The National League serves up an exciting trio of fixtures with plenty of betting potential. Our focus is on three intriguing matchups: York City vs Gateshead, Sutton vs Aldershot, and Eastleigh vs Barnet. These games feature promotion contenders, teams battling inconsistency, and sides with contrasting strengths and vulnerabilities, making them perfect for finding value in the markets.
From York and Gateshead’s high-scoring tendencies to Sutton and Aldershot’s shared struggles at the back, and Eastleigh’s solid home form against league leaders Barnet, we have analysed the key stats, trends, and form to identify promising angles. With goals expected across the board and some favourable odds on offer, these matches are set to deliver action both on and off the pitch.
Let’s dive into the details and uncover the best bets for these exciting National League clashes!
York City vs Gateshead
York City face Gateshead in a clash between two promotion hopefuls, with York sitting second and Gateshead fourth, separated by just one point. Both sides have been prolific in front of goal this season — only Barnet have scored more than York and Gateshead in the league. However, Gateshead’s 31 goals conceded is the highest among the top six, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.
York’s home matches have been particularly entertaining, averaging 3.5 goals per game, with a strong record of W10-D1-L1. They have scored an impressive average of 2.75 goals per game at home and kept clean sheets in seven of their 12 home fixtures. Over 2.5 goals has landed in eight of their 12 home games. Despite their attacking strength, York’s defence has shown cracks recently, conceding in eight of their last 12 matches. Notably, one of their clean sheets came against Ebbsfleet, who are rock-bottom of the table with just 9 points from 24 games.
Gateshead, on the other hand, have a record of W14-D5-L5, with their games averaging 3.33 goals per match. On the road, they have scored in 11 of their 12 away games, with both teams to score landing in eight of those fixtures. Gateshead enter this match in good form, having won their last three games and losing just once in their previous seven.
Both teams have been evenly matched over recent weeks, each collecting 10 points from their last five games. Over their last 10 matches, York narrowly leads with just two more points than Gateshead.
This promises to be an exciting encounter between two attack-minded teams who are both capable of scoring and prone to conceding. Expect plenty of chances and goals in this evenly matched contest.
- Best Bet: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 1.83 with Boylesport
Sutton vs Aldershot
No team in the National League has seen both teams score more often this season than Aldershot, with 67% of their games featuring goals at both ends. On the road, this trend is even more pronounced, with nine of their 12 away matches ending in BTTS.
Sutton, the hosts, are in 11th place with 33 points from 24 matches, sitting just five points outside the playoff positions. Aldershot, on the other hand, are struggling in 18th, hovering just one point above the relegation zone, with Maidenhead United close behind them.
Aldershot’s form has been poor, with just one win in their last 10 league matches, although they have managed to score in 8 of those games. Their away record stands at W1-D5-L6, conceding 22 goals at an average of 1.83 per game. They have only kept two clean sheets in 12 away matches but have found the net in 10 of those games.
Sutton’s recent form isn’t much better, as they are winless in their last four matches. Their home performances have been inconsistent, with a record of W5-D2-L5. Sutton have scored in 10 of their 12 home matches and kept five clean sheets, though their defensive vulnerabilities remain evident.
With Aldershot scoring in 17 of their 24 games this season, it is likely they will get on the scoresheet again. Notably, only two teams in the league allow more shots on target away from home than Aldershot, suggesting Sutton will also have opportunities to score.
Given Aldershot's defensive struggles and inability to keep clean sheets, the hosts are likely to find the net, as they have done in nine of their 12 home matches. However, Aldershot also have the attacking ability to score against a Sutton side that has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three games. Notably, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals has landed in 50% of Aldershot's away matches this season, making this a promising betting angle.
- Best Bet: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 2.1 with Boylesport
Eastleigh vs Barnet
Eastleigh host league leaders Barnet in what promises to be an exciting and open encounter. Eastleigh currently sit 11th in the table, just five points off the playoff positions. At home, they have a solid record of W5-D4-L2, with defeats coming against Forest Green and Braintree. Eastleigh have shown attacking consistency, scoring in all 11 of their home matches, with both teams scoring in nine of those 11 games. Their home fixtures have averaged 3.09 goals per game, with over 2.5 goals landing in six of the 11 matches.
Barnet, on the other hand, are a contrasting side depending on where they play. While their home record is exceptional, with 10 wins and just 10 goals conceded, their away form has been less convincing. On the road, Barnet have a record of W5-D1-L5, conceding at an average of 1.73 goals per game. They have managed just three clean sheets away from home, two of which came against teams sitting 18th and 19th in the table. Notably, Barnet have failed to keep a clean sheet on the road against any team in the top half of the table and have lost all their away matches against teams sitting 8th or higher.
Barnet’s away matches are typically goal-heavy, averaging 3.36 goals per game, with both teams scoring in seven of their 11 away fixtures. Recently, their defence has looked vulnerable, with just one clean sheet in their last five games, including conceding at home to Ebbsfleet United, who have only nine points this season. Overall, Barnet have kept just three clean sheets in their last 12 matches.
Given the attacking consistency of both teams and their defensive frailties, this match looks set for goals. Both teams are likely to find the net, and both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is a strong betting angle for this matchup.
- Best Bet: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 1.91 with Boylesports
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