Lyon v PSG, Sunday, 8pm

BY the time this game kicks off PSG may have been already crowned champions. If Marseille lose at home to Toulouse on Saturday PSG will be at least seven points clear with two games to play.

If Marseille draw PSG are virtually assured of the title because of their vastly-superior goal difference – and if Marseille win PSG can seal their first league triumph in 19 years by beating Lyon in the big Sunday night game.

My feeling is we’ll get an open and exciting game whether PSG need the points or not, not only because this is a clash between the division’s two highest-scoring sides but also because there’s so much at stake for Lyon.

About six weeks ago Remi Garde’s side looked nailed on for second place but an attack of the jitters has seen them fall four points behind Marseille (now in second place) which means Lyon are battling it out with Nice, St Etienne and Lille for the third and final Champions League spot.

Lyon will be praying PSG already have the title wrapped up by the time the teams take the field in order to make their task easier – yet regardless of the situation Lyon’s best hope of winning will be to adopt an attacking approach because they are more convincing offensively than defensively.

Second-choice keeper Anthony Lopes will start for a third consecutive match because No.1 Remy Vercoutre is injured, while Lyon’s centre-halves continue to perform uncertainly regardless of who Garde picks.

Recommended Bet

Lyon v PSG Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.05

Milesey (Betfair)

3 Comments
  1. Milesey 11 years ago

    Kolkata Knight Riders v Royal Challengers Bangalore
    Sunday 9 May 2013 at 11:30 BST
    Live on ITV4 and itv.com

    Kolkata Knight Riders
    It had all started so positively for KKR when Brett Lee removed Unmunkt Chand’s off stump with the very first ball of IPL 6 to precipitate a comfortable victory over Delhi on the opening day. Since then however, it’s been a difficult tournament for the defending champions and after eight defeats in 13 games, a further loss here will cement their elimination at the end of the group stage.

    Kolkata have clearly missed Brendon McCullum who sat out the majority of the tournament with a hamstring injury before leaving the IPL to join up with New Zealand but perhaps the performances of Sunil Narine have been the main issue. The West Indian may still be in the running for the Purple Cap but the majority of his wickets have been tail enders and the suggestion is that the better batsmen have finally worked him out.

    There has, however been a late rally in the KKR camp and Limited Overs specialist Ryan Ten Doeschate should really have featured much earlier but while current form is good, the Knight Riders will struggle for points in this match.

    Royal Challengers Bangalore
    Virat Kohli is trying desperately to prove that RCB aren’t a one man team and the skipper’s stunning 99 against Delhi took him to third place in the list of leading run scorers in IPL 6. Chris Gayle is second on that list but when these two men have failed, there has been little support from the remaining batsmen.

    In the bowling department, Vinay Kumar has been a stand out performer but once again, he’s largely battled alone and needs better back up in tight games.

    This ‘three man team’ may be found out in the latter stages of this tournament but for now, Royal Challengers should be strong enough to take the win on Sunday.

    Venue and Conditions
    This is the first game to be played at the Ranchi’s JSCA Stadium in this tournament making it hard to judge exactly what a par score should be. When England played an ODI here in January, the tourists limped to 155 all out in 42 overs and while India chased that target down with 20 overs to spare, recent results suggest that this isn’t the fastest ground in the country.

    A total of 160 should be the minimum target for the side taking first knock in a game where sufficient cloud cover is expected to assist the seamers.

    Match odds
    Bangalore’s more consistent form over the course of the tournament sees them as favourites at 1.7 with Kolkata the outside bet at 2.2.

    KKR definitely have momentum and look a far better T20 unit with Ten Doeschate and Eoin Morgan in the middle order but I expect a significant innings from either Gayle or Kohli to seal the points for the Royal Challengers.

    Top Kolkata Batsman
    After making just 12 runs from three knocks, Gambhir returned to from with a half century on Friday and the skipper remains favourite at 3.4. Elsewhere, Ten Doeschate looks at little short at 6 but in contrast, the inconsistent Yusuf Pathan is generous at 7 and is my tip to finally make a telling score for Kolkata.

