I HAD another profitable night on Wednesday but while I was picking up crumbs contributor richtea was landing a 140-1 winner.
His ninefold is the biggest bet landed on here for a while and as Greg said it's time to upgrade your biscuit! Well done – and check out his ninefold for Thursday.
Greg's Nap won with over 19 goals in the Championship and there were plenty other winners including HullShaker and shortee.
My good run spell with an 11-5 goals treble but Young Boys beat the Super Single so I'm level for the month on singles and more than 50 points up on accumulators. Who said stick to singles? Probably me.
It's all about the Europa League on Thursday and I've written a preview covering the Celtic and Rangers' games and will add thoughts on Torino v sWolves and Linfield vs Qarabag. Check out separate match previews on Celtic vs AIK, Legia Warsaw vs Rangers and Torino vs Wolves.
I've taken a look at all the games tonight and it's more about goals than WDW. My Super Single in the Daily Record is Celtic and both to score and I'm sticking with that for the site.
Celtic should win but they've been conceding too easily and the bet pays a best 10-3 at sportingbet.
As my August figures are so good I'm putting up two both to score bets – an early double and a treble from the later matches. My goals shortlist was quite big and that worries me so hopefully I've picked the correct ones – you know what happens when I have too many to choice from.
The double starts with Ararat Armenia v Dudelange with one of the minnows about the reach the group stage. Both sides look evenly matched and tend to score and concede with four out of six coming up for Ararat and five out of six for their Luxembourg visitors.
Add btts at Feyenoord v Hapoel Beer Sheva which is a big price at 13-10 probably because the Dutch are short favourites to win. Feyenoord though have only played well once this season in hammering Dinamo Tiblisi 4-0 at home and face an Israeli side who like to attack and usually score.
Four of Feyenoord's last five have been score draws while Hapoel netted at Norrkoping and Kairat Almaty on the way to the play-offs.
Later the matches featuring Celtic, Rangers and Wolves could all see both score but I've covered Celtic and leaving Wolves alone in case that's played out as tight first leg.
So start with Legia v Rangers. The Poles haven't conceded in five but face a side that's been free-scoring this season at home and in Europe.
Midjytlland were blown away 7-3 in the last round and domestically Steven Gerrard's men have netted 11 in three. Legia will know they need to take a lead to Ibrox and I'm not sure Rangers can play too defensively so should be goals at both ends.
Next it's Braga v Spartak Moscow. The Portuguese side feature in a lot of high-scoring games and five of their last six have brought up btts and gone over 2.5 goals including two 4-2s. Spartak's previous three have seen both score and over 2.5 including a 3-2 win at Swiss side Thun in the previous round.
Complete the treble with Slovan Bratislava v PAOK. The Greeks will feel unlucky to be here after crashing out 5-4 on aggregate to Ajax in the Champions League qualifiers to a last-minute goal.
They lost 3-2 in the Amsterdam ArenA and will feel they can score in Slovakia. Bratislava have netted 11 in three games so should counter if they have their shooting boots on.
As I said I found it much harder picking WDW bets and if it wasn't for my 50+ profit I'd have left it alone. Malmo at home to Bnei Yehuda and Espanyol at home to Zorya will be two of the most popular picks tonight and I'm adding Eintracht Frankfurt draw no bet at Strasbourg for a 2-1 treble.
Remember to check out WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and video bets.
1pt Super Single
- Celtic & Btts (7.45pm)
- (10-3, sportingbet)
1pt Both to Score Double
- Ararat v Dudelange (4pm)
- Feyenoord v Hapoel Beer Sheva (6,30pm)
- (17-5, sportingbet)
1pt Both to Score Treble
- Legia Warsaw v Rangers (7pm)
- Braga v Spartak Moscow (7.45pm)
- Slovan Bratislava v PAOK (8pm)
- (6-1, 10Bet)
2pts Top Treble
- Malmo (6.30pm)
- Eintracht Frankfurt dnb (7.30pm)
- Espanyol (8pm)
- (2-1, Coral)
Mr Fixit's August Super Singles Total: 0pts
Mr Fixit's August Accas Total: +57.6pts
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
NIGHT OWL
11.15pm kick offs
Boca junior to score ✅
sao paulo to score ✅
5/4 SKYBET ✅
night all and well done all winners
Night owl Double wins 💥💥
Prices were too generous
You posted this already on yesterdays page,must have pasted and copied by mistake?
Charlton finished 1-1 so no 2nd goal unfortunately
Unlucky I’m sick listening to your moaning. The inplay bet was a Charlton second goal and lost. Inplay bets aren’t my main bets as naps are. Inplay was for fun don’t follow if don’t want.
I reposted this hear as new thread and not looking any attention just didn’t have time to scroll through 140 odd messages plus it was a night owl bet running into the next morning.
As for paddy and Stan (same person under numerous Alias) get a life and start posting winners and stop following me round the place.
shortee, could you not remember what bet you placed and didn’t want to look thru 140 posts to find it? Surely you keep track of your wagers yourself !!??!!
I’m not Stan. I’m Paddy Gooner. That’s G O O N E R for life. BTW my only 2 bets yesterday were winners.
Correct paddy I do and hence why it was a repost to say it had won for anyone that was on.
Don’t see the issue here at all nor do I see the need for the abuse.
Well done on your winners
move on 🙄
Just ignore em shortee mate they obviously not that interested in betting just moaning
I think everyone reposts old posts to say whether they won or not.
Well in on swansea shortee.
Cracking night owl, Well done mate 👍
Dinamo Zagreb to win
Charlton v Notts Forest over 1.5 gls
11/10 NAP 👍👍👍
Cardiff/leeds double **wins**
Preston overs 1.5 tmgls, Swansea over 1.5 tmgls, Cardiff/huddersfield btts **wins**
Charlton win, qpr/swansea over 3.5 goals **lost**
Late forest goal stopped the full house, cant complain though, cracking night on the site be looks of it too many to mention,
Well done lads
Well done on 2nd bet dean. Seen it was 10/1
Ludogorets VS Maribor
Btts & Ov2.5
Sweden Cup 17:30
Akropolis IF vs Djurgarden – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
UEFA Europa League Qualifying 19:30
FCSB vs Guimaraes – over 8 total corners
Double 6/4 Bet365 **NAP**
Good luck all
Thursdays goals tips
Europa league
Over 1.5 tgs
Malmo/Copenhagen
11/10 bet 365 NAP
Celtic/espanyol/braga
73/25 bet 365 NB
Women lost,back to
Goal scored in both halves Acca
Al-Nassr
Al Ahli SC
Al Jazira
Bani Yas
7/2
Hi mate, do you know if bet365 do these sorts of bets?
