In football betting, a “shot on target” typically refers to any shot directed towards the goal that would have gone in had it not been saved by the goalkeeper or blocked by the last defender.
This betting market involves predicting the total number of shots on target during a match by a team or individual player, often including shots that were saved or blocked but were otherwise on target.
Our shots on target betting picks
Chelsea vs Everton
Marc Cucurella has now registered 19 shots across 31 appearances this season. While that number isn’t anything special at first glance, it’s a different story recently. After managing just one shot in his first 13 games, Cucurella has produced 18 shots across his last 18 appearances, registering at least one in 14 of those matches.
At Stamford Bridge, he has been even more consistent. In Chelsea’s last nine home games, Cucurella has recorded 12 shots, hitting at least one in eight of them, and he has scored four goals across those matches.
Chelsea are desperate for points in their push for a top-five finish, while Everton have been solid under David Moyes, posting a record of W5-D6-L3. Those losses came against Aston Villa in Moyes’ first game in charge, and later against Manchester City and Liverpool.
Chelsea are averaging 18.75 shots per home game, while Everton are conceding 13.83 shots per away game under Moyes. With Cucurella consistently getting into advanced areas, especially at home, and Chelsea expected to dominate the ball, there is a strong case for him to register at least one shot — and potentially even find the net again.
- Best Bet: Marc Cucurella over 0.5 shots at 1.80 with BetVictor
Brighton vs West Ham
Brighton are dealing with a long injury list, with Adam Webster, Tariq Lamptey, Igor, Paul van Hecke, Georginio Rutter, and James Milner all sidelined, while Joao Pedro is suspended.
James Ward-Prowse was recalled from his loan spell at Nottingham Forest, where he made just five starts. Since returning, he has made eight starts for West Ham under Graham Potter, registering five shots — all of which have come in his last five appearances.
West Ham are expected to line up with Carlos Soler, Ward-Prowse, and Lucas Paqueta in midfield, a setup that should give Ward-Prowse more licence to get forward. He is also likely to be on set-piece duty around the edge of the box, giving him a good chance to register a shot on goal.
- Best Bet: James Ward Prowse over 0.5 shots at 1.75 with Ladbrokes
Wolves vs Leicester City
Emmanuel Agbadou has made 11 starts for Wolves since signing from Reims in January, registering five shots across those appearances, including three in his last four matches.
Leicester have conceded just nine goals from set pieces this season, which looks respectable on the surface. However, no team has allowed more shots from dead-ball situations, with 153 conceded across 33 games. Only Southampton have posted a higher xGA from set pieces than Leicester, and 27% of all shots they concede come from these situations.
Wolves come into this full of confidence, while Leicester are in disarray after suffering relegation. The fans have turned on the players and the club, and manager Ruud van Nistelrooy has overseen 16 defeats in his 20 games in charge. Under Van Nistelrooy, Leicester are conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game, and they have the second-highest xGA from set pieces over the last eight matches.
With Agbadou getting into good positions recently and Leicester’s persistent struggles defending set pieces, there’s every chance he can be a threat in this game.
- Best Bet: Emmanuel Agbadou over 0.5 shots at 1.80 with Bet365
Backing Marc Cucurella, James Ward Prowse and Emmanuel Agbadou to register at least one shot at goal each can be backed at 5.02 with Bet365.
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