Iraq v Norway
Iraq

Iraq vs Norway

, KO: 23:00 , Gillette Stadium
Norway

Norway will make their long-awaited return to the World Cup when they face Iraq at Gillette Stadium on Tuesday night.

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The Norwegians have endured a long and painful 28-year absence from football's global showpiece.

However, they forced their way back onto the biggest stage in emphatic fashion, winning all eight of their qualifying matches, including home and away victories over Italy.

As such, Stale Solbakken's side come into the tournament as many observers' dark horses.

However, the Lions have been drawn into a particularly competitive group, where they will face both France and Senegal, as well as their opening opponents, Iraq.

Iraq became the last team to qualify for the tournament after defeating Bolivia 2-1 in an intercontinental playoff, booking only their second World Cup appearance and their first since 1986.

How the bookies view it: Norway fancied to start strongly

Norway enter their first World Cup in almost three decades as heavy 1/5 favourites with bet365.

Iraq are as big as 11/1 with the same bookmaker to mark their return to the world stage with a victory, while a share of the spoils at Gillette Stadium is also considered unlikely at 6/1.

Head to head: History book blank

With the two sides from different continents and neither a regular presence at major tournaments over the years, it is no surprise that Iraq and Norway will meet for the first time ever on Tuesday night.

Players to watch: Haaland to hit the ground running?

Erling Haaland is a short-priced 2/5 to score anytime, but he can be backed to find the net in a Norway win with under six match goals at a more attractive 4/5 with bet365.

Iraq will look to Aymen Hussein for inspiration on Tuesday night after he notched nine goals during qualifying. The 30-year-old forward is as big as 5/1 with bet365 to find the net.

Predicted line-ups

The aforementioned Hussein was reportedly held for questioning by immigration officials for seven hours upon Iraq's arrival in the USA, but he has since been granted entry into the country and is available for selection.

As for Norway, they come into their Group I opener with a fully fit squad to choose from.

Iraq: Hassan; Sulaka, Doski, Putros, Ali; Al-Ammari, Bayesh, Iqbal; Jasim, Hussein, Farji

Norway: Nyland; Ryerson, Ajer, Ostigard, Holmgren Pedersen; Berge, Thorstvedt, Odegaard; Nusa, Haaland, Sorloth

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Norway to win

Norway's first World Cup appearance in 28 years has been driven by one of the most explosive attacks in international football.

Erling Haaland finished as the leading scorer across global qualifying with 16 goals, helping Norway win all eight of their qualifying matches while scoring 37 times and conceding only five. The underlying numbers are equally impressive. Norway averaged 3.23 xGF per game during qualification, the highest figure in the entire tournament dataset.

Their campaign also included two victories over Italy, including a remarkable 4-1 win in Milan, highlighting the level they reached against elite opposition.

Iraq's route to the tournament was considerably longer and more demanding. They required 21 qualifying matches and an intercontinental playoff victory over Bolivia to secure their place. Graham Arnold has improved the team's organisation and competitiveness, but the numbers suggest clear limitations remain.

Iraq's competitive xGF of 1.00 per game points to a side that creates chances sparingly, while an xGA of 1.27 indicates opponents are still finding opportunities with reasonable consistency. Against an attack as powerful as Norway's, those defensive weaknesses are likely to come under sustained pressure.

The Elo ratings reinforce the gap between the sides. Norway's advantage of 307 points translates to a 65.8% win probability on a neutral venue. With superior quality throughout the pitch and the tournament's most productive attack, Norway winning with something to spare looks the most likely outcome.

Anything else catch the eye?

As mentioned, Norway are short-priced favourites here, but siding with them to win alongside a clean sheet does bolster the odds to 4/5 with bet365.

That looks good value given Iraq have failed to score in each of their three defeats in the lead-up to the tournament, blanking against Algeria, Jordan and Venezuela last time out.

Backing Norway to win by at least two goals, with the aforementioned Haaland on the scoresheet also catches the eye at 10/11 with bet365.

Iraq vs Norway Betting Tips & Predictions
Norway Win, Under 5.5 Goals & Erling Haaland To Score Anytime
4/5
Bet365
Norway Win by 2+ Goal Margin & Erling Haaland To Score Anytime
10/11
Bet365
Norway Win To Nil
4/5
Bet365
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