Sky Super 6 Challenge predictions: Hammers finally start the season

We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.

With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.

Here are this week's selections.

Our Super 6 Challenge predictions

Everton vs Fulham

Everton’s underlying home process remains stronger than their results suggest. Despite the 3-0 loss to Tottenham, they have averaged 1.84 xG for and 1.44 xGA across five home matches, producing a positive xG ratio of over 55%. Their ability to generate territory and consistent shot volume has kept them competitive in most matches, with Jordan Pickford, James Tarkowski, and Idrissa Gueye giving them stability at the back. The creative spark often comes through Jack Grealish, who draws fouls and sustains pressure through his dribbling and link play with Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall.

Fulham’s away form has been poor, losing four consecutive away games and averaging just 1.02 xG for and 1.34 xGA on their travels. Marco Silva’s side have taken all three of their league wins at home, struggling to convert chances or build sustained attacks away from Craven Cottage. Although Fulham have lost just one of their last seven league meetings with Everton, their recent away metrics are concerning and they have created only one big chance per game over that stretch and allowed nearly twice that number.

• Score 1-0 at 6/1 with Skybet

West Ham vs Burnley

This is a meeting between two sides short on belief and consistency. West Ham’s home record shows real vulnerability, ranking 19th for xG ratio (36%) and bottom five for xPTS. They concede an average of 1.92 xGA at home, among the highest in the league, and have allowed 10.4 shots inside the box per match at the London Stadium. Their defensive structure has faltered, and they have struggled to sustain attacks beyond transitions or set pieces. Their home fixture over Newcastle last time could be the start of their season.

Burnley offer little more encouragement. Scott Parker’s side sit bottom for xG ratio (26%), with an away profile of 0.73 xG for and 1.85 xGA, reflecting their inability to create or contain. They have conceded 15 big chances, the joint-most in the division, and have yet to find a consistent formula in either phase of play. Both sides are desperate for control but lack the efficiency and confidence to build sustained momentum.

• Score 2-1 at 15/2 with Skybet

Sunderland vs Arsenal

Sunderland’s home metrics are respectable with 1.15 xG for and 1.22 xGA reflecting a side that competes well territorially but can be exposed against higher-quality opposition. They have lost only once at home this season, but this represents a steep challenge. Arsenal’s data profile is unmatched across the league. Over their last eight matches, they lead in xPTS (18.59), xG ratio (76%), and big-chance supremacy (+7 differential). Their process shows total balance: 1.89 xG for and 0.58 xGA per game, with their defence restricting opponents to minimal shots inside the box and just 0.34 xGA from open play.

Mikel Arteta’s side also average over 10 shots inside the box per match and dominate field position with high pressing and wide overloads. Sunderland’s ability to stay compact early could frustrate Arsenal for spells, but their limited big-chance creation of just eight in total this season makes it difficult to sustain attacking pressure.

• Score 0-2 at 5/1 with Skybet

Aston Villa vs Bournemouth

Aston Villa’s decline has been one of the clearer trends in recent weeks. Across their last eight league matches, they rank 18th for xG (0.77) and 18th for xG ratio (40%), underlining how blunt their attack has become.

They also sit bottom for big-chance creation (only two in that period) and have registered a league-low 1.9 xG from set-pieces. At home, Villa’s process tells a similar story with just 0.73 xG for and 1.07 xGA, giving them one of the weakest home attacking records in the division.

Bournemouth, by contrast, are trending upward. Away from home they have averaged 1.03 xG for and 1.19 xGA, a balanced profile that suggests their performances have been stronger than results imply. Their xG total of 2.47 per away match shows they are regularly involved in competitive, open games, and they have created seven big chances in recent weeks, driven by sharper transitions and improved chance conversion.

Villa’s issues come from a lack of fluidity in possession as they rank in the bottom three for touches inside the box (15.1 for, 22.5 against) over the last eight games while Bournemouth’s front line has found rhythm in exploiting space.

• Score 1-2 at 11/2 with Skybet

Brentford vs Newcastle

This looks one of the most evenly balanced fixtures of the weekend based on both form and process. Brentford have been consistently productive at home, ranking sixth in the Premier League for xG (1.58 per game) and creating 12 big chances in total. Keith Andrews’ side average 7.9 shots inside the box per home game and have posted an xG ratio of 55.6% at the Gtech, showing they often edge the underlying numbers even when results are mixed.

Newcastle have been harder to judge. Their away process is solid but unspectacular as they average 1.06 xG for and 0.99 xGA, reflecting a low-event style that focuses on control and structure rather than sustained pressure. Across their last eight matches, they have produced a non-penalty xG ratio of 50% and rank mid-table for xPTS, while their defensive metrics (six big chances conceded away) remain among the better figures in the league.

Brentford tend to make home games competitive through direct play and sustained territory, but Newcastle’s compact approach and counter threat make them dangerous when the game opens up. Both teams’ recent patterns point toward a tight match defined by small margins rather than dominance from either side.

• Score 1-1 at 11/2 with Skybet

Man City vs Liverpool

Manchester City’s 2-0 loss to Tottenham in August remains their only home defeat this season, and their underlying process since has been excellent. Across their last eight matches, City rank second in the Premier League for xPTS (12.82) and average 1.44 xG for to just 1.12 xGA. Their control metrics remain elite, and they have not lost consecutive home games in the league since Pep Guardiola’s first campaign.

Liverpool sit just below City on most metrics, with an attacking process of 1.83 xG for and 1.25 xGA over their last eight. They create regular big chances but concede plenty, ranking mid-table for defensive solidity and often allowing opponents shots inside the box. Arne Slot’s side can score anywhere but remain inconsistent on the road, with mixed results and performances despite high xG totals.

City’s overall xG ratio, home xPTS strength, and superior game control make them narrow favourites. Liverpool’s attacking threat will likely force chances both ways, but City’s balance and finishing quality at the Etihad still set them apart.

Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet

The total odds for all six games are a massive 185,639/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun, I am keen to back both Arsenal to win 2-0 and West Ham to claim a 2-1 victory. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 50/1 with Skybet.

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