I PUT up an over 3.5 goals Trixie yesterday and here's the reasoning behind the bet. It's based on stats and two out of three would land a nice profit but it's a speculative bet and my unit stake will be 0.25 points.

Napoli to win are my Super Single as they head to Cagliari on the back of 1 3-0 win against Fiorentina and impressive 4-1 thumping of Wolfsburg away in the Europa League.

I thought about going with over 3.5 goals as the Super Single with two of the recent meetings finishing 3-3. Cagliari suffered back-to-back 3-1 defeats before a 2-0 loss to Genoa in which they wasted plenty of chances. If Napoli are on it this has every chance of going over 3.5 goals.

Next take Wolfsburg v Schalke which has gone over 3.5 goals in four of the last six playings of this fixture – with the other two finishing 2-1. We know Wolfsburg love their overs and while the h2h suggests loads of goals it's worth noting Schalke's last two matches have finished 0-0.

Utrecht v Twente also produces goals on a regular basis. It was 3-1 Twente earlier in the season and Utrecht triumphed 6-2 a couple of years ago. Four of Twente's last five have gone over 3.5 goals as have three of Utrecht's last five.

Utrecht v Twente kicks off a both to score treble and I'm adding Inter v Milan with the reasoning given on the top tips post.

Complete the treble with Lille v Bordeaux which has come up in five of six meetings including a 5-4 away win.

Over 3.5 goals Trixie

Wolfsburg v Schalke (4.30pm)
Cagliari v Napoli (5pm)
Utrecht v Twente (3.45pm)
Perm any 2 and all 3 (4 bets)
Treble pays 18-1 at BetVictor

1pt both teams to score treble

Utrecht v Twente
Inter v Milan (7.45pm)
Lille v Bordeaux (1pm)
(5-1, Ladbrokes)


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