We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.
With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.
Here are this week's selections.
Our Super 6 Challenge predictions
Arsenal vs Brentford
The Emirates welcomes a fixture shaped by Arsenal’s elite process. Last-four numbers show 2.34 xG, 0.40 xGA, 9.5 SiB, six big chances and two clean sheets, giving them the strongest profile in the division.
Brentford approach in solid attacking form at 1.35 xG with high big chance totals across both home and away datasets, but their defensive record is inconsistent. Arsenal dominate almost every advanced metric: top for NPxG, SOT ratio, SiB ratio, touches ratio and overall supremacy across four and eight-game windows.
Brentford concede 4.5 SiB and 10 big chances in their last four and rely heavily on efficiency. Arsenal’s xPTS returns remain league-leading, supported by an xG battle win rate of 91.7%. Brentford’s away xGA of 1.11 and elevated SOT concession leave them exposed to sustained Arsenal pressure.
- Score 2-0 at 11/2 with Skybet
Brighton vs Aston Villa
The Amex hosts two sides trending in opposite directions. Brighton’s last-four xG of 1.41 and xGA of 0.81 reflect balanced control, while Aston Villa operate with slimmer margins at 1.23 xG and 0.83 xGA but lower shot and big chance volume.
Brighton’s eight-game SiB numbers (6.5 for, 6.9 against) show steady attacking activity, though not elite.
Villa’s away metrics reveal limited shot creation at 2.17 SOT and 5.4 SiB. Brighton generates more touches in the box and outperform in most offensive ratios.
Villa’s eight-game xPTS overperformance paired with suppressed attacking volume signals potential regression. Brighton’s defensive numbers at home remain stronger than Villa’s away returns.
- Score 2-1 at 15/2 with Skybet
Burnley vs Crystal Palace
Burnley welcome Crystal Palace on Wednesday night which is a meeting of contrasting defensive levels.
Burnley’s last-four xGA stands at 2.02 and their big chance conceded reaches 9.0, placing them bottom across many defensive categories. Palace arrive with compact process, allowing only 0.70 xGA, 4.3 SiB conceded and two big chance against in the same period.
Palace also carry a 75% xG-battle win rate and strong eight-game defensive returns. Burnley create only 0.74 xG and allow extreme shot volumes at 7.5 SiB and 12.0 big chances.
Palace’s away NPxGA of 1.08 and SOT-against figures remain stable, suggesting they control game states better than most mid-table sides.
- Score 0-2 at 7/1 with Skybet
Wolves vs Nottingham Forest
Molineux stages this midweek meeting between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Nottingham Forest, two sides carrying similar defensive issues into the game.
Wolves enter with a fragile last-four profile, producing 1.03 xG but allowing 2.06 xGA and failing to record a clean sheet. Their defensive concessions are heavy, with 8.5 SiB faced and eight big chances against per match, highlighting repeated exposure inside the box.
Forest travel with slightly stronger attacking numbers at 1.28 xG across the same sample, although they still concede 1.21 xGA and regularly feature in both teams to score and over 2.5 outcomes.
Their recent matches show attacking presence through 8.3 SiB and steady big chance creation, giving them a more balanced threat despite defensive inconsistency.
Across eight games Forest hold close to level xG supremacy, while Wolves sit in negative territory across several categories including SOT, SiB, big chance and touches, reflecting long-running weaknesses in both penalty-box control and shot prevention.
Both sides carry fluctuating clean sheets and both teams to score patterns, supported by high concession rates, which increases the likelihood of goals for each team
- Score 1-2 at 8/1 with Skybet
Liverpool vs Sunderland
Anfield hosts this midweek meeting between Liverpool and Sunderland, a fixture shaped by a clear statistical divide.
Liverpool enter with a last-four return of 1.33 xG and stronger control across key penalty-box metrics, including steady SiB and reliable SOT output. Their attacking volume remains stable, supported by consistent big chance creation at home.
Sunderland arrive with significant defensive pressure in recent games. Their last-four profile shows 2.28 xGA, 10.3 SiB conceded and seven big chances allowed per match, indicating sustained exposure in dangerous areas. The wider eight-game sample increases the gap further, with 1.86 xGA and high concession rates across SiB, SOT and touches in the box.
Liverpool continue to produce dependable final-third numbers, while Sunderland’s away NPxG sits near the bottom of the league and their defensive structure shows little improvement across longer windows.
Their both teams to score and over 2.5 patterns point to open matches but also repeated vulnerability, particularly against sides with strong box occupation.
Liverpool’s overall superiority in xG, SiB ratios and big chance production supports a clear result.
- Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet
Leeds vs Chelsea
Leeds Utd welcome Chelsea to Elland Road on Wednesday, a contest shaped by contrasting defensive trends.
Leeds enter with a weakened last-four profile, allowing 2.20 xGA, 9.3 SiB and eight big chance per match, signalling repeated breakdowns close to goal. Their attacking output remains active, but the volume of high-value chances conceded continues to drag their overall process down.
Chelsea arrive with one of the strongest recent defensive records in the division. Across their last four matches they allow only 0.56 xGA, 3.5 SiB and one big chance, showing sustained control in key areas.
Their eight-game xG sits at 1.49, while the four-game xPTS total reaches 8.23, confirming steady territorial and chance quality advantages.
Chelsea’s away metrics strengthen the picture further. Their SiB ratio ranks near the upper bracket, supported by efficient SOT numbers and reliable big chance creation. Leeds generate useful attacking sequences but concede too much space inside the box, leaving them exposed against sides with strong possession and penalty-area structure.
Chelsea’s superiority across xG, SiB and big chance metrics supports the predicted margin.
Score 1-3 at 12/1 with Skybet
The total odds for all six games are a massive 413,711/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun, I am keen to back both Arsenal to win 2-0 and Palace to win 2-0 at Burnley. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 51/1 with Skybet.
Bet on both teams to score in Newcastle v Tottenham at 30/1 odds at talkSPORT Bet
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The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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