POLAND won to nil to give me a boost before the start of Russia 2018 on Thursday.
Well done to all the winners on Tuesday including Kelly who completed yet another £1000 challenge.
I'll start one on Thursday or Friday on Twitter but as usual mine will be voted for and be a slow burner as I attempt to reach £1000 for the third time this season.
That's the international friendlies finished with all qualifiers now pitched up in Russia so it will be a no-bet day for me although I'm putting up some group anteposts.
Big news today was Spain sacking manager Julen Lopetegui after he was appointed the new Real Madrid boss. It's an incredible decision just two days before their opener against Portugal and can't be anything but a negative.
I understand it's players who will perform on the pitch but they need guidance and the manager is always the most important member of the squad. Also the fact the Real stars fought to keep him is likely to mean a squad disunited – and at the best of teams there are problems among the different factions in the Spain group.
Spain are unbeaten in 20 under Lopetegui and it will be interesting to see who takes over for the finals – whether someone comes in from the outside or if a backroom staff member takes over.
Anyone who has backed Spain on the outrights will be worried and they are now a best 7-1 with McBookie.
There are some Scandinavian games on the go so there will be some tips posted by regulars on the site. Well done to all last night's winners.
Remember to check out welovebetting for their latest tips and chat.
And finally if you fancy a chance to win a day at the races at Hamilton next week courtesy of us then check out the post. Members only.
3pts Group Winners Fourfold
- Uruguay (A)
- France (C)
- Brazil (E)
- Germany (F)
- (18-5, BlackType)
3pts Group Qualifiers Treble
- Colombia (H)
- Denmark (C)
- Argentina (D)
- (31-10, BlackType)
June Super Singles Total: -0.4pts
June Advised Accas Total: -6.4pts
This month's football partner at MrFixitsTips is BetBright. They've a great welcome offer where you can claim up to £50 to play with when you deposit £10 upon opening a new acount. 18+. T&Cs apply. New customers only.
The u20 World Cup (rugby) continues today and I fancy the pants off this treble:
Georgia ML ✔
England ML ✔
New Zealand ML ❌
1.87 @ bet365
LOSER
After Georgia’s come back and England winning by a pip, I thought this bet was in. New Zealand were the big let downs, only coming to life in the last 10 mins. Sets up an interesting final between Fra and Eng.
Will be keeping a track of my world cup bets starting with a 100point bank.
My first tip is in the world cup opening fixture tmrw afternoon, Russia v Saudia Arabia.
You have to go back 11 games and almost one year to the 17th June 2017 to find the last time Russia kept a clean sheet, and that was against New Zealand who are ranked 120 in the world.
Now Saudi obviously aren’t world beaters but they are ranked 67 in the world and have had recent success in finding the net against Greece, Italy and Germany. Knowing that Russia and Egypt are their best chance of securing any points I really fancy Saudi to score against the hosts tomorrow.
I watched the friendly against Germany last week and was impressed with how they pounced with pace on their rare counter attacks, although admittedly, the finishing was poor.
You can have BTTS at a very generous 6/4, but the 5/4 on offer for a solitary Saudi goal is good enough for me.
Russia NCS @ 5/4
Good luck with your tournament bets everyone ??
10pts
Have to admit I strongly fancy that too mate good luck
Bet 59
Wednesday
Brazil – Serie A – 1.30am
São Paulo FC vs Esporte Clube Vitória
2-3 Match Goals
2.00 (Bet Stars)
***WON***
********************************
Profit/Loss: -9.487pts
I was looking at the specials coupon in Ladbrokes and one long term WC bet (hopefully!) caught the eye. Was hoping to get any thoughts from you experts! Every game extra time included to have more than 5 corners at 30/1. I know it’s a hell of a lot of matches but it’s a favourite bet of mine in the SPL and corners are usually around the 8 9 or 10 mark. Was going to have a substantial on it. Any thoughts yourself Paul?
