https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.mrfixitstips.co.uk%2Fmain%2F2023%2F12%2FMRF2024 Brentford v Wolverhampton Wanderers
Brentford

Brentford vs Wolves

, KO: 20:00 , Gtech Community Stadium
Wolves

Brentford will be looking to return to winning ways in the Premier League when they welcome Wolves to the Gtech Community Stadium on Monday night.

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The Bees are flying high this term, but they head into this clash on the back of a goalless draw away at Bournemouth in their last top-flight outing.

Since then, Keith Andrews’ side have been knocked out of the FA Cup by West Ham, losing on penalties after a 2-2 draw at the London Stadium on Monday night – a match where all three of my selections landed.

Eager to bounce back at the first time of asking, the capital club will be aiming to halt Wolves’ recent revival.

Rob Edwards’ side have won each of their last two Premier League matches, claiming eye-catching victories over both Aston Villa and Liverpool.

Still bottom of the table, Wolves remain 12 points adrift of safety, but another success on Monday night could have them daring to dream of pulling off a great escape.

How the bookies view it: Bees to sting Wolves

Despite failing to win each of their last three Premier League home matches, Brentford enter this clash as short-priced 11/20 favourites on bet365.

Wolves are as big as 19/4 with bet365 to make it three Premier League wins on the spin, while the draw is unfancied at 16/5 with the same firm.

Head to head: Wolves’ record up to scratch

Historically, this has been a closely-fought fixture, with Wolves edging the head-to-head record with 17 wins from 38 meetings, compared to Brentford’s 15 victories, while six contests have ended all square.

However, it is worth noting that Brentford ran out 2-0 winners in this season's reverse fixture, and the same outcome on Monday night is trading at 15/2 on bet365.

Players to watch: Thiago to add to his tally?

With 18 Premier League goals to his name this season, Igor Thiago looks well placed to add to his impressive tally on Monday night at 4/5 on bet365.

Having racked up 19 yellow cards between them in the Premier League this season, the 4/5 on bet365 for either Joao Gomes or Yerson Mosquera to be booked on Monday night looks worthy of support.

Predicted line-ups

As was the case against West Ham last time out, Brentford will once again be without Aaron Hickey, Antoni Milambo, Fabio Carvalho, Josh Dasilva, Rico Henry and Vitaly Janelt.

Wolves goalkeeper Jose Sa is rated touch-and-go for Monday night’s clash in the capital, though the visitors otherwise appear to have no fresh injury concerns.

Brentford: Kelleher; Kayode, Collins, Van den Berg, Lewis-Potter; Yarmolyuk, Henderson; Ouattara, Damsgaard, Schade; Thiago

Wolves: Sa; Mosquera, S Bueno, T Gomes; Tchatchoua, A Gomes, J Gomes, H Bueno; Bellegarde, Mane; Armstrong

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Brentford to win

Brentford host Wolverhampton Wanderers on Monday night with the data favouring the home side.

Brentford hold the stronger attacking profile at the Gtech Community Stadium. They average 1.75 NPxG at home while producing 10.86 shots and 4.21 shots on target per match. Recent home performances have been even stronger with Brentford generating 2.41 NPxG across the last four home games while allowing only 0.80 NPxGA. They also create 9.3 shots inside the box and nine big chances across those matches. Wolves arrive with much weaker attacking numbers away from home. They generate only 0.95 NPxG on the road and average just 8.21 shots and 2.93 shots on target per match. Their defensive numbers are also concerning as they allow over 15 shots and 4.57 shots on target away. Recent form highlights the gap. Across the last four matches Brentford average 1.96 xG while Wolves produce only 0.78. With Brentford creating higher quality chances and Wolves struggling offensively, the data supports a home win.

Anything else catch the eye?

Wolves look good value to earn four or more corners on Monday night at 10/11 on bet365.

Rob Edwards’ side have hit 4+ corners in relatively recent away games at Liverpool, Manchester United and Manchester City.

Therefore, four or more flag kicks should be within range against a Brentford side that are conceding an average of 5.08 corners per game in the Premier League this season.

Brentford vs Wolves Betting Tips & Predictions
Igor Thiago To Score Anytime
4/5
Bet365
Joao Gomes or Yerson Mosquera To Be Carded
4/5
Bet365
Over 3 Wolves Corners
4/5
Bet365
Further Reading
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