No,only bookie that I know that does majority of these bets from most Leagues around the world is STSbet, sky, paddypower do them but only on selected Leagues,like any bet only good if they win lol
Since starting this bet last Friday I’ve kept an eye on how many bets I’ve done,I’ve done 12bets(one was the same team to score in both halves), I’ve had 10 wins and 2 losses average odds overall 6/4ish so very much ahead at the minute.
Hopefully bet 13 isn’t a bad omen lol
Hope it’s not – good luck.
Thank you
Leeds v Brentford
Draw H/T Leeds win F/T 10/30 Won ✅
Lay me flat out about what. What brown you talking.
Mr f can you not just ban all these fools. Bit boring after a while like. Ruining your great forum
Was out all day yesterday so i`m just catching up with last nights posts . I ended up breaking even on my bets . Happy with that .
Some brilliant winners on the site well done to them all — but Richtea has to be the daddy . First class mate .
Did a couple of bets yesterday no joy only 2 yellow cards in the Olympiakos game which is strange given both sides history and i had a little dabble on Krasnodar to win inplay,well done all winners,cracker from Rich Tea and great totals mr f.
Torino v Wolves
BTTS at 1/1*****(NAP)
I doubt this football match will light up the world but it’s going to be interesting to see how Wolves handle other top sides from the so called big league’s.I think Wolves main objective here is to get the away goal and with the squad they have they are well capable of doing so,i don’t think they will win this game as they played Man Utd on monday night so will probably lose this one narrowly,Wolves have a nasty habit of getting something from a big side then losing the next game but i do think they have enough to net here.
Correct score 2-1
Ye macca i had this game noted for btts was thinking about doubling it ul with Celtic game overs,
I have big trust in your tips
I intend to bet 20 euro on this tips
Bookings for me in the Torino v Wolves match
Over 1 card for Torino 11/10 . Good price imo
Over 4 cards in the match 15/8
Bet365
Legia v Rangers .Pen awarded 10/3
Torino v Wolves Pen awarded 10/3
2 x singles and a double
Double pays about 18/1 Hills
Decent prices for a change
They have no got a pen market in the Celtic game yet . If they put it up later i will be adding it to the above 2 for a treble .
Europa League Qualifiers 6PM:
2nd from top Lithuanian FC Suduva take on last year’s Hungarian Champions Ferencvaros. Now I will not pretend to know anything about these teams but the home side is 3/1 which is insane considering they have only lost 4 matches from the last thirty in all comps! The visitors ain’t lookin’ too shabby either with five losses from their last 30 (more draws though), however I feel like a wee gamble tonight and will take FC Suduva as they don’t have to travel over 500 hundred miles each direction today. Good Luck!
Early game 3PM:
Kind of similar to above but this time the visitors travel over 2000 miles and are 7/2 underdogs (paddypower) to beat the Kazakhs who are notoriously good at home (and 8/11 at the same bookie). I’m taking Astana at 8/11. You can probably get better prices elsewhere but I’m limited for time. Good Luck!
Torino vs Wolves
This looks like a very tough game for Wolves and it will be interesting to see how it pans out.
For this game, I’m looking at the bookings market especially with the referee, ARTUR SOARES DIAS in charge this evening.
Looking at his stats for last season in the middle, he was referee at 48 games dishing out 182 yellows and 13 red cards. Yellows are at an average of 3.79 per game. 22 out of the 48 games(45% of games) saw 4 or more yellows dished out by Artur.
Looking to find some value on the above stats, I have picked out a bet builder double, a super single then 2 of the Wolves players who are most likely to be booked in my opinion.
Skybet giving good odds on the player markets for player to be carded so hopefully I’ve picked the right two.
Suggested bets
Bet builder on 365
Over 0 cards for Torino
Over 0 cards for Wolves
4/9 double
Super single
Over 1 card for Torino
EVS single
Players to be booked
Neves – 2/1 (skybet)
Bennett – 3/1 (skybet)
All the best!
Finland Kolmonen Double
Paying a visit to the Finnish Kolmonen which has served me well this season.
As the odds suggest there is some risk involved, especially with Palloseuran keeping a clean sheet but I think it’s worth a low stakes punt.
Kultsu FC v FC Peltirumpu (17:00GMT) – Kultsu (-2) Handicap
Riihimäen Palloseuran v Joki (17:00GMT) – Riihimäen Palloseuran to win & not concede
Double @ 23/5, Skybet – 1pt staked
BOL
Morning gents,
Away fishing in the back of beyond for next 24 hours so quick post:
LÉTTIR VS. ÁLAFOSS (9.00pm):
LÉTTIR HIGHEST SCORING HALF = 2ND
(11/10, bet365) NAP
RIVER PLATE VS. CERRO PORTEÑO (11.15pm):
CERRO PORTEÑO TO SCORE
(11/8, bet365) NB
Best of luck and once again and shout out to RichTea for an absolute cracker 👍
Last night, with 2 of 4 games in the bag on my 4 way acca I went to sleep, I woke up to see that Leeds helped my little bet creep over the line for a final boost. It is the 2nd highest tally I’ve ever achieved. 4 or 5 months back, I did hit £6746 and it went belly up. Last nights tally took me to a total of a 56% pot gain on the night and a very healthy £4820.70. Here’s the mad bit: My primary reasons for doing the overs 0.5’s rolling acca isn’t to hit the jackpot, it’s to see if my theory can work, to see if I can stay disciplined ( easier than it sounds ) and if an average Joe like me without an economics degree and a suit can sit at home with a laptop and £10 and do the exact same thing a stockbroker does with someone else’s money. There was also a small part of me that was still miffed about how I’d been treated a while back when bet365 took bets on the Costa Rica v French Guayana game with a fielded ineligible player. That cost me £1200. So I made my ” trading decision ” and banned them for 12 months from my custom. It’s a nice feeling getting a small gram of payback – although I doubt it would affect their CEO’s bonus much knowing I’d just taken them for nearly five grand. Had this bet lost, I would still chalk it off as a £10 loss. I’ve ignored many of my old rules and I must improve. However, if I don’t bank a sizeable chunk of this now, my mother would probably disown me. I get it.
