Champions League champions Paris Saint-Germain missed their chance to seal this playoff in the first leg and will now have to give their all in the return leg against Monaco, who did them a huge favour in Ligue 1 over the weekend with their victory over Lens.
Statistically, the first match should not have ended 3-2 for PSG. The Champions League trophy holders dominated from the first to the last minute, finishing the match with 30 shots on goal and 3.09 xG.
Monaco were barely present on the pitch with their 20% possession, but managed to score two quick goals before the 20th minute. After that, the game was played in their penalty area and could easily have ended with many more goals for PSG.
The Monegasques are far from their best form, although they achieved a great victory against the former leaders in Ligue 1, Lens. If PSG play like they did in the first match, it will be a very difficult evening for Monaco.
How the bookies view it: One-sided from start to finish
Bookmakers share this opinion and expect total domination from the Parisians, which creates an opportunity for those who love surprises and high odds.
PSG are available at 3/10, while Monaco are priced at 8/1. If you think there is a chance of a draw, you can back it at 11/2.
Recent head-to-head: PSG dominate at home
This will be the third clash between the two teams this season, with Monaco winning once in Ligue 1 and PSG prevailing in the Champions League last week.
In fact, Monaco have three wins against PSG in their last 10 games, but each of them has been at home. Games in Paris usually end in a big home win, with PSG scoring 3+ goals in six of their last 10 home games.
Players to watch: The future is here and his name is Desire Doue
Desire Doue was given the difficult task of compensating for the absence of Ousmane Dembele, who was injured in the 27th minute against Monaco. And the 20-year-old did so in sensational fashion with a brace and an assist.
Over the weekend, he also scored one of the goals in the victory against Metz. His momentum is impressive, and we are sure that he will try to make the most of it in the rematch.
Backed a player to find the net? Check our Goalscorer Betting guide to see how the markets work and where to find value.
Probable line-ups
Paris Saint-Germain: Safonov, Mendes, Pacho, Marquinhos, Hakimi, Neves, Vitinha, Zaire-Emery, Kvaratskhelia, Ramos, Doue
Monaco: Kohn, Zakaria, Faes, Kehrer, Henrique, Teze, Camara, Diatta, Adingra, Coulibaly, Balogun
Anything else catch the eye?
On their best days, Monaco are fully capable of spoiling PSG's plans, but we don't think Luis Enrique will allow that to happen at the moment.
The first match proved how much better the Parisians are in terms of form, and they fully deserved to lead by at least five goals.
As long as they don't make any serious mistakes as they did in the first 20 minutes last week, we expect Monaco to be eliminated ingloriously and without scoring any more goals.
GambleAware