Mr Fixit’s World Cup Tips: Back Belgium to cruise through

IT'S D-Day for Germany who can't afford another slip-up on Saturday night as they bid to protect their record of never being knocked out at the group stage.

After loisng to Mexico the Germans try to recover against Sweden and it won't be easy. In the other Group F match Mexico should see off South Korea and progress to the last 16.

First up today though is Belgium v Tunisia in England's group and that should be a win for the favourites.

Belgium v Tunisia (1pm)

Belgium aim to stay on course for a Group G decider with England by beating a Tunisia side who are winless in their last 12 group games. In contrast their opponents are unbeaten in 20.

Boss Roberto Martinez could make some changes ahead of next week's crucial clash with Gareth Southgate's men but he'll want to remain in contention for top spot.

Tunisia will be without first-choice keeper Mouez Hassen who was injured saving a John Stones header and he will be replaced by Farouk Ben Mustapha who does wear the No.1 jersey.

Belgium are just 4-11 at Coral to win or alternatively take Belgium with a clean sheet at 21-20 with Ladbrokes.

With Thibaut Courtois between the sticks the Belgians have stopped teams scoring in five of their last six.

Romelu Lukaku improved on his scoring incredible recent scoring with a double in the defeat of Panama.

Skipper Eden Hazard had to give Lukaku a half-time pep talk after claiming the Man United man was “hiding”.

The words had the desired effect with the striker netting twice after Dries Mertens's spectacular opener.

Lukaku is 11-4 with Betfred to score first and 10-11 at Sky Bet to net at any time.

Hazard takes the penalties and is an alternative choice at 22-5 with Unibet while he is 6-4 to score.

Best Bet

• Lukaku to score

South Korea v Mexico (4pm)

It was a brilliant tactical display by the Mexicans against Germany and I expect them to follow up with a win against South Korea today to book a last-16 spot.

Coach Juan Carlos Osario is unlikely to make many if any changes – those can be left for the final game if they've qualified.

Mexico are nicely priced at 9-10 with Marathonbet against a side who showed their limitations as they lost 1-0 to Sweden.

Former Arsenal star Carlos Vela looked Mexico's star man until he was subbed and he is 6-1 with McBookie to score first.

Ex-Man United man Chicarito is one short of his 50th for his country and is 6-4 at William Hill to get it.

South Korea will again look to Spurs striker Son Heung-min for a goal and he is 10-1 at sportingbet to strike the opener.

Mexico defended well against the Germans and are worth a look at 6-4 with McBookie to win to nil.

To win Group D Mexico still look worth backing at a 8-11 with Betfred while Sweden are 4-1 at William Hill and third favourites at 7-5 with BetStars to qualify.

Best Bet

• Mexico

Germany v Sweden (7pm)

Germany usually get it right but like Argentina could be a big letdown. Or should that be a big Lowdown.

The Germans' 1-0 defeat was the surprise of the first round of games and I can't remember seeing a worse performance from them.

So like Lionel Messi's men the Germans are staring at a shock exit from which boss Joachim Low wouldn't be able to recover.

On Saturday they face Sweden and while Janne Andersson doesn't have any top stars they play as a team and can get results.

Sweden weren't brilliant in their opener but a 1-0 win against South Korea was exactly what they wanted and they are capable of making life difficult for the defending champions.

Defensively Low's men were exposed by Mexico and it could have been three or four. They have now won just one of their last seven so confidence must be fragile.

Germany have slow centre-backs who dropped deep when Mexico were in possession and that left space for the South Americans to exploit.

Sweden will try to expose them and their attacking full-backs and with Germany chasing goals they could take advantage although they're not as pacy as Mexico.

Having watched them lose last week I can't back the Germans at no bigger than 1-2 with Coral. However, they are unbeaten in the last 11 against their rivals with seven victories.

Most recently meeting they met in the 2014 World Cup qualifiers and bot legs were crackers – 4-4 and 5-3.

After a disappointing and low-scoring tournament what would we give for a repeat of any of those scorelines.

Sweden are a best 7-1 at bet365 and draw has a chance at 15-4 with bet365 if the Germans don't show a massive improvement.

Maybe they'll edge a one-goal win so the bet here could be Sweden +2 at 8-13 with Betway. Sweden plus one is 15-8 at betfair.

Goals have been at a premium in the tournament and under 2.5 looks the play at evens with William Hill.

If you have a feeling there will be goals back both to score and over 2.5 at 6-4 with William Hill.

Germany have always made it through the group stage in 16 previous appearances at the finals and Low will hold on to the belief he can make a couple of tweaks that are needed.

Not to qualify Germany are 2-1 at 188BET and still favourites at 2-5 with William Hill to progress.

It's in their hands but can the Swedes make them feel sour tonight?

Best Bet

• Sweden +2