I cannot take full credit for how far I’ve gone with this, I’ve had some help along the way pointing me towards certain games and members with similar picks on their radar has made me take a look at what/why they’ve picked them. It has been a huge help guys and I am truly grateful.
I know a couple of people on here busted my chops a bit for not posting my bets right from the start. It wasn’t my intention to irk you. It is because A.) I don’t want to spam the daily thread with countless bets that yield pennies on the pound so early on. B.) I really do find it tedious grinding out a few quid of gains on a fresh tenner, it doesn’t get interesting for me until I’m playing with a couple of hundred quid. C.) My betting style isn’t for everyone. It takes a lot of patience and some nerve.
I’ve decided to pull out all but a £10 from my account and go again. It has been fun but when I start again, I will do far fewer bets and try to keep you better informed. For those unfamiliar with my betting challenge, there are several long threads – numbered in the betting challenge. Unfortunately, it became the focal point of ” I’m gonna bet on this – what do you think “, so there is some irrelevant info in there regarding many games – scroll past it.. If you want to have a go, by all means, join me. Just a warning though, if I put up games that are on my radar, it doesn’t mean I’ll bet on them straight away, it means they’re on my radar and I’ll possibly be waiting for the games to start to benefit from the in play price rises – which limits how many bets you need to place. I can’t emphasise how much fun this is, it can also help reel in how much you spend with the bookies too.. As the bets are exclusively on the overs 0.5 total match goals market, bet365 is the ideal bookie to cover this market. Good luck with all your bets today guys and once again, Thankyou.
Well done bud, I’ll be joining you on your next run 👍
Well done. All I’d say is try to put the bets up here so people can follow – if not then it’s pointless posting the results.
Yes like Mr Fixit has said put the bet up here so we can follow
I use to do this with Nathan back in he day, it was quite fun… the first £10 to £20 can be slow….but it’s a good way to build a little bank up without betting too much..
Once i hit about £30 i’d take out £10 then carry on with £20…with draw as you get to the higher amounts. made it to £126 i think mine was the highest i reached.
@nathanufton would it be possible to email you or some sort of chat going..i haven’t got the membership here any more. but I’d like to catch up again.
Cheers pal
hey @theboss , not heard from you in a while, send me an email ( don’t read into it, its an old old address ) I used to be a dj and a little girl called it me once.. dodgy_dj@yahoo.com I’ll wait for your email and I’ll message back my facebook ID.
speak soon
Nath
cheers Nath
Rangers over 5.5 team corners 11/10 bet10 2 points
Sorry 10bet
Rangers over 5.5 corners 11/10 10bet 2points LOST
I like the look of cards tonight and bet365 prices much better than skybet.
Legia v rangers this should be Fiesty. Over 1 card for rangers and over 1 card for legia bet builder 1.90
Wolves v torino over 3.5 Asian cards 1.75.
Celtic btts n win
Torino btts
Espanyol -1
14/1
🤞🤞🤞
Early one for Saturday
Man U -1
Fulham
Sunderland
Aberdeen DNB
Cove
19/1
Also took Cove win n over 2.5 match goals at 28/1
Celtic in both bets above too
Skybet have under 10 corners at Celtic 11/10
Bet365 have over 9 corners 1/1
Unless i am missing something it`s a bet you cannot lose .
You would have to put on a fair wedge tho.
Europa League selections:
Straight win: Malmo, Feyenoord, Ludogorets, Gent, PSV, Celtic.
BTTS: Torino v Wolves, Steaua v Vitoria Guimares, Braga v Spartak Moscow, Legia v Rangers.
Over 2.5: Copenhagen v Riga, Espanyol v Zoria
Not expecting lightning to strike twice but you never know?⚡
All 12 pays 325/1
Good luck all today☺
Congrats richtea …….it can strike twice believe
Haha, everyone will be on this now. Good luck.
Nap and Reasoning
21 games across the continent tonight and some teams travelling as far as 4000 miles which DOES AFFECT players and certain temperatures and conditions they aint used too etc
Few games on my radar today but 3 i really like the look off for goals are the 3 teams we have back at home and 3 teams whos form is easy to follow
linfield
wolves
rangers
all 3 are playing stiff oppositions but all3 scream calue for goals based on the stats for recent games ive looked at plus the actual value of BOTH TO SCORE in them and over 2.5 goals which is nicely priced at 1/1 in some games which is generous
the one game that stands out for the most value for me is:
🇵🇱 Legia Warsaw v Rangers 🏴
this game is abig for rangers but rangers have been in immense scoring form and to highlight that lets look at their recent games.
🔻Rangers last 20 games have seen them score in every one bar a 0-0 with Niedercorn
🔻Rangers have hit over 1.5 TEAM GOALS in 15 of those games
🔻Rangers have only lost once in 20 games and was 2-1 to kilmarnock and again they score din that
🔻Rangers have scored in 11 of their last 12 away games and won 7 of them
Legia play 4-2-3-1 mainly and are defensive with Kulenoivic lone striker but they do can score and will want to take 1st leg home advantage on board and rangers will be pushing for the away goal
🔹Legia only lost 3 times in last 20 games at home
🔹Legia scored 16 times at home out of 20 games
Rangers are bookie price favourites and i can see them netting tonight bu thats 3/10 and over 1.5 is 4/11 and i do feel legia will have to do something at home. With all that in mind im taking a higher option of BTS AND OVER 2.5 goals at 6/4 with bet365 as my first NB today
🚦🚦🚦🚦🚦🚦🚦
NB
Legia rangers bts and over 2.5 goals 6/4
💰6/4
NAP
Rangers to score 3/10
Linfield over 1.5 goals 1/3
Wolves to score 4/9
💰6/4
NAP 100% stake – NB 50% stake
last cheeky bet will be (side 25% nap stake) on these 3 over 2.5 goals
Linfield v Qarabag 2.5 goals 1/1
Legia v Rangers 2.5 goals 23/20
Torino v Wolves 2.5 goals 27/20
💰9/1
goodluck all
Just ignore them. Banned people usually return in a different guise.
