This weekend offers an exciting lineup of National League action, with several key matchups presenting intriguing betting opportunities.
In our featured games, we’ll analyse Woking’s clash against bottom-placed Ebbsfleet, where the hosts aim to capitalise on their solid home form.
Next, we turn to Eastleigh, who host an inconsistent Altrincham side in what promises to be a goal-filled affair. Finally, we head to Boundary Park, where high-flying Oldham take on Aldershot in a match that pits a strong home team against a side struggling for consistency on the road.
Each of these fixtures offers a mix of strong home sides, defensive vulnerabilities, and attacking potential. Let’s dive into the key stats, trends, and form to uncover the best value bets for the weekend!
Woking vs Ebbsfleet
Woking sit 17th in the table, having won just seven matches this season. However, they host an Ebbsfleet side that has endured a dismal campaign, with a record of W1-D8-L18, scoring just 20 goals while conceding a staggering 63. Ebbsfleet’s away form has been particularly poor, losing 10 of their 13 matches without a single win. They have conceded an average of 2.85 goals per away game, kept just one clean sheet, and allowed two or more goals in 11 of those fixtures.
Woking’s survival hopes rely heavily on their home form. They are currently six points clear of the relegation zone and have accumulated 21 points from 13 home matches—matching the total of seventh-placed Dagenham & Redbridge and just three fewer than play-off contenders Oldham.
Against lower-ranked sides, Woking have been especially strong. At home, they boast a record of W4-D1-L0 against teams sitting 14th or lower, and across the season, they have only lost once to a bottom-half side, home or away. Impressively, Woking have also managed draws at home against the league’s top two sides, Forest Green Rovers and New York City.
Ebbsfleet, by contrast, have picked up just three points on the road all season, with all three coming against teams in 16th or lower. Against the three sides directly above them in the relegation zone, they have conceded two or more goals in every game. While they have drawn their last two matches, including one against second-bottom Boston United, their defensive vulnerabilities remain glaring.
Woking are in solid form, having won their last two home games and gone unbeaten in their last four matches (W2-D2). Against a side like Ebbsfleet, who are the league’s weakest team by some distance, Woking should have no trouble continuing their good run. Given that 12 of Ebbsfleet’s 13 away games this season have featured at least two goals, Woking are well-positioned to find the net twice or more and secure a comfortable victory.
- Best Bet: Woking win and over 1.5 goals at 1.8 with Betfred
Eastleigh vs Altrincham
No team in the division has seen both teams score more often at home than Eastleigh, with 11 of their 13 home matches featuring goals from both sides. Only Tamworth and Maidenhead, both sitting in the bottom nine, have failed to find the net at Eastleigh this season.
Eastleigh’s home games average 3.08 goals, and they have scored in all 13 of their home fixtures. Currently, Eastleigh are just one point off Rochdale, who occupy the final playoff spot, and their home form has been strong, earning 21 points from 13 matches—the seventh highest in the league.
They now host Altrincham, whose away form has been inconsistent. Altrincham have a record of W3-D3-L6 on the road, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per game. They have conceded goals in 10 of their 12 away matches but have also scored in 10 of them.
Altrincham’s away games average 3.33 goals, and 58% of their away fixtures have seen both teams score. Additionally, nine of their 12 away matches have seen over 2.5 goals, which is the third-highest percentage in the division.
Between these two sides, Eastleigh’s 13 home games and Altrincham’s 12 away matches have featured only five clean sheets in total, and they have failed to score in just three games combined. Altrincham’s recent away form has been goal-heavy, with their last five matches averaging 4.6 goals per game. They have scored an impressive 13 goals across those five fixtures, averaging 2.6 goals themselves.
With both sides showing defensive vulnerabilities but plenty of attacking intent, this match looks primed for goals. Both teams should find the net, and with Altrincham’s tendency for high-scoring games, over 2.5 goals is also likely to land.
- Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.8 with Bet365
Oldham vs Aldershot
Oldham have been strong at home this season, with a record of W7-D3-L1. They have conceded just eight goals in those 11 matches, with three of those coming in their only home defeat, a 3-2 loss to Solihull, who sit just one place above them in 6th. Oldham have won six of their last seven home games and kept clean sheets in three of their last four matches. In total, they have managed six clean sheets from 11 home fixtures.
Their recent form is impressive, with just three defeats in their last 20 league games. No team has collected more points over the last five league games, and they sit 2nd in the form table over the last 10 matches. Offensively, they have been in fine form at home, scoring 11 goals in their last three home victories.
Aldershot, meanwhile, have struggled this season with an overall record of W5-D11-L10. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.73 goals per game and keeping just four clean sheets in 26 matches. However, they have shown consistency in attack, scoring in 19 of their games.
On the road, Aldershot’s record is W1-D6-L6, with just one clean sheet in 13 away games. The Shots have scored in 11 of those 13 matches, with both teams scoring in 10. They have managed draws away at Forest Green and Gateshead, but both times were outshot, including a shot-on-target count of 8-4 against Forest Green, where their goalkeeper had to make seven saves compared to the opponent's three.
While Aldershot have a good chance of finding the net, Oldham’s strong home form and defensive resilience make them favourites to claim another win at Boundary Park. A home victory looks likely, with both teams potentially getting on the scoresheet.
- Best Bet: Oldham to win and over 1.5 match goals at 1.8 with Betfred
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