Craven Cottage, Monday, 8pm, Sky Sports 1
FULHAM have won fewer points (eight) than any other side in Premier League London derbies this season but defeated Spurs in their last match.
Not even Nostradamus himself would have predicted Fulham stealing away from White Hart Lane with all the points on their last Premier League outing.
After all the Cottagers’ dubious record in derbies speaks for itself this season, including becoming the first members of an exclusive list of QPR’s league victims (there are only four to date) at Loftus Road back in December.
What that win at Spurs did do for Martin Jol’s side was relieve relegation fears by lifting them into 10th with a game in hand over most which could give cause for complacency.
However, for QPR, this really does represent the last chance saloon, and that extra determination may at least bring them a point.
Jermaine Jenas has scored in two successive appearances in the Premier League. On the last occasion he did this (February 2007) he went on to net in three successive games.
Cast aside by Spurs after many an injury-plagued season and two loan spells, Jenas is revelling in his switch across to west London.
The former England man has always been blessed with considerable talent but unfortunately not the body to consistently carry the fight. Still, none of that will matter to Harry Redknapp if Jenas can continue firing in goals to help lift QPR towards their dream of Premier League survival.
Alongside former stablemate Andros Townsend – on loan from White Hart Lane – the pair have breathed new life into the Hoops’ in the last two matches, both helping themselves to a pair of goals.
There have been just 13 goals scored in QPR’s eight Premier League London derbies this season – an average of 1.63 per game.
One of QPR’s many deficiencies this season has been their distinct lack of firepower, not helped it must be said by a series of injuries to their strikers.
The three goals Rangers scored in the recent 3-1 win over Sunderland at Loftus Road represented the first time they had actually managed to surpass the two-goal mark in the Premier League this season.
Although they have rectified that to a degree in recent matches, these London derbies are often tense affairs, especially where the R’s are concerned.
The Hoops have managed just three goals from four cross-capital ventures, and Jol’s side have notched only once across their last two Craven Cottage fixtures.
Recommended Bets:
Lay Fulham to beat QPR @ 2.08
Back Jermaine Jenas to score @ 8.8
Back Under 2.5 goals @ 1.98
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
real betis
fulham
decent double or keep to fulham?
Normally very happy to go with you, Mr F, and I’m still cursing that Blackburn equaliser on a super single a couple of weeks back, but I think there’s another possibility tonight…
Fulham will be delighted to have got Hangeland to stay on a new contract, and you can’t underestimate the effect on morale that will have brought to the rest of the team – if he’s staying, we’re on the up. Fulham are a tough nut at the Cottage anyway, and, despite the current record in London derbies, I’ve watched them play Arsenal and Spurs off the park in recent times. They’re also pretty good against the lesser sides of the league at home – Berbatov is the classic flat-track bully.
I think QPR’s superstars will continue to do enough to get noticed by other clubs, and Harry’s a brilliant motivator, but I’m not sure he’s got many cards left to play… And flashes of brilliance aren’t the same as the non-stop miracle-working they’ll need game-in-game-out. I can’t see that team of badge-kissing mercenaries going toe-to-toe with Fulham tonight.
I’m definitely on Fulham, but -1 is pretty tempting, too… 3-0 or 3-1. Berbatov to score anytime. (Speaking of badge-kissing mercenaries!)
The UHT, it’s another really tough game that can go either way. I agree with Milesey and think there will be goals. Berbatov always a threat and QPR have to go for it. I’m going btts and overs rather than trying to call the result.
QPR 1-0 @ 10/1
QPR 2-0 @ 18/1
QPR WIN OR DRAW @ 3/4
………and UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 17/20
——————————-
DOUBLE DELIGHT
Ireland Premier League
UC Dublin V Sligo
SLIGO WIN @ 4/9
RUSSIA: Premier League
Alania V CSKA Moscow
CSKA MOSCOW WIN @ 1/2
******CSKA WIN 4-0******
Milesey
LAY OF THE DAY
————–
Real Betis host Getafe in La Liga this evening on Sky Sports Xtra at 21:00 , could be in for a feast of goals.
Betis have slid out of the European qualification places after winning just two of their last nine in the league. Pepe Mel’s side were challenging for the last remaining Champions League spot but they are now down in seventh, three points behind sixth placed Valencia. If they want to be playing in Europe next season then they need to overhaul Valencia, Malaga or Real Sociedad above them, but they need to start winning more regularly.