Shortee, ignore them they are losers…
We know how good your tips are…
one fancy for the rangers game, it is a bit of a risk but won really big off 1st half match goals and team goals last 2 games v midtjylland, I know legia are defensive but rangers still have a mental attack so on first half team goals
rangers 1.5 1st half team goals at 15/2 ladbrokes – placed a few days ago – 7/1 today.
also on 6/5 for them to score in the 1st half.
also have to remember the mental game away at spartak with a far less quality rangers team – they still put 3 away in the 1st half.
over 3.5 team goals in the match is 18/1 – that is carnage
5/1 Torino v wolves score draw 1-1
If Wolves start with adama traore i think they have a great chance of getting something from this game , i have never seen a big man of his stature with so much pace he would cause any team problems .both teams go into this game in good form, i think it will be a very close game so im going for a low score draw.
I think wolves are a lot better than torino, they should win and btts – just an opinion mate
Torino are a decent side but although they’ve played four Europa League ties they haven’t been tested this season with Serie A still to kick off. I’m tipping a 1-1 draw.
Not sure Wolves are a better team the Torino,Wolves are only just establishing themselves where Torino have been together a long time.
disappointing in Denmark yesterday, downed a few people’s bets including my own two picks. well done all winners.
on to today, and I’ve picked out a few games which I think should just get over the line for goals in the Europa league. as it’s the first leg there’s always the risk that teams may well be a bit more cautious/on the defensive side, so keeping the stakes to a single unit. 2 POINT split as follows;
–4-Fold–
Astana v BATE Borisov
Braga v Spartak Moscow
Celtic v AIK
Legia Warsaw v Rangers
All 4 games Over 1.5 MGls
5/2 (10Bet)
1 POINT
–Treble–
Braga v Spartak Moscow
Torino v Wolves
Celtic v AIK
All 3 games BTTS
8.54/1 (Bet365)
1 POINT
I’ll be restarting from a fresh £10 tonight and I’m looking at the Europa league for a couple of bets. For those that wish to join me, if you have access to the betting challenges tab, then please read my guides I wrote a few years back. There’s stacks of info to help you avoid finding that 0-0. The key is to compile your own preliminary list of maybe 10 games, whittle them down with any red flags to 3 or 4 bets, then utilize the in-play price rise to your advantage. You will also need a bet365 account. I will be putting up the games that peak my interest, it is up to you if you choose any of them or select your own. You will make very tiny gains right at the start and it is tedious. But if you get several days into the challenge and your £10 is still in-play, those tiny gains from a monetary perspective start to increase. FYI, 297x 1/25 bets rolled one after the next on a £10 could equate to a million quid – If you’ve the nerve. If you hold fire for the SP to increase, those typical games that start around 1/25 – 1/20 for one goal or more – any side to score – those prices increase every few minutes. I like to drop onto a game several minutes after kickoff – it means less bets to get to your first milestone. If you can increase your bank by 37% per day, you will be there or thereabouts around a £100 after just 7 days. Good luck guys, my early picks with starting prices will be posted around 5pm. Do not place your bets without doing your own checks, and never take the starting prices, they rapidly change inside the first 10 mins or so. And read my guides, they’re spread out and numbered over several threads in the betting challenges tabs.
Excellent info again for anyone wishing to follow you 👌
I’ve attempted many of these in the past but I’m with you on this one.
Good on you nat. It’s not a new strategy, which you don’t claim it to be. But there’s coin to be made with such, which you have took the time and effort to highlight. GL mate.
sorry replied tot he wrong comment lol
”
I use to do this with Nathan back in he day, it was quite fun… the first £10 to £20 can be slow….but it’s a good way to build a little bank up without betting too much..
Once i hit about £30 i’d take out £10 then carry on with £20…with draw as you get to the higher amounts. made it to £126 i think mine was the highest i reached.
@nathanufton would it be possible to email you or some sort of chat going..i haven’t got the membership here any more. but I’d like to catch up again.
Cheers pal”
Celtic v AIK
AIK to score EVENS NAP
—
Torino v Wolves
10+ corners 4/5 NB
SKYBET
Short on time to go over the full card but this stood out this afternoon and I’ll be all over it.
ASTANA TO WIN & O1.5 MGLS
6/5
bet365
Easy money well done 👍
Cheers Phil
Hills have now priced up a pen in the Celtic Game 10/3 . I have added it to both the Rangers and Wolves matches — the treble pays 89/1 with the Hills price boost
I’ve started betting on specific teams to be awarded and / or score a penalty. I tend to back strong sides playing at home or away because, in general, the stronger teams are going to be awarded the spot kicks.
This worked well across the three European games yesterday – two of the three home sides were awarded and scored from the spot.
Something to look into further in the future.
Good logic starwars as the prices for a pen just to be awarded were pretty poor . Well done ,
Afternoon gents
Expecting Celtic to win by two goals tonight
Keep an eye out later for this weekend edition of the Gambla Betting podcast
https://mrfixitstips.co.uk/uefa-europa-league-celtic-to-rediscover-goal-threat/
For me 3-1 has a decent chance.
Lots of winners yesterday and top stuff richtea👍
Today keeping it fairly simple as the Europa qualifiers has not been good to me so far.
Malmo
Espanyol
Over 1.5tgs double
13/10
Legia v Rangers
I think this will be a very tight game and hoping we can get an away goal ahead of the seconds leg next week. Set pieces have brought a good number of goals so far for Rangers so hoping Katic can take advantage again.