Interesting stuff..think the key word here is more than 5…if it had been 5 or more that could have been tempting..Corners can be an indifferent market at times ..For example last night I had to leave for training after 82 mins of the Poland game and at that point had only mustered 2 corners .for all their superiority …but as in any sport it’s all about what happens on the day..GL..if you bet
Cheers boabee, 6 a game just seems pretty doable to me at very good odds! A dour 0-0 bore fest of course is all it takes to scupper it. I’ll have a go!
Correction. It’s actually on the William Hill coupon. I’ve picked up that many I can’t keep track!
It’s probably worth a tenner – I’d want to see corner stats from four years ago.
6 corners might not seem a lot but there are plenty of games that go under.
Cheers Paul. Aye it will probably go down in the first game! ?
Morning gents,
It was hot stuff with the Chilean Cup pick yesterday but looking to cool things down with a trip to Iceland…
IBV VS. VALUR (1900 KO):
I’m taking a Valur side in fine fettle to give IBV a dose of IBS; the hosts face the table-toppers on the back of mixed (but not disgraceful) start to the campaign in which they currently sit 2nd bottom.
The two sides have faced off 5 times in an almost exact 12 month spell so H2H data is both recent and relevant – Valur have scored a brace in 100% of those matches and hit a hatrick in 60%!
The wider picture reflects the visitors preponderance of goals and although I usually back corners in Valur’s games, the fact they have scored 2+ in 16 of their last 18 successive games is hard to ignore:
VALUR OVER 1.5 TGS…8/11
?????
Best of luck ?
Took the btts option at the same price buddy
Good luck bob ?
hi @mr f @grey
Really liked your world cup book
cheers
Hard work was done by welovebetting. It’s a great guide.
With the World Cup finally kicking off tomorrow, I thought I’d repost my antepost group stage picks. In addition, I’ve got a speculative long-shot effort to add for a bit of interest. Prices may have changed on the original picks.
Main Bet:
France [To Win Group C]
Germany [To Qualify]
Uruguay [To Qualify]
Treble @ 5/6 (Sky Bet)
___________________
Third Stake:
Add: Spain/Portugal, Belgium/England Dual Forecasts
5-Fold @ 12/5 (Sky Bet)
____________________
Small Stake:
Miroslav Klose loved a World Cup and tops the all-time goalscoring charts with 16 goals in 4 tournament appearances. And it often didn’t matter what form he was in coming into the tournament, either. In 2014, aged 36, he still bagged a couple despite being a bit-part player for the national side by that point. A fellow countryman statistically following in his footsteps is Thomas Muller. With 10 goals in his previous two tournament appearances (2010, 2014), you’ll no doubt hear commentators spewing narratives about his prolific scoring exploits on the grand stage when Germany take the field for the first time. Those 10 goals have come across a mere 13 games and put Muller joint 8th in the all-time list – with every chance of usurping Pele’s 12 World Cup goals this summer.
He hasn’t had the best of years at Bayern this season, scoring just the 15 in 45 appearances, but he has found himself in and out of the side at times. Germany come into the tournament well-fancied, but I don’t feel there is a real standout goalscorer in their final 23. Werner is useful at club-level but I’m not sure I see him banging them in this Summer. Mario Gomez is the ol’ reliable but I don’t see him featuring much. Aside from that, Germany’s squad contains a lot of forward thinking attacking midfielders and wingers (Reus, Draxler, Brandt). To me, Muller is the most natural goalscorer out of them lot.
Given his experience and his tournament record, I was surprised to see him a best 33/1 (Bet365) for the Golden Boot. Golden Boot winners aren’t always easy to predict (James Rodriguez, anyone?), but usually you look for a side that should go deep into the competition. Liking Germany’s chances, I noticed Paddy Power are paying 6 places each way on their market. Often, that means only a couple of goals puts you right into those paying places. Therefore, I think there’s value on Muller each way – if he sneaks into the Top 6 it’s a nice 5/1 winner. So, that’s my speculative longshot for the tournament.
