We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.
With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.
Here are this week's selections.
Our Super 6 Challenge predictions
Bournemouth vs Chelsea
Vitality Stadium stages this contest on Saturday afternoon. Bournemouth hold 19 points from 14. They score in eleven of fourteen and their home games hit over 2.5 in 50%. Big-chance creation totals reach seven across the last four.
They concede 8.8 shots in the box at home and their npxGA rank sits mid-table. Defensive issues remain, with only two clean sheets from fourteen and an xGA of 1.42 across the last four league games.
Chelsea sit fourth with 24 points. The last eight sample shows improvement. xPTS stands at 11.14 (10th), driven by defensive control of 1.24 xGA and seven goals conceded in that stretch. They record 7.8 shots inside the box and 1.18 open-play xG per game. Their away metrics show reliability in chance creation. They have scored in 11 of 14 and have kept clean sheets in half of their away fixtures.
Bournemouth have conceded five or more SiB in each of their last four. Chelsea’s SiB supremacy across that period is +4.8. Corners for numbers sit above five, showing consistent pressure. Bournemouth’s xG rises in transition but they surrender territory early, conceding first in three of their last four home games.
Chelsea’s technical advantage and superior defensive profile shape the higher win expectation. Bournemouth’s attacking return ensures competitive exchanges but the visitors hold the upper hand.
- Score 1-2 at 15/2 with Skybet
Man City vs Sunderland
The Etihad stages a meeting between one of the league’s most dominant sides and a newly promoted side exceeding all expectations. Manchester City sit second with nine wins, 32 goals scored and 16 conceded.
At home they show strong process across every metric. xG reaches 1.58 with 1.09 xGA, while shots on target average 6.57 for and 2.71 against. Their home shots in the box stands at 11.43 for and 5.57 against. Over 2.5 goals lands in 71% of their home matches and they have kept four clean sheets in seven.
The last eight league games keep City in the upper bracket. xG sits at 1.66 with 1.04 xGA and xPTS at 14.79 (third over this period). Big-chance creation remains high with six across the four-game block and touches in the box heavily in their favour. They rarely fail to score and often break matches open early.
Sunderland travel with a very respectable league position but weak away process. They have six wins overall, yet away their record is W2-D2-L3. Over 2.5 has landed in only 14%, but that reflects their failure to contribute rather than strong defending.
Away xG stands at 0.94 with 1.40 xGA. Sunderland fail to score in 57% of away fixtures and create only five shots in the box per game, while conceding nine. Their non-penalty xG ratio on the road ranks in the bottom four.
City’s superiority in xG, shots, big chances and home xPTS points toward a controlled victory with limited threat at the other end
- Score 2-1 at 15/2 with Skybet
Spurs vs Brentford
The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium hosts a narrative-heavy meeting as Thomas Frank faces his former club. Tottenham sit 11th with a 23-18 goal record and a poor home return of W1-D2-L4.
Despite structural work, they remain fragile. In the last eight league games their xG stands at 1.15 with 1.47 xGA and xPTS at 9.89 (13th).
At home, shots in the box profile at 4.9 for and 6.4 against, with xGA at 1.36 and non-penalty xGA ranked 15th. Only one home clean sheet has arrived with a 3-0 win over Burnley, and across their last 45 home matches there have been five clean sheets.
Spurs score regularly. They have found the net in 12 of 14 league fixtures and in five of seven at home. Over 2.5 lands in 57% of their home games and both teams score in 57%. Their attacking play produces sustained pressure, with eight big chances in the last four and strong numbers for touches in the box.
Brentford travel with a W6-D1-L7 record and a goal difference of 21-22. Matches under Keith Andrews average 3.07 goals and both teams score in nine of fourteen. Away form is very poor with W1-D0-L6, with over 2.5 landing in 67% and both teams scoring in 67%.
They have conceded at least two goals in six of seven trips but have scored in five. Away xG is 1.44 with 0.98 xGA, yet the last eight show 2.09 xG and 1.05 xGA, reflecting high-event contests. Big-chance totals across that spell reach sixteen.
Spurs’ need for a response, their scoring consistency and Brentford’s away profile all point towards another busy scoreboard
- Score 2-2 at 7/1 with Skybet
Newcastle vs Burnley
Newcastle welcome Burnley to St James Park on Saturday with the hosts chasing consistency against a Burnley team fighting at the bottom.
