Everton v Burnley
Everton

Everton vs Burnley

, KO: 19:30 , Hill Dickinson Stadium
Burnley

Everton will be targeting back-to-back wins in the Premier League when they play host to Burnley on Tuesday night.

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After falling to a 1-0 defeat at home to Manchester United last Monday night, David Moyes' men returned to winning ways with a thrilling 3-2 win at Newcastle on Saturday.

That triumph lifted the Toffees up to 8th place in the Premier League standings, and they will now look to continue making inroads on the sides housed above them this midweek.

What's more, Everton will be looking to snap a six-game winless run at home in the Premier League when Burnley come calling.

As for the visitors, they saw their mini-revival come grinding to a halt when losing 4-3 at home to Brentford on Saturday.

That latest setback edged Scott Parker’s side closer to the top-flight trapdoor, as it left them eight points adrift of safety.

How the bookies view it: Everton in easy street

Despite failing to win any of their last seven home matches across all competitions, Everton come into this clash as short-priced 13/20 favourites on bet365.

Burnley are big outsiders at 9/2 on bet365, while the draw is trading at 27/10 with the same firm.

Head to head: History favours the hosts

Everton hold the upper hand in this fixture, claiming 55 wins from 124 encounters, with Burnley victorious 38 times and the other 31 games finishing level.

The pair played out a drab 0-0 draw at Turf Moor in this season’s reverse fixture, and another goalless affair on Tuesday night is priced at 10/1 with Sky Bet.

Players to watch: Ndiaye to deliver?

Three of Iliman Ndiaye’s five Premier League goals this season have come at home, making the Everton forward an attractive option for either a goal or an assist here at 10/11 on bet365.

Having already racked up six yellow cards across his 20 Premier League appearances this season, Burnley’s Hannibal Mejbri looks like a prime candidate for another booking on Tuesday night at 29/10 with Ladbrokes.

Predicted line-ups

As was the case at the weekend, Everton will again be without injured duo Carlos Alcaraz and Jack Grealish.

Scott Parker is likely to make changes to his starting XI following Saturday's bruising 4-3 defeat to Brentford. However, the Burnley boss will be unable to call upon the services of Armando Broja, Axel Tuanzebe, Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer, Josh Cullen, Mike Tresor and Zeki Amdouni.

Everton: Pickford; O'Brien, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Garner, Gueye; McNeil, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye; Barry

Burnley: Dubravka; Humphreys, Worrall, Esteve, Pires; Ugochukwu, Ward-Prowse; Hannibal, Foster, Anthony; Flemming

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Everton win & under 4.5 goals

Everton vs Burnley at the Hill Dickinson Stadium presents a clear data edge toward Everton win and under 4.5 goals.

Burnley arrive with a W2-D3-L9 record and are conceding 2.36 goals per game. Their underlying numbers are the weakest in the league. They average just 0.73 NPxG and allow 1.83 NPxGA, ranking 20th for xG ratio and across multiple attacking and defensive metrics.

They concede 16.92 shots and 5.69 SOT per match, showing sustained pressure against them in the box. Across recent form tables they sit bottom for xPTS over four, eight and 12 game samples.

Everton’s profile is stronger if not explosive. They post 1.15 NPxG and 1.42 NPxGA, with 11.77 shots and 3.85 SOT per game. Their xPTS returns are mid table, reflecting a stable rather than volatile side. Burnley’s low attacking output limits the chance of a shootout, while their defensive numbers suggest Everton should create enough to win.

The gap in xG, SIB and record points toward a controlled home victory within a four goal ceiling.

Anything else catch the eye?

Backing Everton to win alongside under 4.5 goals boosts the price on a home success to a far more appealing 10/11 with bet365.

That combination would have proven profitable in nine of the Toffees’ 11 top-flight triumphs this term, including each of their four victories on home soil.

Elsewhere, the 10/11 available with bet365 for both teams to score also offers value, given that it's landed in 11 of Burnley’s 14 away matches in the Premier League this season.

Everton vs Burnley Betting Tips & Predictions
Everton Win & Under 4.5 Goals
10/11
Bet365
Both Teams to Score
10/11
Bet365
Iliman Ndiaye To Score or Assist
10/11
Bet365
Further Reading
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