Thomas Muller Top Goalscorer (Each Way, 6 Places) @ 25/1 (Paddy Power)
_____________________________________________________________
Good luck all.
Supposedly Werner will lead the line but if he doesn’t fire early they might turn to Muller.
Lopetegui sacked as spain head coach. Believe the real madrid appointment angered them.
IN PLAY
Broadbeach United v Southport Warriors
Over 8.5 mgls
8/11
it’s 3-4 with just under 20 mins to play
*low stake
Lost – red card 2 minutes after I posted.
Kenyan Premier League.
Wazito FC vs Gor Mahia
Top of the league vs bottom.
Over 2.5mgls – 5/4
Paddy power
Kick off 13.00!!
N8ce tipping
Sorry, fat fingers
Uruguay to win 8/13
MLB
COL Rockies o7.5 hits @ 1.86 bet365 (00.05hrs GMT)
*Yesterday*
ATL Braves o7.5 hits @ 1.68 bet365 (00.35hrs GMT) *won*
nice one dazzler
Dinamo Brest
America MG
Over 1.5mgs Double Evens
World Cup Predictor
This is “Free”to enter.
Anyone wanting to take part in this,then follow the link below.
https://predictor.fifa.com/match/leaguejoin/43f0d60
In play
A couple of doubles i’m on – *low stakes only*
-double-
Port FC v Sukhothai
Udon v Muang Thong
Over 4.5 mgls
-double-
Army United v Chiangrai – O6.5 mgls
Rayong v Pattaya – O2.5 mgls
again, low stakes for interest to use as builders.
Numpty, didn’t put odds; 1.44/1 & 1.60/1
Warzito game, both teams to score no
Couple of NILF games that are hard to ignore as well!
No time to write up but the following 2000 KO double looks to have plenty of potential for goals – goal lines set too high for anything but a small stake:
CRUSADERS / STRIKERS VS. DERRY CITY:
GL 5.0…1.900
PORTADOWN VS. GLENTORAN BU
GL 7.0…1.900
GL DOUBLE…2.6/1 (Bet365)
?
Best of luck ?
GL 7.0? Really.. seems way to high. Might wait till half time and hope it’s 0-0.
Relects a combination of the disparity between the two sides and recent scoreline Capone – like I say, not worth anything but a small stake!
€50 SHAKTER SOLIGORSK GAME OVER 0.5 FHG RETURNS €80.76
Does anyone else thing neymar 4 golden boot at 10/1 is a knocking bet?
Neymar has a chance but it’s pretty wide open this year.
Can’t see anyone getting close to him to be honest,10/1 is a gift and i’m on.You could argue Messi but he doesn’t get the service he gets at Barcelona.
All 4 Norwegian cup games to go over 2.5mgs 11/2
Good luck
Lost
⚽⚽⚽
Palmeiras – Flamengo ??
⚫ 2-3 goals @ 2.00 ???
Botafogo – Atl. PR ??
⚫ HT Draw @ 1.95 ??
Bodo G. – Hodd ??
⚫ Hodd to score @ 1.70 ????
⚫ Hodd over 1.5 goals @ 4.50 ??
Tammeka – Flora Tallinn ??
⚫Flora to score in both halves @ 1.75 ??
Bate Borisov – Gomel ??
⚫ Bate to win by 1 goal @ 3.60 ??
⚫ Bate to win by 2 goals @ 3.65 ??
Dinamo Brest – Dinamo Minsk ??
⚫ HT/FT 1/X @ 14.00 ?
⚫ HT/FT 1/2 @ 29.00 ?
=============================
Combo ⚽ @ 30.00 ?
