Sky Super 6 Challenge predictions: Home comforts for Villa

We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.

With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.

Here are this week's selections.

Our Super 6 Challenge predictions

Liverpool vs Burnley

Anfield stages a classic top versus bottom dynamic, but one shaped by control rather than chaos. Liverpool host Burnley with the visitors arriving in severe form trouble and the hosts continuing to manage games rather than overwhelm them.

Liverpool average 1.50 goals per home match and concede only 0.76 xGA over the last four games. Their home matches average 2.5 total goals, and only two of their home fixtures all season have exceeded 4.5 goals. Big chances are evenly split recently, reinforcing control rather than blowouts.

Burnley’s last 12 league games read W0-D2-L10, with only two matches seeing five or more goals. They average 0.91 goals per home match and 1.20 away but concede heavily in territory and shots inside the box. Away clean sheets sit at 0%, and their xG across recent games is among the lowest in the league.

Liverpool’s ability to control game state and Burnley’s limited attacking ceiling point toward a routine but measured home win.

• Score 2-0 at 5/1 with Skybet

Chelsea vs Brentford

Stamford Bridge pairs two London sides trending in opposite emotional directions. Chelsea continue to flatter in phases without translating control into points, while Brentford arrive as one of the league’s most aggressive attacking away sides despite erratic results.

Chelsea’s underlying numbers remain strong in attack but unstable defensively. Over the last eight games they average 1.82 xG while conceding 2.03 xGA, with BTTS landing in 62% of league matches and 60% at home. Shots inside the box sit at 9.6 for and 8.9 against, reflecting games that rarely settle. Their home clean sheet rate is 40%, but failed to score has not been an issue, occurring only 10% of the time overall.

Brentford’s away data explains their volatility. They score 1.20 goals per away match yet average high big chance totals and an away both teams to score rate of 50%. Across the last eight games they post 1.64 xG and 1.54 xGA, with shots inside the box close to parity. Their matches against stronger sides often swing on finishing rather than control.

Both sides rank high for over 2.5 goals, and neither profile suggests sustained defensive suppression. Chelsea’s pressure and Brentford’s counter attacking output combine into a familiar script.

• Score 2-2 at 11/1 with Skybet

Sunderland vs Crystal Palace

A relegation shaped contest unfolds in the north east as Sunderland host Crystal Palace in a fixture where margins matter. Both sides operate with limited attacking ceilings and rely heavily on game state.

Sunderland’s home scoring is inflated by venue split. They score 1.60 goals per home match but only 0.45 away. Over the last eight games they average just 0.72 xG while conceding 2.17 xGA, the lowest ratio in the league. Failed to score occurs in 38% of matches overall.

Palace’s away output is modest but steadier. They score 1.20 goals per away match with both teams to score landing only 40% of the time away. Over recent games their xG sits at 1.29 with xGA of 1.53, reflecting limited attacking ambition.

Neither side pushes numbers aggressively, and both rank low for over 2.5 goals.

• Score 1-1 at 8/1 with Skybet

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal

Saturday evening shifts to the City Ground where Nottingham Forest face an Arsenal side built on control rather than spectacle.

Forest score 1.20 goals per home match but only 0.82 away. Over the last eight games they average 1.18 xG and 1.19 xGA, with shots inside the box at parity. Failed to score occurs in 48% of matches overall, one of the highest rates in the league.

Arsenal’s away structure remains disciplined. They score 1.40 goals per away match, win the xG battle in 80% of away games, and concede only 1.00 xGA over the last eight. Over 4.5 goals lands only 20% of the time away.

Arsenal’s control and Forest’s limited attacking ceiling point toward a professional away win.

• Score 0-2 at 6/1 with Skybet

Wolves vs Newcastle

Sunday afternoon brings a fixture where perception clashes with performance. Wolves sit bottom of the table, but their underlying metrics suggest resistance, while Newcastle arrive as heavy favourites without dominant away results.

Wolves rank 11th on xPTS over the last eight games and concede only 1.25 xGA across that run. They average 1.00 goals per home match and remain competitive in shots inside the box despite results.

Newcastle have won only two away games all season, one coming against Burnley. Their away scoring averages 1.00 goals per match with both teams to score landing only 50% of the time.

The gap between price and performance favours Wolves keeping this tight.

• Score 1-1 at 13/2with Skybet

Aston Villa vs Everton

Villa Park hosts a fixture shaped by control and class separation. Aston Villa welcome Everton with the visitors struggling badly against top half opposition.

Villa score 1.80 goals per home match and sit strong on home xG and shots inside the box. Over the last eight games they average 1.77 xG and 1.70 xGA, but manage games effectively once ahead.

Everton’s record against teams ranked 10th and above is W2-D2-L6. One win came despite losing the xG battle 1.71 to 0.21. Away scoring averages just 0.90 goals per match.

Villa’s structure and Everton’s limitations point toward a controlled home win.

Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet

The total odds for all six games are a massive 272,159/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun. I am keen to back Arsenal to win 2-0 and Aston Villa to beat Everton by two goals to one. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 55/1 with Skybet.

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