SPL champions Celtic travel to Motherwell live on Sky Sports 4 at 12.45 and despite being odds on they are simply far too short.

Motherwell look set to finish as runners-up in the table and that must be considered a decent result as they don't have the resources of a club like Celtic.

Since beating their opponents 2-1 back at the end of February, Stuart McCall's men have gone on a fantastic run and are unbeaten in seven – winning five and drawing two.

McCall has been linked with other teams and while he may well leave in the summer the Scot will want to finish with as many victories as possible.

His team have turned Fir Park into a bit of a fortress after a few dodgy results at the beginning of the campaign. The Steelmen have lost just one of their last 11 there and won six of the last eight.

Celtic have wrapped up the title and while that was a long odds-on shot even before the season began, Neil Lennon will be delighted with how the campaign has gone, especially considering his side's European exploits.

The Bhoys have been struggling on the road of late though – two points from a possible 12 and just one league win in the calendar year.

They will also be under-strength for this clash as Kris Commons has been struggling with an ankle problem and Joe Ledley, Efe Ambrose and Kelvin Wilson have been given a week off by the manager.

Motherwell beat Celtic in their last encounter and while they may not repeat that this afternoon I can't see them losing. Celtic are just too short at 1.83 and that's why I have to make them my lay of the day.

Recommended Bet

Lay Celtic v Motherwell @ 1.83

Milesey (Betfair)

4 Comments
  1. celtic 67 8 years ago

    totally agree im a celtic fan and with our best player this season not playing that kris commons i feel a 2-1 motherwell win mcfadden played great for them but higdon looks good for 1st goal

  2. WeeBanger 8 years ago

    Can’t see this coming in. I’m all over Celtic today @ 5/6

  3. WeeBanger 8 years ago

    Good shout milesey, I bow to your superior judgement :)

  4. Milesey 8 years ago

    MILESEY’S BET OF THE DAY
    ————————-

    River Plate v Quilmes AC – 00:15 K/0
    ————————————-

    River Plate have had a little wobble, but Lanús’s spate of draws and Newell’s battling on both fronts has allowed them back in to the title race.

    Just two points off the joint-leaders, Ramón Diaz’s men are most certainly in with a shout, and can consider themselves lucky that their notoriously fruitful academy has chucked another gem off the conveyor belt.

    An enormous list of injuries, and long-term ones at that, in defence had threatened to derail River’s season but instead it could end in another financial boost for the club.

    Centre-back Éder Balanta is just 20 but plays with a maturity far beyond his years. The Colombian is also an incredible physical specimen; fit, strong and quick off the mark, enabling him to deal with virtually everything the Argentine Primera has to throw at him.

    Two man of the match performances in just three starts for the club speaks volumes about how key he has been, and is especially impressive when you consider that River’s defensive shield – and Argentine international midfielder – Leonardo Ponzio has been out injured too.

    Quilmes, their visitors this week, have had injury problems of their own. Long-term absentee Miguel Caneo was their key playmaker last season, but despite being welcomed back recently after a lengthly spell on the sidelines, he has quickly experienced a recurrence of his injury and won’t feature this weekend.

    Martin Cauteruccio’s goals still manage to keep the Brewers in contention but a dip in form has seen them slink into mid-table and a respectable position and adding to their total in the average points (relegation) table is what yo-yoing Quilmes must now focus on.

    The visitors will have been disappointed to see River exit the Copa Argentina in embarrassing circumstances in midweek, and they now must face a slightly angered giant, keen to reassert their dominance on the pitch and push the top two.

    Match odds

    River are understandable odds-on favourites based on form and the wealth of talent at their disposal, while Quilmes would undoubtedly be content with a point.

    This weekend more than others it is worth considering what effect future fixtures will have on the game. Sometimes cited as a weakness, it is very much up for debate how much impact the looming Superclasico will have on players.

    On one hand, all River players will be concerned about getting injured ahead of the big game at La Bombonera next weekend? but at the same time, it is important to put in a performance if you want to be starting in the biggest game of the year – and for this game we are not foreseeing it as an issue.

    Therefore, we are backing River at 1.84.

    Goals

    Quilmes’ games have one of the highest goal averages in the league, with 2.9 goals per game and seven of their matches going over 2.5.

    River have been more unpredictable, with their games averaging 2.2, but the price of 2.42 for over 2.5 goals seems to suggest this game is a cut and dried low-scorer.

    The stats don’t agree and therefore the value lies in the overs.

    Other bets

    River’s lineup for this game looks very impressive, and with Quilmes missing some key names you have to be backing the hosts, but there is also half an eye on Draw/River in the HT/FT market.

    The Millionarios have led at half time in just one of their last six, so 4.7 for them to overcome a stalemate at the break and take all three points looks like value.

    Recommended Bets
    Recommended bet: Back River to win @ 1.84
    *****************************************

    Milesey

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