As far as the goals go, The Green and Whites have scored 39 and conceded 42 this year – giving their games an average of 2.89 goals each time. 16 of their 28 have gone over 2.5, with their last four all having three or more, including a 3-3 thriller at Real Sociedad. Rubén Castro leads the way with 16 in all competitions but Jorge Molina has also chipped in with 10 and he’s netted in three of his last four.
Getafe have found their form in recent weeks and have picked up 13 points from a possible 15. They are now in eighth place, just one point behind tonight’s opponents and have a real shot of earning European football next season.
Luis García Plaza’s men have netted 38 times this term and conceded 44, giving their matches an average of 2.93 goals per 90 minutes. 15 of their 28 fixtures have gone north of 2.5, with five of their last half dozen on the road doing so. Their goals have been shared round the team but Adrián Colunga has netted four in his last six, including a brace at Real Mallorca.
The reverse fixture finished 2-4 in November and I think we could be in for another goal fest here. Under 2.5 is trading around 1.99 and given the recent statistics, I have to make it my lay of the day.
Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Betis v Getafe @ 1.99
Milesey ( betfair )
BET OF THE DAY
—————-
KICK OFF 6.15PM
—————-
Both teams have scored in 9/11 Nacional home games in this season’s Portuguese Liga and they’ve done the same in 7/10 Guimaraes away matches.
Recommended Bet: Back Both Teams to Score @ 1.77 in Nacional v Guimaraes
Milesey ( betfair )
Recommended Bet: Back Both Teams to Score @ 1.77 in Nacional v Guimaraes
WOW, how easy 31 minutes in and BET is a ** WINNER **
Milesey ( betfair )
Milesey you are a really good tipster
QPR 1-0 @ 10/1
QPR 2-0 @ 18/1
QPR WIN OR DRAW @ 3/4
………and UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 17/20
——————————-
Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Betis v Getafe @ 1.99
( so back over 2.5 goals if not using betfair )
and for the double……………..
Ireland Premier League
UC Dublin V Sligo
SLIGO WIN @ 4/9
…………….. and that is that for today.
Milesey
Mr F, you put under 2.5 in your recs but your saying it your backing overs? just checking with you ? ;)
Dave, Milesey’s tipped unders but I don’t agree. I’m on overs and btts, just a difference of opinion.
Mr F –
If the tip is Over 2.5, we’re agreed!
The month of March might have been one of the coldest on record, the winter weather causing havoc to football and horse racing in particular, but April promises to be the sporting month of the year with a plethora of stunning events to be staged.
Whether it’s fast and furious action you prefer, or an afternoon of sedate armchair viewing, then April has it covered with these super six events taking centre stage.
Champions League: Quarter-Finals April 2 & 3
With no English participants amongst the eight clubs remaining you’d be forgiven for thinking that this season’s Champions League has lost a bit of sparkle. Well think again.
Spanish giants Barcelona and Real Madrid head the Winner market at 2.76 and 3.6 respectively, and with superstars Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo spearheading their attacks then few would argue that the trophy is destined for Spain. But throw German duo Bayern Munich (6.4) and Borussia Dortmund (9.6) into the mix, along with Italian giants Juventus (15.0), and David Beckham’s PSG (40.0), then suddenly a mouth-watering competition is set to play out.
Betfair‘s football Ambassador Lee Dixon will be previewing the key games, and our man is currently showing a huge profit on all his recommended bets this football season.
Aintree Grand National Festival: April 4-6
It doesn’t matter whether you’re a regular punter or an occasional one, the Grand National is arguably the one sporting event that, year on year, stops the nation.
But for regular racing fans the action starts on Thursday with the Aintree Bowl taking centre stage, and on Friday national hunt equine sensation Sprinter Sacre is set to put his unbeaten chase record on the line against the likes of Flemenstar and Cue Card in the Melling Chase.
But Saturday is the day everyone is looking forward to with the Grand National itself set to commence at 16:15.
Betfair Ambassador Paul Nicholls won the race last year with Neptune Collognes, and this year he has another live chance with 20.0 shot Join Together. Irish-trained duo On His Own and Seabass currently head the market at 9.2 and 12.5 respectively.
Premier League: Man Utd v Man City April 8
It’s not over until it’s over will be the call from both camps ahead of this huge Manchester derby, but with United 15 points clear at the top of the table, defending champions City may as well bring the Premier League trophy to Old Trafford and hand it to their arch rivals and neighbours themselves.
