LAVAL travel to Dijon for a clash in the second tier of French football this evening (7pm) and while the Betfair market is expecting it to be quite low scoring Mr M thinks there will be plenty of goals.

Dijon are seventh in the league after drawing six of their last eight fixtures. Relegated from the top flight last season they were expected to challenge for promotion but with just half a dozen games remaining, they are six points adrift of the top three and have plenty of other sides to compete against.

Olivier Dall'Oglio's men have simply drawn too many matches. While they've only lost seven of their 32 – a record bettered only by the top two – they've recorded just 12 victories which just isn't quite good enough.

As far as the goals go Dijon's matches have been averaging 2.44 per 90 minutes, with 14 of 32 going over 2.5.

Interestingly though, four of their last seven at Stade Gaston Gérard have had three goals or more and they managed to keep just one clean sheet during that period.

Laval are fighting relegation, as they did last year, and they are down in 15th place, a mere two points clear of the drop zone. Picking up results is of paramount importance now but they have at least been on a good run – a spell of five unbeaten ended last time out to Arles.

Philippe Hinschberger's side score plenty of goals for a team in this much trouble. With 40 scored, they have the highest number of goals in the bottom half of the division.

Their matches have been averaging 2.69 goals each time, with 19 of their 32 having had three or more. Three of their last four on the road have gone over and they netted twice at Istres a fortnight ago.

Dijon need to win to keep their promotion hopes alive and Laval need to win to ease further away from the relegation zone.

The stats suggest there should be goals and given the nature of what's at stake, neither will settle for a point. That's why, with under 2.5 goals trading around the 1.84 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.

Recommended Bet

Lay Under 2.5 goals in Dijon v Laval @ 1.84

Milesey (Betfair)

22 Comments
  1. william 8 years ago

    what does lay mean?

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      What does the term “Lay” mean and what is a Lay bet?
      ****************************************************

      To lay a bet is to back something not to happen. For example, to lay Manchester United to win their match is to back them NOT to win. If you were to lay them, you would win your bet if they either lost or drew their match.

      With Betfair you can not only lay any selection, but also choose the price you want to take, and how much you are prepared to risk. The shorter the price you wish to lay, the less money you have to risk compared to your potential reward.

      Examples:
      •Laying a Draw in a soccer match at 13.5 might sound safe, but for every £10 (€10) you want to win, you have to risk £125 (€125) – high risk and low reward.
      •In a horse racing market, the horse “Europe” at 1.9/1.91 are much more likely to win, but to win £10 (€10) by laying that outcome, you only need to risk £9.10 (€9.10).

      There are all sorts of reasons why people lay bets. Some people find it easier to pick a horse that won’t win, than one that will win. Some people lay a bet because they think the price is too short. Others will lay first, then look to back the same selection later in-play – that’s called Trading.

      Laying need not be scary – you are in full control of how much you wish to risk and how much you could win. In a lay bet, you always stand to win the stake of the opposing bet (e.g. £10 (€10) in the examples above). You could be betting against one person or several.

      Milesey

  2. SilentJoe5 8 years ago

    Milesey,,If you can I would like your opinion on ‘in-shop’ football coupons.@Hills**

    Several weeks ago the Dutch Jupiter Lge (Friday Night) was included on the ‘friday euro coupon’ for the past few weeks it has not been included.

    Im sure you will agree this is a lge that is very popular and profitable on a friday night with ‘punters’
    I know it is accessible online but not everyone has online accounts,for many reasons, especially older folk. it just makes no sense to me that these massive betting companies would omit a league that their customers are enjoying. I really dont think any winning lines on this lge has any effect on their obscene profit margins so surely this cannot be the reason.
    There are still thousands of customers who enjoy filling out their coupons at home and placing them ‘in-shop’, there is a social aspect to ‘going to the bookies’ but betting in-shop is so limited now days.

    Are we starting to see the demise of the High St bookmakers??

    @Hills**,,I can only use Hills as an example as they are my local shop, I did check out Betfred & Ladbrokes, they also have omitted the Jupiter League.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      SilentJoe, they’ve left them out for one reason – they’ve been losing on this league. It must have been a business reason.

  3. SilentJoe5 8 years ago

    Thanks Paul,,,It was blatantly obvious to all that the bookies where losing profit on this league,,I just thought it would be a ‘drop in the ocean’ for them. Plus they (bookies) must know the stats of punters winning and placing more bets with their cash,,,but i suppose a ‘loss’ at any level for the bookies is frowned upon….

    Paul,,Can you recommend a site to take an ‘on-line’ account with.
    Cheers mate

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      SilentJoe, you need to shop around to see what’s best for you but bet365 probably have most markets. If bookie’s losing on market they’ll look to pull it or cut the price. As I said they’re in it to make as much money as possible.