    Top Bangalore Batsman
    Kohli’s knock of 99 will see him attract a fair share of the market at 4 while the patient Cheteshwar Pujara has the capacity to bat through the innings and is in with a chance at 5.

    I’ve avoided the favourite so far in this tournament as he’s generally far too short but another Gaylestorm is overdue so take Chris Gayle at 2.52.

    Recommended Bet
    Back Bangalore to win at 1.7.
    *********************************

    Rajasthan Royals v Chennai Super Kings
    Start time: 15.30BST
    TV: live on ITV4

    Rajasthan Royals
    It is true that this is the most unpopular tournament in the world. The money, the greed, the garishness, the rumours of corruption. But if there is a heartwarming tale, Rajasthan are it. They are led by the esteemed and all-round good egg Rahul Dravid and it is fantastic to see them cocking a snook at the flashier franchises. They were sitting pretty in second on Saturday morning following a run of five wins in six matches. Dravid has recently praised the bowlers. No Wonder. Only Mumbai (by 0.10 of a run) and the Sunrisers have a more economical attack. Kevon Cooper was the star against King’s XI last time out taking three for 23.

    Chennai Super Kings
    Following a run of seven consecutive wins Chennai came unstuck against Mumbai. And how. They were bowled out for just 79. It was a bizarre effort considering in the match before against King’s they had posted a whopping 186. However, CSK got back to winning ways by beating Sunrisers. That just highlighted the lethargy against Mumbai. They scored an incredible 223 (remember our early statement about Sunrisers’ bowling?) with Suresh Raina hitting 99. Murali Vijay has returned to open the batting. Chris Morris, expensive against Sunrisers, will be under threat from Dirk Nannes and Albie Morkel.

    First-innings runs
    Here are the last nine first-innings scores in Jaipur over the last two seasons of IPL (most recent first): 154-178-171-144-179-124-144-162-170. That is an average of 158. Six of those were won by the side chasing but because the Royals have been so dominant at home that stat tells us more about their ability as a side under pressure. When the sides met previously Rajasthan posted 185 first up as one of the seven times they have batted first this year. However, they have scored more than 160 only three times.

    Match odds
    Rajasthan are unbeaten in Jaipur this season and Chennai face a stern test. Indeed, CSK were given an almighty scare in that previous meeting when they managed to chase down an intimidating total with only a ball to spare. That was typical of CSK. Often they look disinterested in a chase, reckoning they can leave it late. Sometimes it pays off. If we have a repeat we are sure for a cracking match in terms of entertainment and trading. But if you are one who prefers to let a bet run, our advice is to back Rajasthan. They have a great team ethic, their fortress is impregnable and, importantly, disciplined bowlers in the face of the second-best batting line-up in IPL. Rajasthan are 2.28 for this one and that is too big by about 18 clicks. Chennai are 1.69 and are a decent in-play lay.

    Top Rajasthan bat
    Shane Watson has put his troubles with his national side behind him and is having a fine tournament. Against CSK last time he hit a brilliant century, top-scoring with 101 off a bliserting 61 balls.

    Top Chennai bat
    Mike Hussey, wearer of the orange cap, won the gae for CSK v the Royals. His 88 from 51 balls earned him honours. But there were contributions, too from Raina (51 from 35) and Dwayne Bravo (15 from nine).

    Recomended Bet
    Back Rajasthan at 2.28
    *********************

    DOUBLE

    Bangalore to win at 1.7
    Rajasthan to win at 2.28

    Milesey

  2. Milesey 11 years ago

    TREBLE
    ————

    BARCELONA
    ADO DEN HAAG
    OVER 2.5 GOALS LYON V PSG

    9.40 / 1

    Milesey

  3. Milesey 11 years ago

    Gambrinus Liga

    Eight of FK Jablonec’s last 11 home games have gone Over 2.5 Goals and so have 8/10 Vysocina Jihlava away matches.

    Recommended Bet: Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.92 in FK Jablonec v Vysocina Jihlava

    Milesey

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