Newcastle are W5-D4-L5 with a 19-18 goal record. Their home profile leans toward open matches. Over 2.5 has landed in 67% of games, both teams to score in 67%, with clean sheets in 33%. Home xG stands at 1.16 against 1.18 xGA, while shots in the box show 8.00 for and 8.33 against, highlighting a willingness to trade chances.
Recent form, though mixed, still shows threat. Across the last eight league fixtures their xG is 1.40 with 1.71 xGA and xPTS at 10.04 (14th). They generate 7.1 shots in the box per match with seven big chances at home this season and possess aerial strength at set plays.
Burnley arrive 19th with three wins and 10 defeats. They concede heavily. Overall goals against stand at 28 from 14 games. Away matches are particularly loose. Over 2.5 has landed in 100% of their trips and both teams to score in 86%, with no clean sheets. Away xGA is 1.87 with 0.74 xG for, while shots in the box are 3.4 for and 9.5 against across the last eight.
Big-chance numbers away read seven for and 14 against. Their last four league games show 0.74 xG, 2.02 xGA and only one win.
Newcastle’s attacking volume, combined with Burnley’s defensive record, points toward a home victory with multiple goals
- Score 3-1 at 9/1 with Skybet
Everton vs Nottingham Forest
Goodison Park hosts a tight-looking Premier League clash on Saturday. Everton sit in mid-table with six wins and a 15-17 goal record. Their home process is cautious. Across seven league games they see over 2.5 goals in 43% and both teams scoring in 43%.
Home xG sits at 1.11 with 1.41 xGA, while shots on target show a 3.71 to 4.29 deficit. In the last four, Everton’s xG drops to 0.92 with two clean sheets, pointing to low-margin contests decided by small moments rather than sustained pressure.
Nottingham Forest arrive with four wins and a 14-22 goal difference. Away numbers highlight a similar profile. Over 2.5 has landed in 33% of their trips, both teams scoring in 33% and they fail to score in half.
Their away xG is 1.40 against 1.39 xGA, but the last eight league games show mixed control at 1.50 xG and 1.51 xGA with xPTS at 11.68 (8th). Forest carry threat with ten big chances created on the road, yet concede six big chances against.
Both teams rank in the lower half for non-penalty xG ratio. Everton’s last eight xG total of 2.54 and Forest’s of 3.01 suggest balanced but unspectacular attacks. Defensive numbers are similar and neither side has a strong record of chasing games from behind.
With both defences limiting clear openings and attacking metrics close together, a shared outcome looks most likely.
- Score 1-1 at 5/1 with Skybet
Leeds vs Liverpool
Elland Road under the lights hosts a fixture that often delivers strong narratives. Leeds enter the weekend in the bottom four, with W4-D2-L8 and a 16-26 goal record. Their home form shows promise.
Across seven matches they stand W3-D2-L2 with games averaging 2.57 goals. After scoring once across the opening two home fixtures, they have since seen both teams score in five straight home league games, all with at least three goals and an average of 3.40. Over 2.5 now lands in 67% of their home schedule.
Back Leeds to score at 40/1 odds at Parimatch
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Process data reflects a high-risk approach. In the last eight league matches Leeds post 1.58 xG and 1.58 xGA with xPTS at 11.14. Home non-penalty xG sits at 1.28 with 1.36 npxGA. Shots data shows 14.00 efforts and 4.33 on target per home game but they allow 9.50 shots against and 2.83 on target. Their big-chance numbers are positive but defensive structure often breaks. For home xPTS they sit sixth.
Liverpool arrive with a mixed season. They have W7-D1-L6, scoring and conceding 21 goals. Away from Anfield, over 2.5 has landed in 71% of matches and both teams score in 57%, with only two clean sheets in seven.
Their last eight league games show 1.82 xG and 1.42 xGA, while non-penalty xG sits near the top bracket. In all competitions the current run is W4-D1-L9, conceding 1.79 per match with three clean sheets, two at home.
Leeds’ open style and Liverpool’s attacking quality, combined with defensive vulnerability on both sides, point towards another high-scoring contest.
Score 2-2 at 11/1 with Skybet
The total odds for all six games are a massive 624,239/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun, I am keen to back both Newcastle to win 3-1 and Chelsea to beat Bournemouth 2-1. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 84/1 with Skybet.
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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