WEDNESDAY was all about Greg's rollercoaster ride and anyone on his Nap would have enjoyed the ride.
He tipped more than 18 goals in the six Dutch league games and with just three scored in the early kick-offs his chances looked bleak. But late on AZ hit three in two minutes and the evening games went goal crazy.
I was pleased for Greg who hasn't enjoyed the best of luck in recent weeks and well done to anyone else who was on.
Unfortunately on of those early games saw PSV win 1-0 despite dominating and in the end that cost me my fourfold with Ajax, Spurs -1 and Lyon double chance coming in.
Tonight the Spanish Cup semi-final second leg between Valencia and Barcelona takes centre stage. It was a tight 1-0 win for Barca at home and they are no bigger than 1-9 to progress.
Valencia have gone off the boil with five defeats in a row so it's tough to see them overturning this one and Barca showed what the cup means to them by resting Lionel Messi in Sunday's draw at Espanyol. He will be back tonight at the Mestalla and is 13-18 at Unibet to score and 3-1 at Sky Bet to bang in the opener.
Not sure where the value lies in this one. At some point Valencia will need to go for it but btts and over 2.5 goals individually pay around 1-2. The last three meeting at the Mestalla have saw both to score and overs so maybe that's why.
Elsewhere there is one French tie – Grenoble v Strasbourg – and some games in Holland including Feyenoord v Groningen. I'll take a closer look at the games in the morning and maybe put up a double or treble but it could be a no-bet day.
Remember to visit welovebetting for latest tips and video chat.
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February Super Singles Total: 0pts
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February Advised Accas Total: -8pts
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IRAN – PRO LEAGUE – 12.30pm
Esteghlal Tehran v Sepidroud Rasht
2-3 Match Goals
2.10 (Bet Victor)
******************************
Profit/Loss since 18 July: -19.8pts
Like mr fixit, a Psv goal short for weds goal tip. Onto tonight and I’ve picked out a single I like. Club Brugge may be flying high at the top of the Belgian league but they are in horrible form ( 1 win in last 5) and are conceding goals at an alarming rate (13 in those 5 games). 7 of their last 8 matches have seen btts/over 2.5 and they only game that didn’t was when they drew a blank in a 2-0 away defeat. Being 4-1 down from the first leg means they have to go for it and I reckon this will lead us to goals. There’s been 32 in the last 8 meetings between these 2.
Advised tip
Btts/o2.5 evens skybet
Feb total +14.2pts
No joy with my penalty bets last night
just going for value tonight
barcelona win and btts
galatassary win and btts
double pays 7/1
barca have a 1-0 lead going into this 2nd leg and i wouldnt be surprised if valencia score first but i do expect them to fond rhe net with barca pushing out a late win… probably via messi (thats how its plahed in my head) so may be an inplay scorer for me there)
galatassary and konyaspor are on 2 a piece from first leg and same again this time round i wouldnt be surprised to see both sides scoring but think Galatassaray should push out a slight win 2-1 at home.
good luck all.
World Club Friendlies 11:00
FC Astana vs Shandong Luneng – over 2.5 MG’s
Italy Serie D Cup 19:00
Potenza vs Igea Virtus – over 3.5 first half Asian corners
Spain Copa del Rey 20:30
Valencia vs Barcelona – over 9.5 Asian total corners
Treble 4.11/1 Bet365 **NAP**
Good luck all
Macau Premier Divisao
Lai Chi v Alfandega (13:15)
I tipped against Alfandega a few weeks back and on that occasion 3/4 advised bets sailed in. They are new to the league, but have lost their opening 3 games 4-0 5-0 and 9-0 against 3 of the worst 4 teams from last season. Lai Chi who they play today are the worst team from last season and are bottom of the league after 3 games this time around having been battered by double figures in one of their games. However, they have played 3 of the leagues top sides and so this is nothing new. The sides who thrashed Alfandega meanwhile, Lai Chi have either drawn with or narrowly lost to in recent seasons and that makes me think they are probably better than the visitors although admittedly neither are great.
The bookies priced up Alfandega wrongly for both their first two games, seemingly under rating how bad they would be. I have a feeling they have priced this one up the way they have purely because Lai Chi are bottom of the table and I think they’ve got it wrong again.
Lai Chi to win
9/2
(bet365)
PDC Premier League Darts Week 2
19:15
Smith vs Gurney – over 6.5 total 180’s
20:00
Cross vs Whitlock – Cross win
Double 6/4 **NAP**
————————————————————————————————————–
22:00
Van Barneveld vs Suljovic – Van Barneveld highest checkout over 96.5 5/6 **NB**
20:40
Van Gerwen vs Wright – Van Gerwen average over 102.5 5/6
Prices with Paddypower
Good luck all
Another good night last returned a 3 point profit with my safe treble landing at 3-1 and 3 of my 4 Asian Corner lines landing. Not sure what I was thinking including Newport I let thier performance in the first leg cloud my better judgmentand tipped them to get 3 corners which was an epic fail they did not get one by the 85th minute I never checked after that.
On to tonight not an awful lot tonight so no safer doubles and Asian Singles but as im nicely up this month im going to chance a few Acca’s
Safer 4 fold
Valencia Over 8 Match Corners
Club Brugge Over 8 Match corners
ADO Den Hagg Over 8 match corners
Feynord Over 8 Match Corners
1 Point 4 fold pays 4-1
Riskier
Valencia Over 9.5 Asian Corners
Club Brugge Over 9.5 Corners
ADO Den Hagg Over 10 Asian Corners
Feynord Over 10.5 Asian corners
Half point 4 fold pays 12-1
I am also risking adding half point on the following to the above
Feynord Win
Valencia +1 Asian Handicap
Club Brugge Draw no bet
Vitesse Draw no bet
pays 47-1
13.5 points up
2 points in play
What bookie do you use iaabh
BET 365 generally sometimes sky bet those 2 are the best on corners
Cheers iaabh.
