During the summer, the Spanish top flight became the destination for one of the world’s biggest goal-scoring superstars.
So how is the ‘Trofeo Pichichi’ race in La Liga shaping up with Kylian Mbappe's debut season at Real Madrid taking centre stage?
Best La Liga top scorer odds
The race for the Pichichi Trophy has seen Robert Lewandowski setting the early pace. But after his first goals of the season, Mbappe has quickly shortened at the head of the market. Here’s a look at the latest La Liga top scorer tips.
Kylian Mbappe – 5/6
After leaving Ligue 1, Mbappe now attempts to tear up the goalscoring charts in the much tougher La Liga. Unsurprisingly, Mbappe is the favourite in La Liga top scorer odds, but after a tricky Euro 2024 and failing to score in his first three La Liga matches, the odds-on quote seems overpriced.
Mbappe got his first La Liga goals with a brace against Real Betis, leaving him with two goals (one penalty) from an average of 6.5 shots per game in his first four La Liga matches. He should be in the running once he gets up and running, but his price to do so won’t improve.
- Betting tip: Under 2.5 goals and Mbappe to score anytime Bet Builder 8/5
Real Madrid visit Real Sociedad next. Six of the last eight meetings have ended under 2.5 goals, but Mbappe has to be considered to get one after opening his account.
Robert Lewandowski – 5/2
Barcelona’s Lewandowski powered four goals in his first four campaign appearances. Lewandowski, who won the Pichichi Trophy in 2023, could easily be back among the goals this season with new Head Coach Hansi Flick’s penchant for flowing, attacking football.
- Betting tip: Lewandowski first goalscorer and Barcelona to win 5/1
Barcelona are winless in three against upcoming opponents Girona. However, this is a different Barcelona on show this term, and the in-form Lewandowski could get them up and running.
Vinicius Jr – 10/1
Vinicius Jr tallied 15 league goals in 26 appearances for Real Madrid last season and is a decent quote to be the league’s top scorer. The price leaves room for the big question of how much his influence is going to be helped or hindered by the presence of Mbappe. Vinicius Jr could be the first Brazilian to win the Pichichi Trophy since Ronaldo in 2004.
- Betting tip: Vinicius Jr 2+ shots on target 6/4
Vinícius Jr is still a key man for Real Madrid, but hasn’t quite been at his best yet this term. A win for Real is expected, and Vini could get a couple of efforts away.
Raphinha – 16/1
Three goals in four games have given Raphinha half of his tally from the previous campaign. But 16/1 seems generous for a player who’s only reached double figures once in eight European seasons. Still, his early form makes him a dark horse in La Liga top scorer tips.
- Betting Tip: Barcelona to win and Raphinha 1+ assist 2/1
Raphinha rattled off a hat-trick in his last game, so his confidence should be sky-high and could get a goal involvement.
Our La Liga top scorer prediction
Everyone is looking for Mbappe to run away with the top goalscorer accolade. But the better value in the La Liga top scorer odds is on Lewandowski, who is already a proven top goalscorer.
His return last season of 19 goals was his lowest tally in a campaign since the 2014/15 Bundesliga, but he’s now the focal point of a much more attack-minded Barcelona side.
Article by Lee Jackson
Mr Fixit launched this website as a small project in 2010 to give him a platform to provide daily football tips to punters on the internet. The site has grown massively since, and while he is no longer with us, our aim is to continue his good work and provide our readers with solid tips every day to consider placing their bets on.
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