Crystal Palace v West Ham
Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace vs West Ham United

, KO: 20:00 , Selhurst Park
West Ham United

West Ham United will be hoping there's a European hangover from Crystal Palace as they look to take a big step towards Premier League safety with a win at Selhurst Park.

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The Hammers battered Wolves 4-0 at home in their last outing and it was enough to move them out of the drop zone last weekend.

But Nuno Espirito Santo's side need to keep their foot on the gas and will see this game as a great chance to get three more points on the board.

Crystal Palace booked their place in the UEFA Conference League semis on Thursday night, with two bets landing for me, and will prioritise Europe for the rest of the season.

Oliver Glasner let his players have a night out in Florence on Thursday after seeing off Fiorentina and may decide to give a few big hitters a rest.

But the Eagles haven't let the continental exploits affect their Premier League form of late, going unbeaten in their last three domestic games.

How the bookies view it: Hammers overpriced at 21/10

I'm surprised to see West Ham as big as 21/10 with Bet365 for this one given Crystal Palace are coming off the back of a trip to Florence. The Eagles are 7/5 at StarSports while the draw pays 9/4 with Betfred.

Recent head to head: Eagles are flying

Crystal Palace have dominated this fixture of late, losing just one of the last seven meetings. Five of those games have been wins, including a 2-1 triumph at the London Stadium earlier this season.

Players to watch: Grand Strand finish

Crystal Palace could make a few changes and Jorgen Strand Larsen stands a chance of starting up front. The towering Norwegian always offers a threat and he's 6/5 with Paddy Power to score or assist.

Taty Castellanos has impressed for West Ham since his January arrival from Lazio and scored a double in that win over Wolves. The Argentinian is 6/4 at Bet365 to score or set one up at Selhurst Park.

Backed a player to find the net? Check our Goalscorer Betting guide to see how the markets work and where to find value.

Probable line-ups

Key Palace midfielder Adam Wharton and stopper Maxence Lacroix were forced off in the first half on Thursday night and are set to miss out. Cheick Doucoure, Eddie Nketiah and Evan Guessand are also in the treatment room.

West Ham boss Santo has a clean bill of health and will be tempted to stick with the same team that blew away Wolves last time out.

Crystal Palace: Henderson, Munoz, Richards, Canvot, Riad, Mitchell, Hughes, Kamada, Lerma, Johnson, Strand-Larsen.

West Ham United: Hermansen, Walker-Peters, Disasi, Diouf, Mavropanos, Summerville, Fernandes, Bowen, Soucek, Castellanos, Pablo.

 
🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Palace to edge it

Crystal Palace hold the stronger profile coming into this game, particularly at home.

They rank fifth for xG and xPTS across the last eight, while West Ham sit mid table for xG and lower for xPTS with negative box metrics. Palace average 1.54 xG at home and control games better defensively, conceding just 1.34. West Ham’s away numbers show vulnerability, allowing 15.06 shots and 5.68 shots on target per game.

Their attacking output is limited, with 1.22 NPxG and weaker big chance creation. Palace’s structure suggests control rather than high scoring games, with 44% over 2.5 and balanced shot profiles. This points towards a home side with enough quality to win, but without the conditions for a high total.

A Palace win combined with under 4.5 goals fits both teams’ profiles.

Anything else catch the eye?

West Ham United look overpriced for this one, given Crystal Palace have some key players injured and will be tired after that trip to Italy. Santo's side are only 8/13 in the double chance but backing them to win either half is better at 21/20 with 888Sport.

This game matters a lot more to the Hammers than their hosts so I'm expecting them to be fiercer in the tackle. That makes the evens on offer for West Ham to have most cards a decent option at Bet365.

We saw 16 corners when these sides faced off earlier in the season and backing over 10.5 flag kicks for this game pays 5/4 at Paddy Power.

Crystal Palace vs West Ham United Betting Tips & Predictions
West Ham to win either half
21/20
Bet365
West Ham most cards
Evens
Bet365
Over 10.5 corners
5/4
PaddyPower
Further Reading
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