Afternoon gents – thought Hull’s universal dial-up machine jad broken for a bit but seems to be back up ?
GRECIA VS. MUNICIPAL LIBERIA (2100 KO):
Goals could be the way for value here and though it’s obvious the bookies have priced this one on recent low scorers, there is plenty of previous between these two…historic H2Hs DO count for much in SA.
The last 2 between both sides were within the last 12 months and featured 4 and 5 goals respectively with a combined total across the last 6 of 23!
One selection:
OVER 2.5 MGS…3/4
???
Best of luck
These 2 teams down bottom of leauge hullshaker
Wat makes u think thair be 2.5. Mgs.
Woke up to find Vasco did the business
Vasco over 1.5tgl 4/5 winner?
BRAZIL
Internacional v Sao Jose
BTTS 11/10
One game will stand out to most tonight, I should imagine…
Club Brugge v Standard Liege
Den Haag v Vitesse
Galatasaray v Konyaspor
O1.5 Match Goals Treble @ 4/5 (Boyles)
___________________________
Club Brugge v Standard Liege
BTTS and O2.5 Match Goals @ 10/11 (Bet365)
BTTS and O1.5 Club Brugge Team Goals @ 5/4 (Bet365)
_______________________________________________
Half Stake:
Club Brugge
Galatasaray
O1.5 Team Goals Double @ 13/10 (Bet365)
____________________________________
Good luck all!
Valencia v Barcelona
Over 3.5 goals (NAP)
Over 4.5 goals at 11/4 (NB)
best of luck
Valencia v Barcelona
Over 3.5 goals (NAP) at 6/5
Over 4.5 goals at 11/4 (NB)
best of luck
Same as everyone cant see past goals in Belguim
Brugge btts & overs 10/11
Smaller Stake
Brugge
NEC
Over 3.5mgs Double 7/2
Good luck
Main Bruges bet landed easily
Small stake Double lost as only 2 goals in Holland
Well done all winners
Just got in my bet,,,,,
Saimiya win paok 1 tg barcelona win ado den haag 2.5 mgs.
Barney & Cross to win, Juventus to win, BTTS at Valencia & Brugge. 12/
out last night and spent far too much, pretty sure I got robbed ofba ton
Club Brugge v Standard Liege
Over 3.5 5/4
Over 4.5 14/5
Over 5.5 13/2
Over 6.5 14/1
BTTS Both Halves 9/1
Cracking shouts Broony, enjoy your winnings fella ????
Looking for some value in Valencia v Barcelona
Messi to be carded 7/2 skybet.
Vilhena (feyenoord) ags 11/4
thought Mr F had become a Buddhist monk as when I tried the site a few times earlier it referred to “Guru Meditation” … anyway enjoy the spiritual development of reading the RFO – whilst I hope for goals in Belgium ;)
I’d get less stick that way – must have been a glitch.
Well done @wasclueless and Sean (and all others) for the Belgian goals tip tonight, good work ?
2-0 on 36′ for anyone on the Costa Rican pick – cover there at 6/1 ?
Hull i done 3 games inplay waiting on 1 more goal
In your game fir nice treble u think let it ride.
I wish i would of asked u how to cover as i haven’t done
It before,i could if cashed out but thought thair be another
Goal i watched game on tablet missed penalty,
was gonnae have a go at o3.5mgs in bolivar gem but bit thin at 17/20 so leavin it
World Club Friendlies 11:00
FC Astana vs Shandong Luneng – over 2.5 MG’s ✅
Italy Serie D Cup 19:00
Potenza vs Igea Virtus – over 3.5 first half Asian corners ❌
Spain Copa del Rey 20:30
Valencia vs Barcelona – over 9.5 Asian total corners ❌
Treble 4.11/1 Bet365 **NAP** LOST
PDC Premier League Darts Week 2
19:15
Smith vs Gurney – over 6.5 total 180’s ✅
20:00
Cross vs Whitlock – Cross win ❌
Double 6/4 **NAP** LOST
————————————————————————————————————–
22:00
Van Barneveld vs Suljovic – Van Barneveld highest checkout over 96.5 5/6 **NB** WON
20:40
Van Gerwen vs Wright – Van Gerwen average over 102.5 5/6 LOST
Prices with Paddypower
You know its not gonna end well when the current world champ and the world number one both lose on the same day. The Italy Serie D Cup pick was also a let down. Well done all winners
Club Brugge v Standard Liege
Den Haag v Vitesse
Galatasaray v Konyaspor
O1.5 Match Goals Treble @ 4/5 (Boyles) ///LOST///
___________________________
Club Brugge v Standard Liege
BTTS and O2.5 Match Goals @ 10/11 (Bet365) ///WIN///
BTTS and O1.5 Club Brugge Team Goals @ 5/4 (Bet365) ///WIN///
_______________________________________________
Half Stake:
Club Brugge
Galatasaray
O1.5 Team Goals Double @ 13/10 (Bet365) ///WIN///
____________________________________
Happy with that. :) Brugge went to plan.
1 goal from the house but good profit. Well done all winners!
IRAN – PRO LEAGUE – 12.30pm
Esteghlal Tehran v Sepidroud Rasht
2-3 Match Goals
2.10 (Bet Victor)
***WON***
******************************
Profit/Loss since 18 July: -18.7pts
FRANCE – LIGUE 2 – 7pm
Tours vs Paris
2-3 Match Goals
2.00 (Bet Stars)
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Profit/Loss since 18 July: -18.7pts