Dinamo Brest – Dinamo Minsk
⚫ D. Minsk to score
Start – Ham-Kam
⚫ Ham-Kam to score
Tammeka – Flora Tallinn
⚫ over 2.5 goals
America MG – Chapecoense
⚫ MG to win either half
Fluminense – Santos
⚫ 1X
Palmeiras – Flamengo
⚫ over 1.5 goals
Montreal – Orlando
⚫ over 2.5 goals
New York RB – Seattle
⚫ RB to win
San Jose – New England
⚫ btts
============================
?? San Jose – New England ??
⚫ over 3 goals (AT) @ 1.90 ????
⚫ btts & over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 ???
⚫ 1st Half over 1.5 goals @ 2.30 ?? , 2nd Half over 1.5 goals @ 1.75 ??
⚫ 1st Half btts @ 3.50 ?? , 2nd Half btts @ 2.50 ??
⚫ btts in both halves @ 8.50 ?
⚫ CS 2-2 @ 10.00 ? , 3-2 @ 18.00 ? , 3-1 @ 15.00 ?
=============================
GL ?
⚽⚽⚽
Palmeiras – Flamengo ??
⚫ 2-3 goals @ 2.00 ??? ✅
Botafogo – Atl. PR ??
⚫ HT Draw @ 1.95 ?? ❌
Bodo G. – Hodd ??
⚫ Hodd to score @ 1.70 ???? ✅???
⚫ Hodd over 1.5 goals @ 4.50 ?? ❌
Tammeka – Flora Tallinn ??
⚫Flora to score in both halves @ 1.75 ?? ❌
Bate Borisov – Gomel ?? ❌
⚫ Bate to win by 1 goal @ 3.60 ??
⚫ Bate to win by 2 goals @ 3.65 ??
Dinamo Brest – Dinamo Minsk ?? ❌
⚫ HT/FT 1/X @ 14.00 ?
⚫ HT/FT 1/2 @ 29.00 ?
=============================
Combo ⚽ @ 30.00 ?
Dinamo Brest – Dinamo Minsk
⚫ D. Minsk to score ✅
Start – Ham-Kam
⚫ Ham-Kam to score ✅
Tammeka – Flora Tallinn
⚫ over 2.5 goals ✅
America MG – Chapecoense
⚫ MG to win either half ❌
Fluminense – Santos
⚫ 1X ❌
Palmeiras – Flamengo
⚫ over 1.5 goals ✅
Montreal – Orlando
⚫ over 2.5 goals ✅
New York RB – Seattle
⚫ RB to win ✅
San Jose – New England
⚫ btts ✅
============================
?? San Jose – New England ??
⚫ over 3 goals (AT) @ 1.90 ???? ✅???
⚫ btts & over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 ??? ✅
⚫ 1st Half over 1.5 goals @ 2.30 ?? ✅ , 2nd Half over 1.5 goals @ 1.75 ?? ❌
⚫ 1st Half btts @ 3.50 ?? ✅ , 2nd Half btts @ 2.50 ?? ❌
⚫ btts in both halves @ 8.50 ? ❌
⚫ CS 2-2 @ 10.00 ? ✅ , 3-2 @ 18.00 ? , 3-1 @ 15.00 ?
This league has been pretty good for goals, so a small stake in these picks;
Belarus Cup
-single-
Sputnik v Smorgon
Over 3.5 mgls
7/4
-double-
Sputnik v Smorgon
Osipovichy v Slavia Mozyr
Over 2.5 mgls
1.66/1
Anyone know a decent free World Cup predictor ?
Was counting on you mate!
if you have an account the bet stars world cup predictor seems decent to me and they don’t limit you to just 1 chance I got up to five goes at it
The irony of my post is lost I think ?
Sign up to the telegraph one mate.
Can someone lend me £50,000 please
Skybet special
Any of France, Germany, Spain or Brazil to reach the final
2/5
Has to be bet of the decade
Max stake is £50,000, will square you up in a few weeks, haha?
Looks a cracking bet but only have 40 to spare.
Hell of a price!
nite owl LOST way too many reds……………….
tonite
valur o1.5tgs 8/11 (hull)
add breidablik game o1.5 2nd hgls 11/5 price boost wh
GL……………….
