a day hahahahaha
So nearly doubling your money is not enough? Purlease! Just because it gives the return for a tenner doesn’t mean everyone puts ‘just’ a tenner on.
pedro, the more you put on the more you will have won. Just a tenner is an expression – it doesn’t mean anything. I could as easily say just a pound or just a fiver.
Looks like Lee is back lmao. You spoke too soon Paul.
a 3/1 winner is better than a 10/1 loser
As someone who has been betting regularly for most of my adult life (I’m now 60 years young!), I can honestly say that your site is the best free betting service that I have come across. And believe me, I’ve seen a few!
The reasoned and sensible approach that you and pretty well all your regular contributors advocate is much appreciated and there really is no need for you to dignify the moronic outbursts of a few ignoramuses with a response.
Please keep up your great work – one million people can’t be wrong!!
Paul if these guys that moaned at you where that good at predicting they would not be on here looking at your tips for help, I watch your tips still as you have great knowledge of various leagues but also my own knowledge of leagues and sometimes mix your tips with mine
As you know I have a book of every tip I’ve did and you can see some times you go on a winning run and also a losing run but I’am still playing with bookies money that I won in your comps (which are great)and free bets I got when the Internet betting first came out, 3 laptops and various holidays later I’ve still got money in all the bookies accounts I opened
PS still also banned from VCBET for doing there comps as in the 9 years I was with him I was only using there money I won in the comps I was happy to turn a free bet into cash ,I still have money in account and are slowly building the winnings up
Malcolm, nice one. I assume you’d be happy to treble your money every day unlike the guy who commented earlier.
forgot to add that the bookies paid for my laptops and holidays
I’am happy just to double my stake also its good to have a daft Accumulator now and then ,
Nothing I can say that hasn’t already been said – great site and well thought out and researched tips.
I keep promising to start following the super single, then think naa…. it cant possibly keep winning – and I keep getting proved wrong!! Keep up the good work :)
A tipping site that is actually profitable… folks this a gem of a site however you need to learn bankroll management to be successful at gambling. Nobody has a crystal ball.
PunterAssist, long-term we do OK. There are great days and good days and there are bad ones but never disastrous ones. My stakes are roughly the same, win or lose, and you’re right about staking plans. Follow The Dane’s example and everyone will be a winner. My top tips may have lost tonight but only because I picked the wrong Super Single from my shortlist. I advised a Trixie on Orient, Peterborough and Hamilton and it paid a nice double. I also did singles on all three and picked some other single winners.
Mr F, say for 12 months on average what is you monthly won £ and lost £? Do you make a lot of money from your bets consistently? I have trouble disciplining myself to stick to your tip everyday, i always seem to find a “banker” that you have missed that turns out to be awful, but if you can let me know what the long term gains are like that might help me along
Deano, the post you’ve commented on gives you an idea and the Super Singles record this year – 65 per cent success rate. I have nothing else to give you. Doesn’t matter that match because what counts is this future.