We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.
With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.
Here are this week's selections.
Our Super 6 Challenge predictions
Spurs vs Newcastle
Tottenham host Newcastle in a fixture shaped by defensive fragility and card pressure. Spurs’ last 26 home league games read W4-D7-L15, conceding in 23 and conceding two or more in 16. That run explains why Spurs home matches rarely close down. Defensive xGA at home remains elevated and shots inside the box conceded consistently exceed eight per match.
Despite that, Spurs continue to create chances. Home SIB and shots on target for remain strong, driven by aggressive wide play and second line runners. Spurs rarely fail to score at home, even when results turn against them.
Newcastle’s away profile is more nuanced. They have scored 11 away goals all season, with seven coming in two games against Everton and Burnley. That suggests finishing volatility rather than structural failure. Newcastle still produce SIB and shots on target at a level sufficient to score against open opponents like Spurs.
Spurs’ attacking volume and Newcastle’s ability to score against exposed defences support both teams to score. Spurs’ marginal home edge and Newcastle’s limited away control point toward a narrow home win
- Score 2-1 at 9/1 with Skybet
Chelsea vs Leeds Utd
Chelsea host Leeds in the Premier League on Tuesday evening. Chelsea arrive under Liam Rosenior with games consistently opening up. Across his nine matches in all competitions, Chelsea fixtures average 3.67 goals, with both teams to score landing in seven. His four league games average 3.75 goals, supported by recent underlying numbers of 1.99 xG and 1.76 xGA. That balance explains why Chelsea control territory but still allow chances.
At home, Chelsea continue to generate strong attacking pressure. Shot volume inside the box remains high and shots on target conceded also sit above four per game, preventing matches from settling. Their home record shows points accumulation without clean sheet stability, keeping scorelines narrow but open.
Leeds travel with a reliable scoring profile. They have scored in 13 of their last 15 matches, with only Arsenal managing to shut them out. Leeds away xG sits at 1.47, with consistent SIB volume driven by wide progression and second phase attacks. Their xGA remains elevated, explaining why Leeds games rarely close down after taking the lead.
The matchup points toward Chelsea controlling territory and possession while Leeds continue to create enough chances to score. Chelsea’s stronger xPTS position and shot quality advantage at home should tilt the game late.
- Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet
West Ham vs Man Utd
West Ham face Manchester United needing points to move out of the bottom three. United arrive with strong results but underlying volatility. Away from home, both teams to score has landed in 11 of 12 league games, while 83% of those games have gone over 2.5 goals. United away xG sits at 1.71 and xGA at 1.15, reflecting consistent chance creation alongside defensive exposure.
West Ham home games show a similar profile. 75% of their home matches have produced at least three goals. Home xGA stands at 1.90, with 7.67 SIB and 4.92 shots on target conceded per game. Their own attacking output remains relevant, generating 6.17 SIB and over three shots on target per game.
United’s shot data remains aggressive, but defensive SIB conceded remains high, particularly late in games. West Ham’s desperation for points increases tempo and risk, especially at home.
Simon Hooper averages 4.43 cards per game, supporting broken rhythm and transition moments. With both sides producing sustained box entries and neither controlling defensive territory, goals at both ends are expected.
United’s quality should prevent defeat, but West Ham’s home urgency and chance volume suggest parity.
- Score 2-2 at 11/1 with Skybet
Man City vs Fulham
Manchester City host Fulham in a fixture defined by control rather than chaos. Fulham’s away profile is built around damage limitation, but that approach has consistently left them exposed to sustained pressure. Fulham’s away xGA remains elevated when facing possession dominant sides, while their own xG output drops sharply due to limited progression into the box. Shots inside the box away from home are consistently low, and shots on target generated rarely exceed two per match in these fixtures.
City’s home metrics underline why this game is expected to follow a familiar pattern. Home xG remains strong, supported by heavy SIB volume and sustained shots on target creation. City’s ability to recycle possession around the box suppresses opponent shot volume, with shots on target conceded at home staying low. That control limits transition opportunities and prevents games from opening up unnecessarily.
Fulham’s away record reflects this dynamic. They struggle to turn defensive phases into attacking sequences, leading to long spells without shots. Even when Fulham concede early, their response is conservative rather than aggressive, which reduces goal expectancy at both ends.
City’s xPTS at home supports a high probability of a controlled win rather than a rout. The data points toward City scoring through sustained pressure while keeping Fulham at arm’s length. With Fulham’s low away SIB and City’s suppression of shots on target, a clean sheet is likely. A 2-0 scoreline aligns with City’s efficiency, Fulham’s limited attacking threat, and the expected low volatility of the game state.
- Score 2-0 at 6/1 with Skybet
Aston Villa vs Brighton
Aston Villa host Brighton in a matchup defined by scoring consistency and card volume. Villa home xPTS sits mid table but defensive stability has slipped. Villa home xGA trends above 1.40, with SIB conceded regularly clearing seven. Brighton have scored in nine of 12 away matches, reinforcing their ability to convert away pressure.
Brighton away xG sits close to 1.50, supported by steady SIB and shots on target output. Their xGA remains elevated, keeping games open when they lead.
Villa’s attacking structure remains effective. Home SIB and shots on target for stay above league median, while Watkins and second line runners maintain finishing threat.
The matchup supports both teams scoring, with neither side controlling territory long enough to shut the game down. Villa’s home attacking edge is matched by Brighton’s away conversion rate
- Score 2-2 at 11/1 with Skybet
Sunderland vs Liverpool
Sunderland host Liverpool in a fixture shaped by sustained pressure against defensive fragility. Sunderland’s home profile shows clear vulnerabilities. Home xGA remains high, driven by heavy shots inside the box conceded and consistent shots on target allowed. Opponents regularly generate extended spells of pressure, with Sunderland struggling to clear defensive phases.
Liverpool’s away metrics align perfectly with that weakness. Away xG remains strong, supported by high SIB and shots on target output. Liverpool consistently generate chances through wide overloads and central runners, maintaining attacking pressure even after scoring. Their away xPTS reflects an ability to control games through chance creation rather than reliance on moments.
Sunderland retain some attacking threat at home. Their xG suggests they can generate at least one goal, particularly when games open up. However, their defensive numbers make sustained resistance unlikely. Shots on target conceded regularly exceed five per match, which increases the probability of multiple goals against.
Liverpool’s away xGA is not minimal, allowing opponents opportunities, but their ability to outshoot and outcreate opponents offsets that risk. Sunderland’s home record shows they can score, but rarely contain top level attacking sides.
The data supports Liverpool scoring multiple times through sustained pressure, with Sunderland contributing once via volume rather than dominance.
Score 1-3 at 12/1 with Skybet
The total odds for all six games are a massive 1,048,319/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun. I am keen to back Man City to win 2-0 and Chelsea to beat Leeds 2-1. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 55/1 with Skybet.
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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