In football betting, a “shot on target” typically refers to any shot directed towards the goal that would have gone in had it not been saved by the goalkeeper or blocked by the last defender.
This betting market involves predicting the total number of shots on target during a match by a team or individual player, often including shots that were saved or blocked but were otherwise on target.
Our shots on target betting picks
Brentford vs Aston Villa
Since moving to Aston Villa Marcus Rashford has looked revitalised, appearing more settled and confident in his performances. His attacking output has improved, and he’s been consistently involved in Villa’s forward play.
Since joining, he has registered at least one shot on target in five of his six appearances, with his only blank coming in his debut—where he played just 25 minutes. In Villa’s recent Europa Conference League clash against Club Brugge, he started and managed a shot on target, further showcasing his involvement in their attack.
Looking at his recent shot on target numbers in all competitions, across both Villa and his final games for Manchester United: 1, 3, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0, 1, 1. Notably, at United, he was frequently subbed off before 60 minutes, limiting his opportunities. However, at Villa, he is expected to play longer, increasing his chances of registering a shot on target.
Brentford’s defensive record also suggests Rashford should have opportunities. At home, they concede an average of 4.86 shots on target per game, with only Southampton allowing more across the league. While Villa have struggled on the road—conceding 2+ goals in nine of their last 12 away matches—their attack remains a threat. They average just 2.92 shots on target per away game, but with a frontline of Watkins, Rashford, and Asensio, they have the quality to trouble Brentford’s defense.
Given Rashford’s recent form, expected minutes, and Brentford’s defensive vulnerabilities, backing him for at least one shot on target looks like a solid bet.
- Best Bet: Marcus Rashford over 0.5 shots at 1.95 with Coral
Brighton vs Fulham
Yankuba Minteh has been in excellent form recently, consistently testing opposition goalkeepers. In his last nine Premier League games, he has registered 11 shots on target, managing at least one in seven of those matches. The only exceptions came against Crystal Palace and Ipswich, though against Ipswich, he played just 68 minutes.
His recent shot numbers further highlight his consistency: in his last five Premier League games, he has recorded nine shots on target with individual game totals of 1, 3, 2, 2, 1. Now looking settled after his summer move, Minteh’s pace and attacking intent make him a key player in Brighton’s frontline.
Brighton, as a team, have found their rhythm under their new manager and have looked much stronger since their 7-0 loss to Nottingham Forest. They are improving as a unit and are beginning to show their quality after a summer of transition.
Fulham’s defensive struggles away from home also work in Minteh’s favour. They have conceded in 10 of their 13 away games this season, while Brighton have scored in 10 of their 13 home matches. Given Minteh’s current form and Brighton’s attacking resurgence, he looks well-positioned to test the Fulham keeper with at least one shot on target.
- Best Bet: Yankuba Minteh over 0.5 shots on target at 1.8 with Coral
Wolves vs Everton
Beto has finally been given his opportunity at Everton, and he’s making the most of it. The change in management has clearly benefited him, with David Moyes adopting a far more attacking approach compared to the defensive setup under Sean Dyche. Injuries to Dominic Calvert-Lewin have also ensured Beto gets consistent starts, allowing him to build confidence and momentum.
Under Moyes, Everton have become much more forward-thinking. The full-backs are pushing higher, and the team is committing more players forward to support the striker—whether that’s Beto or Calvert-Lewin when fit. The attacking improvement is clear in the underlying numbers:
• xG has risen from 0.94 to 1.30 over the last eight games.
• Shots in the box have increased from 5.1 to 6.4 per match.
• Goals per game have jumped from 0.67 under Dyche to 1.88 under Moyes.
Beto himself has been heavily involved, registering 11 shots on target in his last five starts, with game totals of 2, 2, 2, 3, 2.
Wolves have tightened up defensively since Gary O’Neil’s departure, but they have lost their key attacking threat in Matheus Cunha, making them less dangerous going forward. Despite slight improvements, they are still in the relegation battle and have benefited from some favorable circumstances recently—facing a poor Manchester United side at Molineux, a Bournemouth team that went down to 10 men early, and an Aston Villa squad struggling after a Champions League fixture.
With Everton’s more attacking style and Beto’s recent shot output, he looks well-positioned to test the Wolves goalkeeper at least once in this game.
- Best Bet: Beto to have over 1.5 shots on target at 3.45 with Unibet
Combining Beto, Rashford and Minteh all to have at least one shot on target each can be backed at 5.22 with Unibet
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