  4. geesaclue 8 years ago

    silent joe,i like betting on this league for btts & over 2.5 goals my local hills price these markets for me every week which i put on an ordinary slip

    • SilentJoe5 8 years ago

      Cheers lads for the advice on the ‘Jupiter Lge’ Friday,,,,
      and ‘geesaclue’ thats what i will do nxt week, there a good bunch in my local Hills

  5. Milesey 8 years ago

    It’s a good job most people don’t know what ” LAY ” actually means, 0-0 with 10 minutes to go, lets hope people backed the under 2.5 goals instead ;) ;)

    sorry to the punters who like the LAY market, this one wasn’t to be, the teams have both gone for it, hit 17 shots each, a total of 34 shots in the game, and no goals :(

    Milesey

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Milesey, I know what it means. I’m a lazy b****** whose going for a lay down. Anyway tips are looking good, Higdon scored first and it’s happy days so far. Just a question: Who takes the credit if Borussia hold on to win?

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      If Hull win i’ll let you take the credit, if they don’t then i need a winner tonight ;)

      Milesey

  6. Milesey 8 years ago

    36 shots later and Dijon get a goal in the 91st minute ha ha ha……… don’t you just love it :(

    Milesey

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Milesey, you might have got away with it if you hadn’t done an unsmiley face. R u watching Hull, do they look like scoring?

    • Milesey 8 years ago

      HAHA, they haven’t even had a shot on target, look as poor as they did in their last game, hopefully will scrape the win.

      Milesey

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Milesey, didn’t back them at the price. Need Dundee United to complete the btts fourfold, surely they’ll get one.

  7. Milesey 8 years ago

    There is your dundee goal ;)

    Milesey

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Milesesy, that’s great. Nice btts fourfold in without a sweat. Top tipping by the lazy b****** on Dundee Utd v Motherwell.

      “Michael Higdon is more likely to break the deadlock and is 9-2 to do so at Titanbet and 13-10 to net at anytime.” WIN WIN

      United are still without top scorer Johnny Russell but Jon Daly and Gary Mackay-Steven both netted against Celtic. Daly is worth a look as anytime scorer if he continues to play up front and is 6-4 at Titanbet.” WIN

      Also tipped Well draw no bet at 17-20 and that’s almost a cert. It pays to lay in your bed all day!

  8. Milesey 8 years ago

    Did you copy me on that one aswell…………. ha ha ha ;) ;)

    Monchengladbach v Augsburg

    While the Bundesliga title has been sewn up earlier than the milkman calls this season, there is still much to play for in Germany’s top division.

    Not least the battle for European places and the scramble for survival, with both themes being explored in this Friday night fixture.

    Five-time German title winners Borussia Monchengladbach in seventh are just five points adrift of the all-important fourth spot, which, as it does in England, represents the Champions League play-off position.

    With current fourth-place occupants Schalke still to visit Monchengladbach in a few weeks’ time, a victory over relegation-threatened Augsburg is paramount to the latter’s designs on a return to the Champions League preliminaries or at the least the Europa League.

    Though their form has been mixed of late, Gladbach’s home is certainly where their heart is. They last suffered defeat at Borussia-Park 11 games ago across all competitions and have only been robbed of all three points twice at home in the league all season.

    After garnering maximum points in their last two home matches, no less than another win for Gladbach will suffice.

    Monchengladbach @ 2.36
    ***********************
    ***********************

    One for the scottish football lovers
    ————————————-

    Dundee United v Motherwell

    Second in the SPL and on course for a place in next season’s Europa League, Motherwell can’t afford to be overhauled if they are to earn an opportunity at improving on this season’s record of no goals and four losses in four European matches, a huge motivation for the Fir Park outfit.

    Standing in their way are the other five teams currently occupying the top half of the now divided SPL, starting with this Friday night assignment at Dundee United.

    United are the bottom team in the end-of-season shake-up and Motherwell must be eyeing three points as they did when visiting Tannadice Park earlier in the campaign.

    On that occasion, Stuart McCall’s men left with a 2-1 victory, typical of their excellent away record in the division, second only to Celtic.

    The Steelmen have actually collected as many points on their travels as they have at home this season and match the Hoops for games won on the road; eight to this point.

    Motherwell arrive on the North Sea coast in tip-top form as well, having gone six games unbeaten, winning four of those.

    Motherwell @ 2.72

    ——————————

    Milesey
    ( Betfair )

  9. Milesey 8 years ago

    66th Min and HULL have their first shot on target , if you can call it a shot was more like a pass back to the keeper :( shocking.

