Today’s tennis tips feature two quarter-finals from Beijing, where we’re backing the favourites to win their matches. There are some nuances in our picks, which will be explained below, but in our opinion, these are the best tennis tips this Thursday in terms of the value they provide.
Best tennis tips and predictions today
In our first pick, we’re backing Carlos Alcaraz to defeat Karen Khachanov easily in two sets, and we’re taking the under on games for that match. In the second pick, we’re also backing Jannik Sinner to achieve a similar outcome in his matchup against Jiri Lehecka, which again offers pretty good value. Enjoy today’s tennis betting tips!
Alcaraz vs Khachanov – under 20.5 games @ 4/6
We opted for the slightly less risky line of 20.5 instead of 19.5, which still offers strong odds at 5/6, just to play it safe. We have no doubts about either of these lines though, because the matchup is highly favourable for Carlos Alcaraz.
He’s back to playing close to his best tennis and is enjoying the conditions in Beijing. The courts are somewhat slow and bouncy, providing him with plenty of flexibility in any given matchup. To defeat him here, an opponent must be able to hit through him, and Khachanov simply can’t do that.
While Khachanov might have better chances in faster conditions, he won’t find that here, putting him at a disadvantage. Their matchup history isn’t in his favour either, as he has lost all three matches against Alcaraz.
We expect that trend to continue, predicting a score line of around 6-3, 6-3 in favour of Alcaraz. With that in mind, the under is the value play.
Sinner vs Lehecka – under 20.5 games @ 5/6
This match heavily relies on the matchup itself for our analysis. Sinner and Lehecka have faced each other twice so far, each on different surfaces, and the Italian emerged victorious in straight sets both times.
Both of those scores fell under this line, and we expect that trend to continue because Sinner is simply the better player. For Lehecka to win, he would need to overpower Sinner, which is highly unlikely.
Of course, it’s possible, but such an outcome would only happen in one out of 10 matches, and we don’t anticipate it occurring tomorrow. While Sinner hasn’t played particularly sharp tennis so far in this event, we must acknowledge that Lehecka hasn’t either.
In any case, a victory for Sinner seems highly probable due to the current form of both players and how their previous matchups have unfolded. This presents good value, far better than any other betting options available for this match.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
In December 2020 we sadly 
