Galatasaray vs PSGUEFA Champions League, KO: 20:00 Oct 1, 2019, Türk Telekom Stadium
AT first glance this looks like it'll be a routine win for PSG but if you'll indulge me, let's explore the possibility of Galatasaray causing an upset at 10/1 at the Türk Telekom Stadium on Tuesday.
The immediate conclusion to draw from Matchday One is that PSG will stroll Group A. They swept Real Madrid aside with two goals from Di Maria and a late strike from Meuneir to put some gloss on the their 3-0 win. It was arguably PSG's best performance of the season to date and puts them in pole position to finish top of the group.
They're also top of the tree in Ligue 1 but they've been far from convincing. They've lost two of their opening eight in the league and since his return, Neymar has bailed them out on no less than three occasions, scoring three late goals in three 1-0 wins versus Strasbourg (18th in the table), Lyon (11th) and Bordeaux (6th). They're still without Cavani and Draxler, although Mbappe is being eased back in to action.
As for Galatasaray, they would've been disappointed with their 0-0 draw at Club Brugge on the opening Matchday. They failed to really trouble the Belgians despite having the lion's share of possession. But it's a point on the board, and more than likely it'll come down the head-to-head between those two sides to determine who drops in to the Europa League in third place in the group.
Domestically they've not made a great start, in fact it's their worst since the 1989/90 season. Despite that they've only lost once (W2 D3) and are five points off the top after six games. So that's all the negatives out the way.
Istanbul can be a notoriously difficult place to go and ‘Cimbom' are now 39 unbeaten at home in the league. However their European home record isn't quite as impressive as you'd expect. They've won just two and drawn six of their last 13 continental matches. But, their record against French sides is very good; they're unbeaten in their last six home matches against French clubs (W4 D2) and have lost only once against Ligue 1 visitors in Istanbul.
They've found the net in six of their last nine home Champions League group stage matches, scoring 10 in total. PSG conceded in all six group games last season, and have kept a clean sheet in just five of their last 15 group matches on the road.
I'm very tempted with a small bet on Galatasaray at what looks a huge price of 10/1. I still need a little convincing that they can pull off a victory, but with that home record and PSG's apparent inconsistency this season it just looks too big a price to ignore, as does the 15/2 (BetVictor) on Gala Draw No Bet.
But my main bet will be on Galatasaray to score (PSG no clean sheet) which is 4/5 with Blacktype.
This UEFA Champions League match between Galatasaray and PSG will be played on Oct 1, 2019 and kick off at 20:00