We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters strong prizes for correctly predicting six Premier League scores.
With that in mind, we are taking on the Super 6 Challenge once again.
Here are this week’s selections.
Our Super 6 Challenge predictions
Wolves vs Liverpool
Wolves host Liverpool at Molineux on Tuesday night.
Wolves arrive after a 2-0 win over Aston Villa, but the underlying home data remains fragile. Their home NPxG sits at 1.08 while NPxGA is 1.46.
They average 9.69 shots for and 11.23 against, with 3.69 shots on target for but 4.69 conceded. They rank 17th for home xG ratio and 16th for home xPTS, suggesting they are often second best on process even when results land.
Liverpool’s away profile is far stronger. Away NPxG stands at 1.66 with NPxGA at 1.01. They rank second for away xPTS at 22.46 and hold a 62.2% away xG ratio. Their away chance creation includes 7.14 shots inside the box per game and 19 big chances across the campaign.
Wolves have conceded 30 goals at home, 2.14 per match, the highest in the league. Against a side producing consistent away pressure and high quality chances, Liverpool should generate enough to control the game.
- Score 0-2 at 6/1 with Skybet
Aston Villa vs Chelsea
Villa Park hosts Aston Villa vs Chelsea on Wednesday.
Villa’s home defensive profile is solid. They have conceded just 11 goals in 14 home games, 0.79 per match, with five clean sheets. Home xG stands at 1.26 and xGA at 1.20, supported by 13.23 shots for and 9.31 against.
Chelsea’s away games are more open. They score 1.92 away goals per match, the highest in the league, but concede 1.15. Away NPxG is 1.59 and NPxGA 1.56. Both teams to score has landed in 69% of Chelsea away games and over 2.5 in 69%.
Chelsea have created 13 away big chances but conceded 19, which gives Villa a route. Over the last eight matches Chelsea’s xG is 2.24 with xGA 1.46, while Villa sit at 1.24 and 0.91. Chelsea bring the stronger attack but Villa hold the cleaner defensive base.
- Score 1-1 at 6/1 with Skybet
Brighton vs Arsenal
Brighton welcome league leaders Arsenal to the Amex.
Arsenal’s away metrics are elite. Away NPxG is 1.78 and NPxGA just 0.72. Their away xG ratio is 71.2% and they top away xPTS at 30.97. They also lead the league for away shots inside the box ratio at 65.4% and shots on target ratio at 63.8%.
Arsenal have kept six clean sheets in 15 away matches and conceded just 13 goals, 0.87 per game. They have failed to score away only twice.
Brighton’s home xG is 1.37 with xGA at 1.55. Their home xPTS rank is 18th and over the last eight games they have posted just 0.91 xG with 1.49 xGA. That drop in attacking sustainability is significant.
Arsenal’s control of box entries and chance quality suggests they will dictate territory and limit Brighton’s output.
- Score 0-2 at 13/2 with Skybet
Man City vs Nottingham Forest
Manchester City host Nottingham Forest on Wednesday at the Etihad.
City’s home numbers remain dominant. They have scored 34 goals in 14 home matches, 2.43 per game, and conceded only nine, 0.64 per game. They have seven clean sheets and have won the xG battle in 13 of 14 home fixtures.
Home NPxG is 1.74 with NPxGA 1.16. They average 15.31 shots and 5.77 shots on target per game at home.
Forest away concede 22 goals in 14 games, 1.57 per match, and score 0.92 per match. Away NPxG is 1.23 with NPxGA 1.34. They have won the away xG battle in just two of 14.
City’s home big chances stand at 17 for and 12 against. Forest away have eight big chances created and 15 conceded.
The process gap is clear, and City’s defensive structure at home reduces Forest’s scoring probability.
- Score 2-0 at 13/2 with Skybet
Fulham vs West Ham
West Ham travel to Craven Cottage needing points.
Fulham have scored 24 goals in 14 home matches, 1.69 per game. West Ham have conceded 22 in 13 away matches, 1.71 per game.
Fulham’s home xG is 1.24 with xGA 1.44, while West Ham away post 1.17 NPxG and 1.62 NPxGA. West Ham concede 14.85 shots and 5.62 shots on target away, one of the heavier defensive workloads in the league.
Fulham have failed to score in just 8% of home matches. West Ham have failed to score in 31% away. Both teams to score stands at 62% for Fulham at home and 54% for West Ham away. Over 2.5 sits at 62% for West Ham overall.
Recent eight game form shows Fulham at 1.21 xG and 1.77 xGA, while West Ham sit at 1.53 and 1.36. The profiles suggest chances at both ends but Fulham’s home scoring consistency is key.
- Score 2-1 at 15/2 with Skybet
Newcastle vs Man Utd
The headline fixture on Wednesday night comes from St James’ Park.
Newcastle have scored 26 in 14 at home, 1.71 per game, but conceded 23, 1.64 per game. Their home both teams to score rate is 71% and over 2.5 also 71%.
Home NPxG is 1.47 with NPxGA 1.25. They average 13.31 shots and 5.15 shots on target at home.
Manchester United away score 1.64 per match and concede 1.57. Away both teams to score has landed in 86%, the highest in the league. They have kept just one away clean sheet.
Away NPxG stands at 1.55 with NPxGA 1.20. United average 4.85 shots on target away.
Newcastle’s last eight show 75% both teams to score and 75% over 2.5. United’s last eight sit at 62.5% for both teams to score and over 2.5.
Both sides bring consistent away and home scoring profiles, while neither defence shows a reliable clean sheet trend.
- Score 2-2 at 9/1 with Skybet
The combined odds for all six correct scores are 234,280/1 with Skybet. Even a £1 stake gives the chance of a sizeable return.
The standout single calls are Arsenal 2-0 and Liverpool 2-0, which combine at 52/1.
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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