I SAID last week Nottingham Forest needed to take a lead to Swansea to have a hope of reaching the Championship play-off final – and I stand by that.
Forest were held 0-0 at home despite playing against 10 men and Billy Davies' side never really got to grips with the situation.
Swansea look comfortable on home soil and are unbeaten on their last eight at the Liberty Stadium. They beat Forest 3-2 earlier in the season but the scoreline was more comfortable than it looked.
Brendan Rodgers must have been thrilled with the draw at the City Ground after his side's horror start and I expect Swansea to finish the job to set up a possible all-Welsh final against Cardiff and what a prospect that would be.
Swansea have matchwinners such as Nathan Dyer, who was superb at the City Ground, Fabio Borini and Scott Sinclair. But the man I'm looking at to score first is Stephen Dobbie.
The Scot, who played for sides such as Dumbarton and Queen of the South in the SFL before moving up a grade, was sacrificed by Rodgers when he needed to add steel following Neil Taylor's early dismissal.
Dobbie is a class finisher who netted three in his previous two matches and is 7-1 at Ladbrokes.
Lewis McGugan went closest for Forest in the first leg and is 12-1 with William Hill.
For backers of both teams to score you can 1-1 with almost everyone.
Swansea to win in 90 mins
Swansea to be promoted
Dobbie to score