Posted this in the wrong page…
Just had a look at the odds. Saudi Arabia are 10/1 to win tomorrow?! Excuse me while I pick my jaw up off the floor. I’m not anticipating a Saudi win, but they’re not playing against Brazil here. Mad odds.
40k will be fine Mr F ?
I meant £40!
Alright gents. Will be leaving the WDW alone but have a few ante posts for the World Cup so here they are. Not much explanation needed. Think Uruguay have one of the best attacks in Cavani/Suarez/Dybala, but also have one of the best centre back pairings in Godin and Jimenez. Should top their group with ease and a decent draw should see them reaching the quarter final stages. They are the best outsider price in my opinion, with bookies offering odds on on England to reach the same stage (believe it when I see it).
With Uruguay having an easy group and should progress further than bookies expect, I think Suarez’s tally of 2.5 goals is reachable along as we don’t get antics. Same goes for Ronaldo at a shorter price but for 2.5 you have to consider this.
Uruguay to reach the Quarter Final @ 13/8 @ 365 – 2 points
Luis Suarez Over 2.5 Goals @ EVS @ 365 – 3 points
Cristiano Ronaldo Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/6 @ 365 – 6 points
Russia/Uruguay To Qualify
Spain/Portugal To Qualify
Germany/Mexico To Qualify
Colombia To Qualify
66/10 @ 365 – 1 point
Good luck gents. Enjoy it ??
That Suarez bet is a cracker – best of luck Jordan ?
Doesn’t Dybala play for Argentina?
No, because he’s Uruguayan…
Paulo Dybala is Argentinian and therefore plays for Argentina and not Uruguay.
I’ve taken Dybala out of your write-up about Uruguay.
Wouldn’t get a game anyway with Cavani and Suarez in there.
€50 palermo GAME OVER 1.5 FHG RETURNS €90
Haha when your luck is in, it’s in! ???
Top work Kells
vidir game off to a flyer 1-1 15 mins
o2.5 fhgls 8/13
?⚽️?⚽️WORLD CUP 2018?⚽️?⚽️
——————————————————————————
PRE TOURNAMENT BETS:
€100 brazil to win world cup 4/1 bet365
€100 neymar top goalscorer 9/1 bet365
€100 Harry Kane to score 2 or more headers 8/1 paddypower
——————————————————————————
50-1000 CHALLENGE
BET 1: €50 returns €95.45
teams to score – russia only 10/11 bet365 (russia v saudi arabia)
——————————————————————————
starting pot €1000
pot after today €650
Valur managed just the 1 goal…a sore one for sure and apologies to anyone on ?
NILF goals may just soften the blow.
Risky In play half time 0-5
Portadown ladies over 10.5mgs 7/2
€90 america mg game over 0.5 mgs €135
Bet 60
Thursday
Brazil – Serie A – 1.45am
Clube Atlético Mineiro vs Ceará
2-3 Match Goals
2.10 (Bet Stars)
********************************
Profit/Loss: -9.487pts
3 bets 3 LOST garbage onwards…………….
WD all with a winner………………..
I’d have sooner the Icelandic bet won but goals galore in NI ?
CRUSADERS / STRIKERS VS. DERRY CITY:
GL 5.0…1.900
PORTADOWN VS. GLENTORAN BU
GL 7.0…1.900
GL DOUBLE…2.6/1 (Bet365)
?
***WON***
?
Nice one hull
All bets down today, poor show
Night owl
Colorado
San Jose
Over 2.5mgs double 7/4
Good luck
Same here DC, bad stuff.
Good luck with your night owls.
@mr-fixit are there any free World Cup wall charts in tomorrow’s Daily Record, or has it already been ? ?
There was one in the Sunday Mail last week – there’s a part one in Thursday’s paper covering all the groups.
Thanks Mr F, I must have missed them.
I’ll keep hunting. ?