West Ham United have given themselves hope in the Premier League relegation battle but you get the feeling this trip to Burnley is a must-win game if they're to stay up.
It looked like the Hammers would make it three league wins in a row when they raced into a 2-0 lead away to Chelsea last weekend.
But they conceded three times in the second half, bringing up two bets for our man Greg, and that has left them six points adrift of safety.
Nuno Espirito Santo has West Ham in much better shape though, and they will fancy their chances against a Burnley side who appear doomed to the drop.
Monday's dismal 3-0 loss away to Sunderland has left Scott Parker's men 11 points behind fourth-bottom Nottingham Forest.
The Clarets have generally been competing well but they just can't find a way to win games, with just three victories from their 24 league fixtures so far.
They will need an incredible finish to the season to avoid dropping back to the Championship, but a win in this game would at least give them a glimmer of optimism.
How the bookies view it: Hammers with the edge
With West Ham in decent form, they're favourites for this one at 6/5 with Unibet. Burnley are as big as 12/5 at BetMGM and the draw pays 5/2 with the same firm.
Recent head to head: Seven and hell for Burnley
West Ham won a 3-2 thriller when these sides met earlier in the season and that made it seven games without defeat for them in this fixture.
Players to watch: Summer loving
Crysencio Summerville is in a rich vein of form for West Ham, with the winger scoring in his last four matches. The former Leeds United man looks good at 23/10 with William Hill to score or assist.
Burnley's biggest problem this season has been the lack of a regular scorer. Jaidon Anthony and Zian Flemming lead the way in the Premier League with just five goals each and Anthony looks their best bet for a goal here at 16/5 with BetMGM.
Backed a player to find the net? Check our Goalscorer Betting guide to see how the markets work and where to find value.
Probable line-ups
Burnley have a long injury list with Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer, Zeki Amdouni, Josh Cullen, Joe Worrall, Flemming and Mike Tresor set to miss out.
West Ham only have keeper Lukasz Fabianski injured but defender Jean-Clair Todibo is banned after his red card against Chelsea.
Burnley: Dubravka, Esteve, Tuanzebe, Humphreys, Walker, Ugochukwu, Florentino, Pires, Edwards, Anthony, Broja.
West Ham United: Areola, Diouf, Mavropanos, Kilman, Wan-Bissaka, Summerville, Fernandes, Bowen, Soucek, Castellanos, Pablo.
Anything else catch the eye?
Even though West Ham lost against Chelsea, it was another decent display, while Burnley were so poor in their loss to Sunderland. So I fancy the Hammers for a big three points and adding on over 1.5 goals boosts their odds to 8/5.
Midfielder Mateus Fernandes has been showcasing his long-range shooting of late, and he followed up a goal against Sunderland with an effort on target at Stamford Bridge. The midfielder is 9/4 at Bet365 to get another effort on target here.
Both teams will be going for the win in this one so it should be an open game. That makes over 10 corners a decent option at 11/10 with Bet365.
GambleAware