Katic anytime 18/1 William Hill
Katic to score a header 25/1 William Hill
Astana
Ludogorets
Sporting braga
Slovan Bratislava
Over 1.5mgs 4 fold 9/4
Good luck
Maccathered
i hope you backed that horse i posted for you last night 33/1 ew just finished 3rd
Klopp of the kop
Main bet today
Copenhaga – RIGA 1 / HOME WIN
I think Astana can win also
@Mr Fixit
Do you know how the bookies decide which games they offer cards markets on?
SkyBet have been pretty much the only bookies to offer bookings markets on the Champions League and Europa League qualifiers. In the second legs of the last round of Europa League qualifiers they offered markets on almost all of the games, however, tonight only a few have cards offered. Is there any reason for this?
bet365 do cards on some matches, the higher the profile of the game, the more markets they offer on that match. Ladbrokes do a pts system on cards but not as many bookies as you’d think cover the cards markets. Oddschecker will pull up a small list if you select the cards market, but again, its fewer bookies than you’d think.
Yeah Unibet and Betvic do it as well at times .You have to watch out for bookies points
A red card at sky is 2.05 cards. A red card at 365 is 2 cards , but at Betvic and Hills it only counts as 1 card .
You would need to ask them.
Could be a manpower issue or a financial one – obviously they need to get all the inplay info, stats etc.
I know some bookies are having problems getting inplay prices up just now.
As it transpired, I actually researched the Ararat Armenia game in much more detail than I would have, due to the lack of cards markets on other games, and it allowed me to have a bumper afternoon. Perhaps I shouldn’t complain after all.
SkyBet have added cards to one further European game since my original post, so perhaps they’ll add one or two more before the later games start.
Over 1.5 goals:
Ludogorets
Trabzon
Malmo
To score at least one goal:
AIK Stockholm
Rangers
Guimaraes
Spartak Moskow
Not losing with more than one goal:
Suduva
Antwerp
Torino or draw
Frankfurt or draw
Total: 34/1
Fresh overs 0.5 tmg’s challenge. Day 1.
MUST HAVE A BET365 acct and we’re only ever gonna bet on total match goals over 0.5..
Just to wet your whistle and give you a feel for how this thing works:
Sometimes you have staggered kick-off’s and should you commit your stake to a game that has not yielded a goal before the 2nd match kicks off, you have to wait until the outcome of that game ( the goal ) has come before you can jump onto that 2nd game. Sometimes it works in your favour because it may take 20 minutes into that 2nd game before a goal comes in the first match, and thus, if there’s no goal in that 2nd game, you can take a price boost on that 2nd game by playing them as single bets. It happens sometimes, but it also goes the other way – a goal can come in on the 2nd game when your stake is already set on that first game. Or you can either ride match 1 for several mins and take a price boost of a few %% and drop it onto the double. ( The 2nd match you will not get any price boost on because you’ve already taken the SP – ( Start Price ) ), or you can pick one of the two matches that overlap and stick with the single.
Whatever happens, if a goal comes in the first minute of a game, or within a minute or two of striking the bet, DO NOT chase a 2nd goal in a match EVER , delete the game and move on to your plan B’. The most common score in football is 1 nil.
Ok bet 1: 18:00hrs – Malmo FF overs 0.5 tmgs @ 1/50. This price sucks, the bookies are expecting a goal rush. The plan is to cue in your bet, ride it for 8 – 12 mins – hope for no goal and that price will change to 1/40 or 1/33, then 1/25, 1/20, 1/16, 1/14, 1/12 . In an ideal world, inside 12 mins, its still goal-less and the price is around the 1/16 – 1/10 area, pick a time-frame of say 7 – 13 minutes max – or until you see the price rise to something you’d like to see ( 1/14 and 1/12 is reasonable ). When the time is up, or that price is there, strike your bet. It is always better to have eyes on the game, so you can judge if to hold back on your bet for a few mins, or if a team is pushing for that quick early goal. Bets will be locked out by bet365 if there appears to be a clear goal scoring opportunity/penalty/VAR decision/contentious decision in a dangerous area. If a goal comes before you’re ready to strike your bet, scrub the match and move onto the next match you have eyes on. Don’t be in a hurry to jump onto the next game, pick off a few each day, maybe one or two at night time ( South America is happy hunting grounds for me between 11pm and 3am ).
I’ve purposely picked Malmo FF as an early kick off so that you can get a feel for gauging when to strike your first bet. If you get an improved price increase on the SP and a goal comes, I’ll be looking at:
currents SP’s and start times:
19:45pm Braga @ 1/50
19:45pm Celtic @ 1/16
20:00pm Torino/Wolves @ 1/12
You’ve 2.5hrs to swat up on my guide, familiarise yourself with what things to look for and where to find info in your quest for the red flags. If for any reason you have doubts over a match, scrub it. Also, make your own C*&t list of teams that let you down. The key to this is not finding the games that give a goal, but to find the ones that trip can trip you up. It is also your call on what time/what price you take on which matches. Early on, it is not a big deal to group 2 or 3 matches together, but the further on you get, the more cautious you will be. Playing the long game and picking off an odd game here and there is way safer.
Good luck tonight and for those of you yet to try this type of betting, resist the urge to overreach. This is a marathon, not a sprint.
If the Malmo game yields a goal early, wait for the 19:45pm kickoffs. If you’re confident of going for the treble, ride the first two matches as long as you dare and take the price boost on the first two games. If a goal comes early in the 2nd or 3rd match, scrub the game from your radar and either play them as singles or a staggered kick off double. But never chase that 2nd goal on any game. Use the game you’ve picked for that one event and then move on. There’s comprehensive tips/guides in the betting challenges thread I created years ago. There’s some good info in there.
@nathanufton – could you please explain to me/us why exactly you need a bet 365 account to follow your bets? Why not Betfair per example ?
Anyway hope your all well ended my last marathon posting on here a few measly units up. Going to try a clean slate and go again – trying my hardest to be more selective etc
you can go on whatever bookie you want, but bet365 seem to be a bit quicker at changing the price than other bookies, + they cover more games on the overs 0.5’s market. Many bookies are only interested in pricing overs 2.5’s, 3.5’s. We are essentially betting on ANY scoreline apart from 0-0.
odds always seem to be better on 365 for over 0.5 and they have have more games available to bet on…also there GUI is quick and they have search function which come sin handy with these challenges.
