LEICESTER are odds on for the visit of Birmingham in the Championship this evening but those tuning into Sky Sports 2 at 7.45 will see the home side flop again.
I’ve seen some poor odds in my time but Leicester’s have to be up there with the worst. They are currently trading at around the 1.74 mark having won just one of their last dozen matches and propping up the form table for the last six fixtures.
After looking like automatic promotion candidates for most of the season, Nigel Pearson’s men have been woeful since the start of February. Following on from completing five wins on the spin on the last day of January, the Foxes have dropped like a stone courtesy of seven points from a possible 36, and they are now outside of the play-off places with just five games to go.
They have lost their last two at the King Power Stadium without scoring a goal and while they were reduced to 10 men early on against Millwall, there were no excuses for the defeat to the struggling Sheffield Wednesday. Prior to that it took a last-minute equaliser against Leeds to secure a point and the West Yorkshire outfit have been dire on the road this term.
Birmingham have had a poor campaign themselves as after missing out in the play-offs last season they have been struggling at the wrong end of the table for most of this one. Things have looked brighter in recent weeks though as the Blues have put an impressive run together and climbed to 13th place, only seven points behind tonight’s opponents.
Lee Clark’s side have lost just three of their last 15 in the league and during the month of March won three on the trot – beating Derby at home and then recording excellent victories at Middlesbrough and Crystal Palace.
They have since had two disappointing results at St Andrews – losing to Wolves and being held by Millwall but I’m expecting them to improve now they’re back on the road where the pressure is off.
Leicester may very well end up winning but betting is all about value and they are one of the worst value bets I’ve seen – win or lose. That’s why, at around the 1.74 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.
Lay Leicester v Birmingham @ 1.74