    Milesey

  10. Milesey 8 years ago

    MILESEY’S TIPS – SATURDAY
    **************************

    **********************************
    **********************************

    TOP SINGLES

    HUNGARY: NB I
    Lombard Papa V Győr
    Győr @ 2/5
    OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 4/5

    CZECH REPUBLIC: Gambrinus liga
    Ostrava V Sparta Prague 7:30 K/O
    SPARTA @ 1/2

    CROATIA: 1. HNL
    Cibalia V Din. Zagreb 2:00 K/O
    ZAGREB @ 5/8

    ENGLAND: League One
    Hartlepool V Brentford 5:20 K/O
    BRENTFORD @ 10/11

    ENGLAND: Blue Square North
    Hinckley V Altrincham 3:00 K/O
    OVER 3.5 GOALS @ 6/4

    NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie 7:45 K/O
    Alkmaar V PSV
    PSV @ 4/5

    ***********************************
    ***********************************

    QPR v Stoke
    Back QPR @ 2.2 (6/5)
    Back Over 2.5 goals @ 2.3 (13/10)
    ****************************************
    Swansea v Southampton
    Back Southampton @ 3.1 (21/10)
    Back Over 2.5 goals @ 1.75 (3/4)
    *****************************************
    Back Leicester (+0) to beat Crystal Palace on the Asian handicap at 1.94
    *****************************************
    Back Notts County to beat Doncaster at 6.08
    ******************************************
    Walsall 1.54 v Bury 7.00, the draw 4.20
    Back Walsall to win 3-0 @ 8.80
    *******************************************
    Oldham Athletic 2.40 v Crawley Town 3.25, the draw 3.40
    Lay Oldham Athletic @ 2.40
    Back under 2.5 goals @ 1.89
    Back 0-0 @ 10.0
    ********************************************
    Gillingham 1.8 v AFC Wimbledon 4.9; The Draw 3.75
    Lay Gillingham @ 1.8
    ********************************************
    Back Draw HT/Mansfield FT double results against Wrexham at 4.25
    *********************************************
    Lay Sheffield Wednesday to beat Ipswich @ 2.3
    Lay Inter to beat Parma @ 2.02
    **********************************************
    BTTS

    •Fulham v Arsenal
    •Sunderland v Everton
    •QPR v Stoke
    •West Ham v Wigan
    •Liverpool v Chelsea

    PAYS 13.8
    ***********************************************
    GOALSCORER GAMBLES
    •Loic Remy
    •Olivier Giroud
    •Carlos Tevez
    ************************************************
    MILESEY’S MULTIPLE

    Sunderland to beat Everton
    Leicester to beat Crystal Palace
    Coventry to beat Leyton Orient
    Morecambe to beat Torquay

    Multiple pays 54.68
    *************************************************
    NON LEAGUE DOUBLE
    Southport v Luton Town
    Back Luton Town at 2.88

    Macclesfield Town v Cambridge United
    Back Cambridge United at 2.9
    **********************************
    **********************************

    TOP SINGLES

    HUNGARY: NB I
    Lombard Papa V Győr
    Győr @ 2/5
    OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 4/5

    CZECH REPUBLIC: Gambrinus liga
    Ostrava V Sparta Prague 7:30 K/O
    SPARTA @ 1/2

    CROATIA: 1. HNL
    Cibalia V Din. Zagreb 2:00 K/O
    ZAGREB @ 5/8

    ENGLAND: League One
    Hartlepool V Brentford 5:20 K/O
    BRENTFORD @ 10/11

    ENGLAND: Blue Square North
    Hinckley V Altrincham 3:00 K/O
    OVER 3.5 GOALS @ 6/4

    NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie 7:45 K/O
    Alkmaar V PSV
    PSV @ 4/5

    ***********************************
    ***********************************
    FORMULA ONE – BAHRAIN GRAND PRIX
    back Red Bull to be the winning car between 3.05 and 3.7
    back Webber at 4.7 for a podium finish
    ****************************************************
    SNOOKER
    My staking plan is :
    £100 on Ronnie @ 7.2
    £100 on Robertson @ 7.6
    £40 on Allen @ 16.0
    £10 on Gould @ 130.0

    Back Michael Holt @ 2.6 (vs Walden)
    Back Michael White @ 3.1 (vs Williams)
    *****************************************************

    Milesey

  11. Milesey 8 years ago

    LONDON MARATHON BETTING
    ************************

    Men’s Race – 10.00am (BST) – BBC

    Prior to Monday’s news from the Boston Marathon, the biggest talking point around this year’s men’s race in London had been the decision by Mo Farah to run the first half of the race before dropping out. The reason given – which has been diligently repeated by all those who speak for Farah or the organisers – is that this is ideal preparation for a full-blown attempt on the race in 2014, as Farah looks to move up to the marathon distance in time for Rio 2016.