Could be wrong but i reckon its guna be tough tonight, nothing at all stands out massively but I’m having a little treble on this,
Celtic game overs,
Wolves game btts,
Braga game btts, touch under 7/1 for the treble
Good luck lads
Oh ok I thought you were shouting on capitals MUST HAVE an account – so you don’t have to then I see… anyway good luck hitting 297 bets with zero nil nils I hope you make your million but for me those odds completely against you by happy to eat my words. Good luck.
On to today’s matches I’m going to jump in play at nil nil 40 minutes and take Al gharafa -.5 and -1 Asian handicap at evens 2 units
the 297 was an example, if you take the in play price hikes, the number falls quickly, but if you raise your pot by 37% or about 4 – 5 x 1/12’s you’ll hit 37%+. If you have a stellar day and push your luck early and you double your bank ( not impossible ), every 1/12 or 8.3% you land from then on is actually a 16.6% gain on your starting stake. I pulled it out because I have some stuff I’d like to buy, but even though it was £4800, it is actually 40% towards hitting a million quid. I’m not saying I’d ever hit that number, I might but probably not, but if you get yourself to 500 quid and do one per day, theoretically, you could easily make yourself a few hundred quid a week from banking some profit regularly.
won some £ off astana game so going for these:
2 team goals
braga
espanyol
PAOK
rangers
10/1 ladbrokes
risky over 100/1 : braga 3 tgls PAOK 3 tgls espanyol 2 tgls rangers 2 tgls over 40bps wolves game £5 on £530 back
£15 on acca returns £388
2 tgls – braga,paok,espanyol,feyenoord, wolves
also a double of pAOK and braga 3 plus tgls is 14/1
@nathanufton of course ‘in theory’ it could work but until I see you actually posting all your bets on here and actually proving it – rather than in hindsight I’ll believe it when I see it and certainly consider doing it myself but not until then thanks.
Be on a few of the different posters tips tonight – mainly over 1.5 mgs in the Europa but one that I can see value in tonight is
BTTS Double that pays around 7/2
Torino vs Wolves
Ludigirets vs Maribor
Good luck all
what other streaming sites do people use if hesgaol is down?
cheers
ASTANA TO WIN & O1.5 MGLS
6/5
bet365 ✅
Nice and simple, Astana are a different beast at home!
good bet and solid win at home
Malmo SP has increased to 1/33, good luck guys, it is up to you when you put your bet on. I’m hoping to see a 4 or 5 step price increase putting it around the 1/14 to 1/12 mark before I drop on it. Good luck guys.
1/25 now, ball not kicked yet. Also, have the match page/goal open, sometimes it doesn’t refresh the price in your bet slip. having it open means you can see it when it changes if it doesn’t update on your slip.
It’s taken just 2 minutes for the price to got to 1/16 then to 1/14 from 1/25. I’ll be looking hopefully to take 1/12 to 1/10 on this one.
I’m with you on this mate! Discipline is key
Went for Malmo to score at 1/6 nice little start! ;)
Glad to see you withdrew a huge profit from a small stake. Wise move. Well done!
Gonna follow you on this as best I can, just for the craic.
Look forward to your posts.
absolutely @exbootneck, terrific price boost @theboss you must of left it really late. Just a suggestion, but maybe not so long holding off, I know it worked out for you this time. The SP went from 1/50 to 1/33 10 mins before kickoff, to 1/25 seconds before kickoff to 1/16 inside the first 30 seconds. It was on 1/14 with barely 3 mins on the clock, then shortly after stayed on 1/12 for almost an age – seemed like it anyway. When that 1/10 came up, it was a few price increases better than I’d thought I’d get, hence I took it. A 1/50 is a 2% gain. A 1/10 is a 10% gain. I’d happily take 1x 1/10 winning bet every day if it was possible. You know the games we’re looking at, maybe you have different ideas, maybe you want to keep it simple with a single, maybe bit more ballsier double, maybe you want to do a treble. the higher your pot, the less eager you will be to over reach so tread carefully guys. If the nerves get to you, turn off your score site, and set your alarm clock for ht. Or Ft.
Celtic v aik Stockholm.
Celtic no clean sheet 11-10 (bet365) NAP.
After the Astana success earlier going for a wee fourfold for interest tonight!
GENT v RIJEKA
PSV v APOLLON LIMASSOL
BRAGA v SPARTAK MOSCOW
ESPANYOL v ZORYA
A Goal in Both Halves Fourfold
7.84/1
BetVictor
Bet 2
Malmo 2+ team goals (in play)
Ludogrets over 1.5 MGs
Odds 2.1 1.5 units
Bet placed at 1/10 on Malmo 13 mins in.
On it too – good luck all :)
Nathan you on twitter?sorry if you already posted it much to read through
I am but never use it, i’m on fb
scroll up and mail me and i’ll send you my fb id
Can we start a group on facebook messenger?
I’m sweating Nathan. And I don’t like sweating
Are you still sweating? Lynx might do the trick. 1st bet in. Time to sit back relax, and breath. It’s only £10 mate, try it with a few grand, you’d need a ventilator.
Lol great banter it really is!
What’s next?
Already posted a few hrs ago, 3 games, 2 start in 50 mins, 1 in 65 mins. Go do some stat checking, look for red flags. I’m hoping to steer you guys towards a few winners to get you to understand how to use the guidelines to keep your bets safe. Hopefully, some of you will point me in the direction of a few winners too. I know there is a tendency to rely on one focal point, but really it’s about spreading the load, having a bit of fun and seeing how long you can make 1x £10 last you. I’d be more impressed with one of you having a few small rolling bets each day and doing it for 7 straight days without hitting a banana skin than bulldozing your way to a cricketscore in a few days. I’m so aware about this green eyed monster called over reach. The ” just one more ” situation that only you can control. That is how the bookies get your money back.
So you just keep betting your original £10 plus profit til you either bottle it or lose it?
Yes, its all about taking a tiny profit and rolling it. I advise not trying to force your way through to a big number quickly and paying yourself a £5 each time you hit 25 50 75 and 100 + multiples of. that way if it goes South and you’re further on, it doesn’t hurt so much. the key is avoiding the bad ones. Typically a league will yield between 87 – 93% of games will have a goal in them.