In fact defeat for Roberto Mancini’s men here will have the Citizen’s looking over their shoulders as they attempt to secure the runner-up position. Man City are 1.12 to record a Top 2 Finish, with Chelsea (12.0) and Tottenham (20.0) hot on their heels.
US Masters Golf: April 11-14
Tiger Woods is the name on everyone’s lips ahead of next week’s first golf Major of the season. The four-time Masters champion has been in terrific form in 2013, winning three tournaments on the PGA Tour resulting in a return to the number one ranking in the world.
But it’s been nearly five years since Woods last won a Major, and he last won at the stunningly picturesque Augusta National in 2005. He’s sure to give you an excellent run for you money however with his incredible putting ability undoubtedly allowing him to gain strokes on the field.
Woods is 4.6 favourite to don his fifth Green Jacket, but if you want to oppose him then you’ve got former world number one Rory McIlroy (13.0), three-time winner Phil Mickelson (14.0), and European Tour stalwart Lee Westwood (28.0) to choose from, amongst about 150 others!
FA Cup: Semi-Finals April 13 & 14
Manchester United were knocked out in their quarter-final replay against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge, so we now have our full FA Cup semi-final line up for the world’s oldest cup competition in place. Man City (2.2) have been installed as favourites, closely followed by the team they’ll play in their semi on the 14th, United-conquering Chelsea (2.78). In the other final being played the day before, Millwall (available at a massive 32.0) face Wigan (5.2). We’ll of course have plenty of coverage and previews ahead of FA Cup weekend.
World Snooker Championship: Commences April 20
So you’ve got your Champions League and FA Cup selections through to the latter stages, you’ve backed the winner of the Grand National, and your US Masters pick won by five strokes. At this point you can either retreat to Barbados, or sit back and enjoy a bit of green baize action.
After a year away from the table four-time world champion Ronnie O’Sullivan is back to defend his crown. The Rocket is 7.8 favourite to do so too, just ahead of the ‘Wonder from Down Under’ Neil Robertson (8.0), the ‘Jester from Leicester’ Mark Selby (8.0), and Judd ‘The Ace in the Pack’ Trump (8.2).
Milesey ( betfair )
Think ill start backing lee dixons picks then,that’ll put an end to his profit
LEE DIXON “”Back Fulham to win 1-0 in the Correct Score market at 8.2″”
Milesey
Wonder whoz gonna have the balls to put a “CERT” up after Dane’s crucifixion today (suppose it is the season for crucifying folk) ;-) I wid say that LANUS are a good bet tonite, I will be doing them myself, wid say 8.5/10 confident job at a decent value price but not a 1/20 banker
You like a nice piece of ANUS anyway ;) ;) ;)
you not get saddle sore ANUS today ? or did you not meet up with Mr F for your bike ride ;) ;)
Milesey
Too busy painting a bedroom today…can’t be wasting money like u boys that get big bonus’s in the private sector every 5 minutes, Betfair, Daily Record (and wherever Muzza works..sales rep for After Dark mag??) :-)..public sector workers like I cant afford to pay Pablo Picasso to paint it for me so wizna oot on bike today ;-(
hahahaha sorry ;)
Just that your always on the ANUS, sorry Lanus, just wondered if you always back them, or do you ever LAY the ANUS ;) ;)
Milesey
Nah, no a ban of LAYING the ANUS…conventional mufter every time for me. ;-) Dunna about other folks preferences..yerself?? might get a few surprises on Thursdays Dogging Tales prog… ;-) were ya at match today??
Indeed, was a great start for the manager on his 3rd coming, always thought we’d scrape a nice 1-0, so had the stevenage win and to keep a clean sheet, first thing always with Westley is to keep it tight at the back, and today the defence was solid, he knows the players here, how to get the best out of them, we are safe, and next season will be better and we’ll be up there, play off place at the very least.
Milesey
New man in charge tends to have an impact. Cashed in Mr Fs treble when SSN said they had gone ahead but were “fortunate to be in front”…..cost me a few quid in he end but…
Any other score lines milesey
Milesey QPR/Draw or Braga?..whats the better option, to go with ANUS and Sligo…or both even?..yankee or trixie?
