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This run of poor form is getting a bit draining now.
Seeing the Gavin Cromwell horse, Caman Rocco, drift out to 11/1 from 5/2 is absolutely ridiculous. Why would he send a horse to Catterick if it generally had no chance, or if they had no intent of winning?
I thought Keyboard ran well, and at points I thought he was going to win. He made a couple of errors, but overall, I don't think he has the strongest of stamina. He got tired towards the end, and the winner carrying a penalty ran away with it.
The first runner of the day cemented that I will never touch an amateur race again.
Highlands Legacy 2/1 (1pt) – Newbury 1.58
I was on the runner-up when Highlands Legacy won on his chasing debut at Worcester. I was then on Highlands Legacy last time out at Haydock when he finished second.
Despite not winning at Haydock, I thought he ran a very nice race, and the form has started to work out nicely.
The winner has managed to win again, and the third recently won a nice handicap at Cheltenham at odds of 33/1.
You can even go further down the form, with the fourth finishing second next time out at Newbury in a solid handicap.
The handicapper has put Highlands Legacy up 5lbs for the recent run. That could seem a little harsh, but with how the horses have come out of the race, he should be going very close at Newbury.
Storm Cracker 8/1 (1pt) – Newbury 3.08
I'm not going to change the way I approach picking horses, despite not being in good form. So with that said, a chance is taken on Storm Cracker on bumper debut.
It's strange that we're not seeing some of the biggest yards in this race having runners, as this is a track that Nicky Henderson likes to have runners at. There is also no Paul Nicholls or Dan Skelton runner in this, so I thought Ben Clarke's runner deserved a chance.
He is 2/4 in bumper races this year, with the other two being placed. That is a very solid strike rate.
His runner is related to a smart bumper from Anthony Honeyball's stable, Crackerjacque. That bodes well, and I like the fact that he is by Order Of St George, as that Sire has produced some smart bumper horses in his short stallion career to date.
Hypotenus 11/2 (1pt) – Ludlow 12.43
I think we will get some decent odds on Hypotenus, as he hails from a small yard, and that normally plays a big part in the bookies/punters overlooking them.
On last year's form, he is probably the one to beat. He ran a cracker at Sandown on his first start last year. He was behind Vincenzo and Doyen Du Bar; both horses are much higher in the handicap now.
His run the time after at Sandown was a solid effort, but not as good as the run the time before. After that, his form started to get worse on quicker ground.
As a result, his handicap mark has dropped to a very tempting mark. He showed that he isn't out of form, as he returned to the track with a solid second last time out.
If he has come on for that last outing, off an untouched handicap mark and now having a 7lb claimer in the saddle, I think he is the one to beat.
GambleAware