In play UAE Cup
Bani Yas v Sharjah SCC
Over 1.5 fhgs 13/8 NAP
Rangers and Btts 9/2
Gent and Btts 13/5
Double @bet365
Is there anyone on here who specializes in serie A? Im considering a big double on juve along with barca. Im set on barca i just need convincing about juve!? Thanks in advance.
I might be wrong but wasn’t there a guy from welovebetting that sometimes threw in some info on Italian footie?
Yeah they often have Italian tips. For the guy asking about Juve for the title – I can’t see anyone stopping them.
Joining in Nathan’s fun initiative. Just put £10 on >0.5 goal on Feyenoord / Hapoel
1 nil, good call.
Odds 1/10 for >0.5 goal
Got to be a goal in the Bani Yas @ 1/12 looking at the number of shots after 28 mins
Also Ludgorets game @ 1/7
Celtic v AIK Home win & over 1.5
Braga v Spartak Moscow Home win & over 1.5
Double odds 3.46
tonite, probably get accused of being anti celtic but just looked at that line up and bench and dont really fancy it so here goes……………..
btts & overs 9/5
aik win btts 14/1
GL………………..
Forgot to mention this, earlier today, bet365 sent me a £5 free bet token, then had the nerve to send me a ” we’ve noticed you’re increasing your stakes ” mail. Lol. So I cashed out some of my balance.
Copenhagen vs Riga
In running corner bet
Over 10 corners 8/11 NAP
Where’s Sb tonight ? Love his tips especially the accas
Hosting his all night gay orgy
Fourfold again for me with one in-playou:
Legia Warsaw in-play
AZ
PSV
Celtic
@ 11.3/1 with Bet365
Sweden Cup 17:30
Akropolis IF vs Djurgarden – over 4.5 first half Asian corners ❌
UEFA Europa League Qualifying 19:30
FCSB vs Guimaraes – over 8 total corners
Double 6/4 Bet365 **NAP** LOST
Done by the “cup dynamic”. Only 1 first half corner, should’ve known better. Good luck to everyone with live bets this evening.
I don’t have fb for my betting, I just use it to keep in touch with a old few friends. There’s no secret club or anything, but you’re welcome to shoot me a message if you want to.
Just struck my bets around 10 mins in:
Torino/Wolves @ 1/10
Celtic @ 1/12
Braga @ 1/14
its your call if you follow me on the treble, or a double or a single. I have some house stuff to do, gonna come back around ht to check in on the status. Good luck folks.
I did the double…left Braga out 😬. Up to £15.32 now…that’s me for the day
77 mins over 0.5 goals 76 mins
Odds 2.00 1 unit
That’s ludogrets
Ludogrets v Maribor
Over 0.5 mgs 3/1
5 mins remaining
Astana
Ludogorets
Sporting braga
Slovan Bratislava
Over 1.5mgs 4 fold 9/4**LOST** no idea how Ludogorets never scored a couple
In play UAE Cup
Bani Yas v Sharjah SCC
Over 1.5 fhgs 13/8 NAP
👎👎👎
Dam you ludogrets
Last two today
Wolves over 1.5 MGs
Odds 2.00 2 units
Both score odds 3.00 2 units
Ludogrets v Maribor
Over 0.5 mgs 3/1
5 mins remaining
👎👎👎
Got £11 back from my £10 earlier. Put £11 on >0.5 double Wolves (1/3) / Celtic (1/4). Will return £18.33 if winner
Ludgorets skank..
In play double
Lincoln Red Imps v Glacia Utd
Over 7.5 mgs
U19s in Norway
Lyn football v Raufoss
Over 2.5 mgs
Pays 2/1
all bets down, RANGERS 0-0
wel done all winners
In play
Braga over 1.5mgs 8/5
Good luck
Lost
Torino & Celtic games both in – all eyes now on Braga ;)
So literally straight after the restart, just Braga then. Hope I don’t jinx this, but i’ll look a prize dick if the Braga game doesn’t drop a goal. tbh, I’d be marginally more confident on the Braga game delivering than the other 2 and they’ve already come in.
A goal in Torino has made me a little more comfortable, plenty of time yet with a full 2nd half in Braga and Celtic, to avoid any temptation to cashout and see this through without extra nailbiting, my alarm is now set until 5 mins after both matches finish. If it delivers, taking the prices at the point I placed them or after, a gain of 39.7% minimum would give day 1 a solid start. I’ll log in one hour and see the results.
There’s your Celtic goal.
In play
Linfield over 4.5mgs evens
**WON**
Braga just scored at last! :)
🇵🇱 Legia Warsaw v Rangers 🏴
this game is abig for rangers but rangers have been in immense scoring form and to highlight that lets look at their recent games.