I’d go with BRAGA to win against Sporting ;)
Milesey
ROMANIA: Liga I
Otelul v Steaua Bucharest
STEAUA @ 10/11
KICK OFF 7.30pm
Milesey
was just looking at Steaua..going well
Much is admission to Stevenage match for adult?
£17 for the terraces, and £21 for the main stand.
Milesey
Jenas anytime scorer. I,m on that thanks. Love these stats on here.
I think with Fulham virtually safe and in good form can play with no pressure on them, Harry as named an attacking team, and I’m going for goals tonight. Bet over 2.5 goals, also Zamora 10/1 looks cracking value and I’m also on Remy anytime 12/5
Good luck to you all
QPR Are SHOCKING……. good i didn’t go big on them.
My only big bet was my double
========================
DOUBLE DELIGHT
Ireland Premier League
UC Dublin V Sligo
SLIGO WIN @ 4/9
RUSSIA: Premier League
Alania V CSKA Moscow
CSKA MOSCOW WIN @ 1/2
=======================
Milesey
Covered my losses, one more goal and happy days……..
Bet Confirmation – KD2780632010F – Flash Time of bet: 01/04/2013 20:37:12
1 Over 3.5
Fulham v QPR
(Match Goals)
01/04/2013
None
4/5
To Run
Stake: 500.00 To Return: 900.00
and in it goes…………. GET IN !
Milesey
Milesey – I’ve gone with tips you’ve put up here any number of times and not often regretted it. I was surprised when Fulham weren’t getting much love, but it’s always about opinions and next time without doubt you’ll be right. This game could have gone any number of ways – and still might. And I went with Sligo tonight on your advice.
I’m on Sligo for my big double………
DOUBLE DELIGHT
Ireland Premier League
UC Dublin V Sligo
SLIGO WIN @ 4/9
RUSSIA: Premier League
Alania V CSKA Moscow
CSKA MOSCOW WIN @ 1/2
******CSKA WIN 4-0******
I covered myself on the FULHAM game, and would love a JENAS goal now .
Milesey
Inplay game plan now………… i am going to LAY Fulham @ 1.1 , QPR must get a kick up the arse now surely, they can’t be any worse then that 1st half.
Milesey
A Jenas goal wouldn’t go down so well here – I’m on Fulham -1!
You see that BRAGA goal Guido, now that is a quality GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOAL.
Milesey
Not watching Milesey..are Braga lookin the part?
QPR no done yet… ‘arry be urgin em on!! D u speak like ‘arry Milesey?..but a sarfen lad?? :-)
I’m sorry, seems I jinxed everyones Braga bets too, seem Milesey backed them and figured he always seems to do well… my bad
It’s not jinxed yet, loads of more goals to come in this game……. it’s along way from finished ;) ;)
Milesey
BRAGA 2-2
QPR Back in it, come on…………….
Milesey
Milesey, just switched on. Glad I went against you with the overs. What u needing now?
goal come on you R’S
Have some confidence Weordie!! No gonna snare yersel the best looking bird in the bar (ya still might not but need to give it a bash!!) ;-)if ya dont have any confidence in yersel!!…same with anything..wee bit confidence needed. Doom n gloom will find ya/dont go looking for it ;-)
The luck I’ve had these last few weeks any confidence I’ve had has been sapped mate. Every single bet I’ve placed has been let down by one result if it consisted of more than one team or by the one team if it’s been a single… Need a win to get over the hump. need braga and lanus to do the business
My overs come in and despite him missing a pen remy scored, just like a zamora goal now.
Zamora anytime was 10/3 not 10/1 although it may aswell of been
DOUBLE DELIGHT
Ireland Premier League
UC Dublin V Sligo
SLIGO WIN @ 4/9
RUSSIA: Premier League
Alania V CSKA Moscow
CSKA MOSCOW WIN @ 1/2
DOUBLE IS A WINNER
*******************
Milesey
Hi there,
Mr fixit your a legend by the way.
So anyway I’m waiting on over 1.5 goals in the betis game on 1 line and BTTS on another , question is what the best way to cover it I’m sitting with £80 in my hills account
Mr T, you could cover one bet and lose the other so you have to be careful. At the moment the best you can do is back under 1.5 goals. If there’s goal then you could look at no more goals. No the easiest when you have two running and also depends what you stand to win.
Both pay £150ish , I’m just going to let them run , if they both lose I’m only down a score.
Mr T, fair enough but keep an eye on things because the longer it stays 0-0 the more likely you’re going to need to make a move.
damn you braga