If you are looking for NFL betting tips and the best week 8 picks, including best spread beds and TD scorer predictions, we have you covered!
And then there was one…
The Kansas City Chiefs are the last remaining unbeaten team in the league after the Vikings lost to the Lions last weekend as predicted by this writer, although it was closer than I thought.
The Vikings have now lost two before this Sunday's games as they fell to the Rams on Thursday Night Football. The Chiefs though look like they could go the whole season unbeaten as it's only really the Bills looking like they could put up some resistance on their remaining schedule and they've shown that injuries don't tend to affect them at all.
On to Week 8, and we've got 14 games on the Sunday slate with no bye's this week, 10 of those have teams favoured by more than a field goal, so it's safe to say the bookies think they know who are good and who are poor this season.
One I won't be betting on but want to keep an eye on this week is the Cleveland Browns. They are forced into a change that many wanted at quarterback. With Jameis Winston replacing the injured Deshaun Watson, will they finally score 20 points in a game this season?
Best Spread: Packers -4 @ Jaguars
The Jaguars have chosen not to take their bye week after they beat the Patriots in London, so they're coming into this one as the team with more travel on the weekend, meaning that home-field advantage might not have the same effect it usually does here.
Trevor Lawrence has actually been playing quite well for them and the run game looks more effective without Travis Etienne there, who is questionable to return, so there are positives from their trip overseas, but they didn't face a team as good as the Packers in the UK and I think reality may slap them in the face here.
The Packers restricted CJ Stroud and the Texans to just 86 yards through the air last week in their 24-22 victory, if they can do that to the Texans then they should be able to slow Lawrence and if the Jags can't throw the ball they're in trouble.
The Packers have a trio of capable Wide receivers and Tucker Kraft at TE who has shown a propensity for getting into the endzone this year as well, add to that Josh Jacobs who had his first-ever receiving score last weekend and they've got a potent offense which should run away with the win here.
Best Total: Ravens vs Browns o45
I hinted at this bet at the top of the article, but this week is the week that the Cleveland Browns finally score 20 points in a game this season. They have Nick Chubb with a game under his belt on his return from knee injury which will help the ground game, they have finally got rid of Deshaun Watson who was holding back their offense and surely isn't popular around the dressing room with his off-the-field antics.
This week, Jameis Winston will replace Watson, who finished off the game last weekend with a TD to David Njoku as they moved down the field far more easily than they have all year. Winston is an aggressive QB, so we know he'll keep throwing, and whether those passes go to his own team or the Ravens defence, it's all good for a bet on the OVER.
The Ravens have one of the best run defenses in the league, leading teams to throw the ball on them and that's where I think the Browns look. Add to that the best offense in the league with 218 points so far this season, with Derrick Henry dominating on the ground and Lamar Jackson looking like he could earn back-to-back league MVP trophies, and I think this will be a surprisingly high-scoring game.
Best TD Scorer: Jonathan Taylor – 21/20 (Bet365)
A couple of players I was hoping would be on the good side of evens were a shade of odds-on: Jamhyr Gibbs at 4/5 and Joe Mixon at 4/6. So, I wrote them off due to my self-inflicted rule of needing an odds-against shot. I've landed on Jonathan Taylor returning from a month off to find the endzone for the Colts.
The Colts offense has been hideous when they need Anthony Richardson to throw the ball, but his mobility really helps the run game and with one of the best running backs in the league returning to the team I would expect them to focus on that area to move the ball in what is likely to be a tight inter-divisional game against the Texans.
Taylor has scored four in four so far this season and I'm taking him to make that at least five in five.
Longshot: Jake Bobo – 7/1 (BetFred)
This one is reliant on being able to get a bet on at Betfred as I wouldn't take him at the 4/1 on PaddyPower, but Jake Bobo is looking like he'll be involved in the Seattle offense as I expect DK Metcalf to miss the game with a knee injury, he's officially Doubtful and that tends to lean towards a week off.
Bobo filled in well for Metcalf last season as a bigger body than Tyler Lockett and Jaxon Smith-Njigba and I would expect him to get four or five receptions this week.
Best Player Prop: Audric Estime o17.5 rush yards
A slightly random one here as I look towards a rookie who's been increasingly involved since returning from injury. Now there is a worry as he seems to have a ball security issue, but in a game where his team are 11 point favourites I think they may be able to give him the full workload in the 4th quarter as they will be able to rest their main back, Javonte Williams. The Panthers are the worst team in the league so I think that Estime will be able to top the 29 yards he got against the Saints in their last game.
A small bonus prop: Tee Higgins u69.5 receiving yards. Higgins is questionable with a quad injury and we've seen him before try to play through muscular issues and leave the game early, he's in a contract year now and players tend to play it safe in that circumstance. It looks like he won't make the field at all tonight, but if he does then this bet goes live and should land.
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Racing Tips
Cairnzy and Rizzel go ‘Skydiving' at Aintree as they bid to hit the heights with some Sunday winners after a 6/1 cracker yesterday.
Well, the total hit and the TD scorer did, as well as the two lower priced guys.
Annoyingly the Packers were sensible and played for the FG at the end instead of TD