🔻Rangers last 20 games have seen them score in every one bar a 0-0 with Niedercorn
🔻Rangers have hit over 1.5 TEAM GOALS in 15 of those games
🔻Rangers have only lost once in 20 games and was 2-1 to kilmarnock and again they score din that
🔻Rangers have scored in 11 of their last 12 away games and won 7 of them
Legia play 4-2-3-1 mainly and are defensive with Kulenoivic lone striker but they do can score and will want to take 1st leg home advantage on board and rangers will be pushing for the away goal
🔹Legia only lost 3 times in last 20 games at home
🔹Legia scored 16 times at home out of 20 games
Rangers are bookie price favourites and i can see them netting tonight bu thats 3/10 and over 1.5 is 4/11 and i do feel legia will have to do something at home. With all that in mind im taking a higher option of BTS AND OVER 2.5 goals at 6/4 with bet365 as my first NB today
🚦🚦🚦🚦🚦🚦🚦
NB
Legia rangers bts and over 2.5 goals 6/4 ❌
💰6/4
NAP
Rangers to score 3/10❌ rare 0-0
Linfield over 1.5 goals 1/3 ✅
Wolves to score 4/9 ✅ mental price
💰6/4
NAP 100% stake – NB 50% stake
last cheeky bet will be (side 25% nap stake) on these 3 over 2.5 goals
Linfield v Qarabag 2.5 goals 1/1 ✅
Legia v Rangers 2.5 goals 23/20 ❌
Torino v Wolves 2.5 goals 27/20 PENDING
💰9/1 ❌
goodluck all
well done all and any winners
Got my £18.33 back, so that’s 83.33% return on my £10 so far today
My 4 picks tonight have yielded a 39.7% increase on todays starting stake. At current interest rates, a bank would pay you 0.5% interest before tax over 12 months. Braga left us sweating a little, but all good things come to those who wait. Ironically, at one point pre-kick off, The Braga price was as low as 1/100 to deliver a goal. But you see how holding your nerve for several minutes impacts the price they offer. But you guys get the idea of how this works. I cannot emphasize enough about reading my guides in the betting challenges component on this site. If you’ve not got access to it, you’ll need to be a paid member. There is so much info in there, tips and tricks, matches/leagues to avoid, how to spot a potential red flag. I felt at the time that as my guide took quite a lot of research and effort, it was best kept in the paid members only section to offer more value for your membership fee’s. I’m not on a commission, I don’t get paid by the site, I’m just a regular guy that likes find a different approach to see if something works or not. Not every day will be like this, sometimes your bets will land within minutes or seconds of striking them, other times it will take a 96th minute penalty to be the decider, and on other days, that penalty will be missed. I’ve cashed out before on 88 minutes – only for an injury-time winner to further upset my day. But for a £10 starting stake, it is a terrific rollercoaster ride. I’ve not eaten today, I’ve been a bit pre-occupied and maybe I’m fatigued, maybe I just need food, but you guys get the picture.
I think there are a few games in South America after midnight. If I get fed and my brain is a little recharged, I might post up one pick as an overnight sleeper. If I do post, it will be posted before midnight and I won’t even look at the results until I wake up.
Stay safe guys.
Nathan. You’ve entertained me, and made me money today. Well done , thanks and long may it last. Before long we’ll be calling you “Goals King Nathan” !! PS. At the risk of stating the obvious, bear in mind the importance of covering the bet the deeper we go with this. Cheers!
Too fast moving for me tonight but I love the concept!
Torino v Wolves
Btts at 1/1*****(NAP) WON
Well done all winners
Mr f couldn’t you have another thread for betting challenges as there’s far to many posts to scroll through.
Nope, just scroll by the ones you don’t want to read.
Fair enough mr f,not moaning or having a go just far to many posts for 1/10 shots etc
Well done, Macca ! Followed you on this one.
👍👍
Posted earlier
I like the look of cards tonight and bet365 prices much better than skybet.
Legia v rangers this should be Fiesty. Over 1 card for rangers and over 1 card for legia bet builder 1.90. WON. ✔️
Wolves v torino over 3.5 Asian cards 1.75. WON ✔️
Well done andrez
Pen trixie not even close . Loser
2 Booking bets in Turin 11/10 and 1/1 WINNERS
Could have been worse . Well done all winners
Thursdays goals tips
Europa league
Over 1.5 tgs
Malmo/Copenhagen
11/10 bet 365 NAP✅✅
Celtic/espanyol/braga✅✅❌
73/25 bet 365 NB
Nap lands no bother, braga goal short for the full house. Wd all the winners
Another top Nap Sean, you’ll never have to pay for a drink in my company before long!
Cheers
Cheers md 👍🏻
🏴 Celtic 2-0 AIK 🇸🇪
Celtic and over 1.5 goals
5/6 (NAP) ✅
Celtic head and shoulders above AIK – should have been more
Late pen in Turin brings in one of my singles 10/3 WON .
I get it macthered , I really do, that was what I was afraid of. Lots of people on here want the proof of how this works and how I’ve made it work. They also want all the guides that I took hours to write years ago without joining fully. I almost feel like I’m spoonfeeding it. But the cynics and trolls on the site have asked for proof. I know its only 1 day, but hopefully having said what I have, I won’t be repeating myself again. I will be putting up a few picks but don’t anticipate continually going over the same stuff that is there accessible for those that wish to join.
On a separate note, if you want to see what a red flag is, head to bet365, copa libertardores, River plate game tonight at 11.15pm. pull up the stats tab, scroll to the bottom and select overs 0.5’s. Look at River plates percentages.
I have no.problem with nathan or his posts,just think a thread for challenges would be better suited to that syle of bet.
If nathan doesn’t post then it’s a waste of time and takes time to create every post so at the moment we’ll let it run here.
Celtic v aik Stockholm.
Celtic no clean sheet 11-10 (bet365) NAP.
⚽😞 loser😞⚽
Well done winners today …
I didn’t post the above message 🤔.
Are there 2 of me ?.
I would like meet me if that’s the case, catch up on old times and all that 😨
For those on hull shakers tip.
Hills had Cerro porteno to score at 7-4 last Saturday, right now it’s evens.
Shows the advantage of taking early prices if you fancy it.
All they have to do now is score 🤔.
I fancy a
A score spread of 0-0 1-0 or 2-0, rivers main aim will be a clean sheet. hope I’m wrong for shakers bet though.
Good luck Elvis – thought the Cerro prices would tighten up and cash-out looking good ahead of KO 👍
Last one from me tonight at midnight:
Colombian league
overs 0.5’s @ 1/12
Independiente Medalin match
In b4 half time. Thanks Nathan!
Totally bonkers on Iceland 😂
12 goals and finished 4-8…alas not a 3rd home goal in the 2nd ’45 🙈
River plate v cerro
Had a few quid on a penalty at 9-4 and a red card at 5-2 for interest.
They could both happen at once if a keeper hacks down a striker in the box, and if it’s a Cerro striker he then scores the penalty to bring in your bet shaker.
Simples 😁
river plate are corner Kings
8+River plate corners evens your dough, that’s what I’m on, will be attack after attack
Final score
River plate 2 Cerro porteno 0
2 penalties 😁
No red card 😞.
Cerro no shots on target and no corners
Teachers verdict = must do better in the 2nd leg.
Looks like a Boca v river semi final now.
Nice friendly affair that will be 🔥🔥
No joy Elvis – well done all winners !