Grimsby Town v Newport County
BSBP Play-Off Semi-Final 1st leg, 7.45pm

GRISMBY secured a nice win on the final day of the regular league season by beating a weakened Newport side 3-0. Although it will be a very different away side that turns up here I think the result will be the same but maybe not the margin.

The market for the match is hard to explain. Essentially we were getting a far bigger price on Saturday for Grimsby to beat a Newport reserve team than we are getting for them to beat a Newport side back to full strength.

With that in mind, stakes should be reduced accordingly, but there is still plenty of evidence to suggest Grimsby can gain the upper hand from this first leg at their Blundell Park home.

The Mariners have by far the best defensive record from the regular season, conceding an average of just 0.83 goals per game. Thirteen of Grimsby's 23 wins in the league this season were registered without their opponents scoring a goal.

Striker Liam Hearn has been welcomed back into the team after managing just five appearances due to an Achilles tendon injury, he got back on the scoresheet on Saturday and that's a warning to the rest of the teams in these play-offs.

Newport blazed a trail at the start of the season when their main striker Aaron O'Connor was firing on all cylinders. His own injury woes have curtailed his form and his return of just four goals in his last 21 appearances will be giving manager Justin Edinburgh a headache.

I'll be backing Grimsby to strike a killer blow here and then rely on their defensive form to complete the job in South Wales.

Recommended Bet

Back Grimsby Town at 2.15

Milesey (Betfair)

26 Comments
  1. SMarky 8 years ago

    These posts should be dated the 24th Mr F?

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      SMarky, ta.

  2. celtic 67 8 years ago

    im from grimsby myself and watch them from time to time this season they have been poor but still seem to win games so i have to agree 2-1 grimsby with a 3-2 win for madrid

  3. Milesey 8 years ago

    5:00 k/0

    Four of Zamalek’s last six Egyptian Premier League home games have produced Under 2.5 Goals, as have 14/17 El Shorta away matches.

    Recommended Bet: Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.75 in Zamalak v El Shorta

    Milesey

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Milesey, what’s your thoughts about the £17k loser? Am I being too harsh on him or am I right to ask why he would have wanted the selection voided in the first place.

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      So……. the first game on his selection, was a 1:30 k/o and he placed it late, but it was accepted and that game he lost on, but all the others he won, but he is arguing that game should have been void ?

      Milesey

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Milesey, placed it three seconds after 1.30pm so in my experience that’s always accepted. However, he says when placing the bet he realised it was after 1.30pm and asked for it to be voided. Staff member said machine would void but it didn’t and he can’t have checked his slip. IBAS have ruled in William Hill‘s favour and as I said my question is: Why ask it be voided if it’s being accepted? Also, three seconds is nothing. How did he know it was three seconds over when he stood at the till? Time of bet taken is 1:30.03 so he must have been at the desk at least a few seconds before that.

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      right, but the game at 1:30 he had lost ? but it was accepted 3 seconds after k/o, he wanted it void, but the game lost, and he picked up 12 winners and this was the only one to lose, but he says he asked for it to be voided and was told the machine would do it ?

      Milesey

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Milesey, yeah it was his only loser. He says he was told machine would void if put on late but it didn’t. As I say three seconds late should be allowed to stand on a football bet and usually does.

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      The game most probably hadn’t even kicked off at that time……….. i don’t do football coupons in shops anymore for it’s easier online, but i am sure many years ago i got a coupon through at 3:15 on a saturday afternoon, the odds had changed for alot of the games to reflect the scores at that time but it went through…… and in the days where everything was all written down, i could get horse racing / dog bets through halfway through the races.

      Milesey

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Milesey, if the game’s live on TV they’ll take it anytime and give you the inrunning odds but for a bet to be voided in three seconds would be strange. No chance of a goal and even if there was one a few seconds later no one would hear about for at least another 30 seconds or so. If staff gave him bum advice I can see why he’s raging but really the bet should have stood.

  4. Milesey 8 years ago

    WEEKEND TREBLE
    —————

    Back over 2.5 goals in Wigan v Tottenham @ 1.81
    Back over 2.5 goals in Newcastle v Liverpool at 1.8
    Back over 2.5 goals in Arsenal v Manchester United at 1.8

    Milesey

  5. Milesey 8 years ago

    DANISH DOUBLE
    **************
    both 6:00 k/o

    DENMARK: 1st Division
    Hjorring V AB Kopenhagen
    HJORRING WIN @ 6/5

    DENMARK: 1st Division
    Hobro V Bronshoj
    HOBRO WIN @ 6/4

    Milesey

  6. Mr Kop 8 years ago

    Is there a link to this story guys?

  7. Mr Kop 8 years ago

    It’s okay Iv seen it in another thread, it’s in the record aswell. Looks like I’m back to buying the record again :)

  8. MrT 8 years ago

    Milesy – You gonna go big on anything today?

  9. Milesey 8 years ago

    PHASE SHIFT 10/11
    7:55 Sedgefield

    and

    SPEED STEED 11/10
    6:30 Taunton

    My 2 big singles today.

    Milesey

  10. MrT 8 years ago

    Cheers for the heads up Milesy.

    Bets for today.

    Phase Shift
    Speed Shift
    BTTS Dort – Mad
    Dortmund to win.

  11. jimbos 8 years ago

    Back to betting and following advice heres what im going for today yes i know there not singles btw lol!

    Trixie
    TRX
    1 Grimsby
    2 Hjorring
    3 Hobro

    Best of luck

  12. Miguel 8 years ago

    That’s why I never bet on horses watched that race and a 28/1 shot won.

  13. Milesey 8 years ago

    5:00 k/0

    Four of Zamalek’s last six Egyptian Premier League home games have produced Under 2.5 Goals, as have 14/17 El Shorta away matches.

    Recommended Bet: Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.75 in Zamalak v El Shorta

    RESULT
    Zamalek 1-0 Al Shortah

    Milesey

  14. Milesey 8 years ago

    DANISH DOUBLE
    **************
    both 6:00 k/o

    DENMARK: 1st Division
    Hjorring V AB Kopenhagen
    HJORRING WIN @ 6/5

    RESULT 1 – 1

    DENMARK: 1st Division
    Hobro V Bronshoj
    HOBRO WIN @ 6/4

    RESULT 2 – 0

    Milesey

  15. MrT 8 years ago

    Think I jinx your racing bets Milesy as I haven’t had a winner in more than a dozen I’ve followed the past few weeks..

    Am on Dortmund and Grimsby so hope we have a bit more luck on the footy.

    Will be all over the darts tomorrow. Almost a full house of results last week!

  16. Milesey 8 years ago

    PHASE SHIFT 10/11 ** 3RD **
    7:55 Sedgefield
    and
    SPEED STEED 11/10 ** 2ND **
    6:30 Taunton

    SPEED STEED run was shocking, a horse rated at 130, let the leader get away before going off in hunt, the winner rated at 65 and a betfair sp of 50.0.

    Today wasn’t to be, but i’ll go again tomorrow with the mighty QUEVEGA ( 5:30 ) 7/4 Totesport and UPSIE ( 7:15 ) 1/1 Bet365.

    Milesey

  17. Milesey 8 years ago

    1 nil to NEWPORT COUNTY in the 89th minute, not my day when this sh*t goes like this.

    Milesey

  18. MrT 8 years ago

    The Germans have saved me today. I decided to go on Grimsby as well but only small.

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