Sky Super 6 Challenge predictions: Forest edge closer to safety

We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.

With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.

Here are this week's selections.

Our Super 6 Challenge predictions

Chelsea vs Bournemouth

Stamford Bridge stages a Premier League meeting where territory and pressure should tilt heavily one way. Chelsea continue to deliver mixed outcomes but the underlying structure at home remains strong.

Across the last eight league games they average 1.48 xG and concede 1.24 xGA, with five clean sheets arriving more through matchup control than outright dominance. At home Chelsea generate high shot volume and rank well for touches in the box, although chance quality can fluctuate and early breakthroughs are not always forthcoming. When Chelsea settle into prolonged possession phases they recycle pressure effectively, forcing opponents deeper and increasing box entries as games progress.

Bournemouth arrive with clear away vulnerabilities. Over the last eight league matches they concede 1.55 xGA and allow regular big chances, particularly through central cutbacks once defensive lines are stretched. Their away xG battle win rate sits among the lowest in the league, highlighting an inability to sustain pressure or disrupt rhythm for long spells. Bournemouth can threaten in transition, but those moments are usually isolated and fade as territory is conceded.

The matchup favours Chelsea’s ability to control the middle third and sustain attacks. Bournemouth’s defensive shape tends to collapse under repeated pressure, and Chelsea’s depth of attacking rotations should force errors even if the tempo starts slowly. With Bournemouth unlikely to sustain threat and Chelsea capable of managing game state once ahead, the profile points toward a controlled home win rather than an open contest.

• Score 2-0 at 15/2 with Skybet

Burnley vs Newcastle

Turf Moor hosts a fixture shaped by contrasting trajectories rather than contrasting ambition. Burnley remain anchored near the bottom following a difficult stretch that continues to expose structural weaknesses.

Over the last eight league games they average just 0.92 xG while conceding 1.79 xGA, a gap that defines their results. Only one point has been collected in that period and no clean sheets have been recorded. At home Burnley struggle to control territory, allowing regular shots in the box and conceding 13 big chances across those eight games. Their attacking threat is sporadic, with four of their last nine home matches producing one goal or none.

Newcastle arrive with a steadier but unspectacular profile. Over the last eight games they average 1.31 xG and concede 1.49 xGA, enough to score regularly but not enough to dominate opponents. Eleven points taken broadly match their 10.37 xPTS, suggesting results reflect performance. Away from home Newcastle remain competitive, winning the xG battle in half of their matches and scoring in most fixtures despite limited clean sheets.

Burnley’s defensive issues increase Newcastle’s scoring probability, while Newcastle’s own concession rate keeps Burnley alive through set pieces and second balls. The balance leans toward the away side creating the clearer chances without fully shutting the game down.

• Score 1-2 at 7/1 with Skybet

Nottingham Forest vs Everton

The City Ground sets the scene for a contest shaped by caution and marginal gains. Nottingham Forest have shown improvement at home without becoming expansive. Over the last eight league games they average 1.45 xG and concede 1.26 xGA, with three clean sheets driven largely by low tempo game states rather than sustained control.

Forest generate shots in volume at home but struggle to convert pressure into clear big chances, and once level they often slow the game rather than forcing it.

Everton arrive with a similarly restrained profile. Across the last eight league matches they average just 1.03 xG and concede 1.18 xGA, collecting results through compact defensive structure rather than attacking output.

Away from home Everton rank poorly for shots in the box for and rely heavily on set pieces for chance creation. Their away games average 1.89 total goals, with four of nine producing one goal or fewer.

This matchup lacks attacking upside. Both teams protect central areas and avoid committing numbers forward unless forced. Neither side profiles for sustained pressure, and late phases often become slower rather than more chaotic. With both teams comfortable defending a draw and reluctant to open the game unnecessarily, the balance points toward a low margin outcome decided by a single moment.

• Score 1-0 at 11/2 with Skybet

West Ham vs Brighton

Pressure rather than momentum defines this Premier League meeting at the London Stadium. West Ham enter the fixture with defensive issues clearly exposed. Over the last eight league games they concede 1.81 xGA and allow heavy volume inside the box.

At home they rank near the bottom for shots in the box ratio and touches in the box ratio, struggling to hold territory for sustained spells. Clean sheets remain rare and game state often turns against them once they fall behind.

Brighton arrive with a more balanced but open profile. Over the last eight games they average 1.68 xG and concede 1.76 xGA, producing matches that remain competitive without control. Brighton allow big chances at a high rate and their away clean sheet record is weak, but they generate pressure through possession and wide overloads, particularly when opponents sit deep.

The tactical clash suits chaos rather than control. West Ham retain threat from set pieces and second balls, while Brighton’s pressing forces turnovers high up the pitch. Neither side suppresses chances well and both concede from similar zones, which keeps the game open even when tempo drops.

• Score 1-1 at 6/1 with Skybet

Man Utd vs Wolves

Volatility continues to define Manchester United matches rather than dominance. Over the last eight league games they average 1.73 xG and concede 1.27 xGA, with both teams to score landing in five of the last six. At Old Trafford United generate high shot volume and rank strongly for shots in the box ratio, but defensive concentration drops after scoring and control is often lost in second halves.

Wolves arrive with the weakest attacking profile in the league. Over the last eight matches they average just 0.68 xG while conceding 1.80 xGA. Away from home they struggle to generate box entries and rely on speculative shots. Wolves have failed to score in six of the last eight games and rarely sustain pressure beyond brief spells.

This matchup strongly favours United’s attacking volume. Wolves lack the tools to exploit United’s defensive lapses and are likely to spend long periods pinned back. Even without full control, United’s chance creation should be sufficient to secure a win while keeping Wolves at arm’s length.

• Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet

Arsenal vs Aston Villa

Control meets form at the Emirates in one of the standout fixtures of the round. Arsenal remain the league’s strongest home control side. Over the last eight games they average 1.94 xG and concede just 0.69 xGA, winning every home xG battle this season. They rank first for shots in the box ratio, touches in the box ratio, and big chance supremacy at home. Arsenal games are structured, with patient pressure and strict limitation of opposition shot quality.

Aston Villa arrive on an 11 game winning run and deserve respect. Across the last ten matches they average 2.70 points per game and score freely. However, defensive numbers remain open. Villa concede 1.26 xGA over the last eight and allow regular box entries away from home. Their away xG battle win rate sits at just 12.5%, among the lowest in the league, with wins often driven by efficiency rather than sustained control.

This matchup points toward Arsenal dictating tempo. Villa will threaten in moments, but Arsenal’s structure reduces shot quality and second phase chances. Once ahead, Arsenal typically manage games rather than force high totals.

Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet

The total odds for all six games are a massive 198,015/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun. I am keen to back Man Utd to beat Wolves 2-1 and then Newcastle to beat Burnley by the same score line. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 64/1 with Skybet.

🔗 Share on Social Media