    Well, perhaps, but given that Farah has already run two half marathons – in New York in 2011 and New Orleans in February of this year – and that there are plenty of high-profile half-marathons that Farah could have targeted, it is a little disingenuous for those concerned to suggest that this appearance is a necessary step in Farah’s progression from track star to marathoner. Rather, it is a (likely very successful) attempt by organisers to link their event with the popular success of last year’s Olympics, an attempt they are no doubt having to reward Farah handsomely for.

    The rest of the elite field are maintaining the party line, with favourite Wilson Kipsang suggesting that Farah’s presence to half-way – and the extra crowd support that will bring – may help push the field on to an eventual marathon world record. If Farah can keep up in the early stages, that is. There is every chance that other pacemakers will take the field over Tower Bridge and through half-way in around 61 to 62 minutes – a pace which would see Farah at his limit based on what he has shown over the distance to date.

    To my mind, there is as much chance that Farah’s presence on Sunday will harm his longer-term marathon prospects as it will help them. Struggling to stay with an elite field over half the distance will leave a lingering doubt in his own mind as to whether he will ever be able to make the transition. He would be far better to target a lower-profile full marathon later this year, allowing himself to toe-the-line in London in 2014 in the knowledge that the distance holds no fears for him.

    Farah aside, the elite race is, as usual, packed with talent. Defending champion Wilson Kipsang (3.75) is a worthy favourite. Second on the all-time fastest list, the Olympics last year provided a shock, for it was the first time since his debut marathon in Paris in 2010 that Kipsang didn’t win a marathon he started. Much of that, though, can be put down to the Olympic course. Unlike the route they will tackle on Sunday, the maze-like course they ran in August led to times in both the men’s and women’s races that were around three minutes slower than you would expect of a top-flight marathon these days. Back on a course that favours fast running, Kipsang will be hard to beat.

    For that reason, Olympic champion Stephen Kiprotich (30.0) is probably best ignored. Yet to break 61 minutes for the half marathon, he is likely to have fallen away from the lead group by the time they enter Docklands.

    Some may be surprised to see world-record holder Patrick Makau as big as 9.00 in places. His record in London is dubious, though: he tripped up at half-way in 2011 before going on to finish third, and dropped out at 12 miles last year. Furthermore, a hastily arranged warm-up handicap-half-marathon in Honolulu, which he completed, in terrible conditions, in over 65 minutes, would not have especially boosted his confidence, and it is hard to determine how Makau has been affected by being linked to a doping scandal in his native Kenya. If Makau is with the leading group at 20 miles, he will be a danger, but I doubt whether he will be.

    The two Mutai’s (unrelated) are both worth considering. Emmanuel (16.0) won the race in 2011, and a repeat of that time would see him in the mix again, but, that London win aside, he has tended to always find one or two too good in the major city marathons. Geoffrey, on the other hand, has run a marathon faster than any other contender here – albeit when winning the not-sanctioned-for-world-records Boston Marathon in 2011 in a breath-taking 2.03. It’s worth remembering, though, that he backed that up with a 2.04 in Berlin in 2012, and has a habit of winning. At 5.80, he looks the best-value win-bet in the field, especially as his sub-59 minute half-marathon in February shows he is bang in form.

    If you’re looking for a couple of longer-priced outsiders to cause a potential upset, Stephen Biwott (16.0) and Ayele Abshero (16.0) aren’t without a chance. Biwott took a significant step forward when winning in Paris last year, and Abshero, who has a poor record in completing marathons, has nonetheless run a 2.04, and, at 22, is still young enough to improve.

    Given the weather forecast for the race is predicting perfect marathon conditions, and given the quality of the field, betting on a new world record at any price over 7.00 would represent some value, and it has to be a 1.50-shot that the course record will go.

    Women’s Race – 9.00am (BST) – BBC

    Given the absence of Mary Keitany, Olympic champion Tiki Gelana (2.70) is a worthy favourite in this year’s race. Although one of four athletes to have run sub-2.20 in the field, she is likely the only one who will repeat the feat on Sunday, and has shown that she has the potential to go sub-2.18 in the right conditions. I expect those odds might look quite generous by the time brunch is finished on Sunday morning.

    At a bigger price, Joyce Chepkirui (30.0) is of interest. Debuting at the marathon distance and a previous pacemaker in London, she has a half-marathon personal best that suggests she could do some damage if suited to going the distance.

    Milesey

    ( betfair )

  12. Willie McGuire 8 years ago

    bettin on marathon winner is way out my comfort zone. am away to get the snickers aff her ;o)
    good night!

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