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If lucky to get anything close to the 9/1 SP on Snow Berry you were laughing, once again backing singles proving quite a profitable strategy. With only one other place we lose on the day but I can't help but feel mugged off by Molly Gunn.
I am pleased reservations about the trip for Sir Titan was on point but the horse doubled in price and I am afraid it was a fixed race. We were sent to the front, travelled effectively best for the longest way. Molly Gunn looked around for the challenges, began flaffing her arms about and embarrassed herself for the second day in a row, it is really not acceptable.
Mostar was put in as a place horse, he did the business, I didn't check rivals but what a shout by Rizzel, great insight and a massive price, been nice if he let me have that one ey.
Strangely enough I am taking chances on more apprentice's today which might be madness. I should have more time over the rest of the week and despite having an 8/1 on Monday and a 4/1 winner going off at 9s, the L15s been hitting the woodwork.
Attacanter Racing Tips
Aafor 7/2 4 places – 17.00 Salisbury
I pencilled in Oisin Murphy for Salisbury inspection. I am not going to bother check the rides for his long term employer Andrew Balding but I do like the chances of this one, despite hating going for the favs. Since writing we've drifted from 11/4, we can't over react, but it isn't a good sign – he stays in (given I have to go out).
If searching for a replacement, my risky one, carrying a penalty against the two biggest trainers in the country, King Casper could be of interest 5/2.
With an extra place, we could easily chance one with a bit more form in the book at a bigger price but despite being lightly raced, this horse showed enough last time to suggest it only finishes outside the top four if something is amiss.
Should it fail to place, it wouldn't be the best look but on the form, I am happy to chance, the trainer only has had 5 runners from what I can see, he got this horse from Joseph O'Brien, he ran well on stable debut 3 weeks ago off 90 at HQ. Oisin won that race on Mount Teide 2.75l ahead, he was upped 7lbs and came 3rd of 18 in a big York handicap recently.
Given the horse did OK at Newmarket, he should be fine with this course, it has a long uphill straight, the horse is also entered over further so should be capable of seeing it out.
I discounted a few outsiders at a glance, therefore he is a horse thrown in to hopefully boost the odds should we get lucky and see them all place. The obvious Pheonix Passion may have a say from a combo that is going well.
Darysina Gold 9/2 – 14.20 Salisbury
Finn Russell represents Ian Williams and Ryan Kavanagh, I chanced them last time when finishing 2nd for us with another LTO winner. His 3lbs today puts the horse back on the same mark as his win at Carlisle last time. Unfortunately he is top weight but he should keep up his effort given his win was at a stiff track over 1f further in a better race.
The 6/1 price has been lost, now around 4s, I am going to reluctantly take it on with a chancier one. Actually I could easily chance a good few, Monks Meads was pulled late, trainer had a winner yesterday and the claimer will be helpful at the price. I have flip flopped a few times but here's why.
The trainer, Eve Johnson Houghton has a great place strike rate here, 40% last two years, 12 winners from 84 runners over the previous four years is likeable too. She won a Group 3 race in this month last year which is also nice.
This horse has actually finished 2nd over C&D, the course is stiff and I was going to look for one who stays further but 2lbs above that, we take the chance despite here being a similar price to the Ian Williams runner.
Ian actually has entries at in other apprentice races elsewhere today, I couldn't recommend but Haliphon 8/1 was one I almost sided with and I still might select one from that race.
Back to my selection, she hasn't been out of the top 2 in her previous runs and as mentioned one was over C&D back in June, the winner went in agian next time whilst the 3rd won a week ago.
Atalanta Breeze 7/2 – 14.10 Haydock
Another apprentice race, I am asking for trouble today, truth be told I haven't even flicked through each card, stuff will be missed but the horse is in despite the price.
Marcus Tregoning hit a nice bit of form recently, his horse in this only raced 5 times last year but she is now chanced in this dropping back down in trip having run to an acceptable level. With soft in the going description and a steady uphill final four furlongs, I am hoping her previous runs were in preparation for this.
Her last win was almost exactly two years ago at Brighton over today's trip from 5lbs higher. Alice Tregoning keeps the reigns in what is just her 9th ride, we hope to see her picking up a second victory. The horse is 2lbs above her recent length 2nd and 5lbs below her last win from 2022.
Ian Williams is having a great season, Haliphon was at this festival last year contesting a race in which the winner received £50,000. He is back this year running off 24lbs lower in a race which would see him pocket a mere £3,000. His 3 length 2nd in July was off 8lbs higher, last year he was involved in the Racing League over 1m6f off 21lbs higher when a half length 2nd.
Rayena was noted when 40/1 last time, she hasn't show much at all and should be found out here despite being 6lbs lower than when 2nd to Sameem in June now on 5lbs better terms. Anyone but Fiddler's Green.
Sir Joseph Swan 11/2 four places – 14.00 Lingfield
Selections from three apprentice races is borderline embarrassing, but why not. I am doing so on the basis this trainer and jockey messed me about a couple of days ago – they're due!
For a long time, Archie Watson and Brodie Hampson have been thee combination when it comes to apprentice races. Brodie is on Fiddlers Green actually elsewhere for John O'Shea whose doing fine of late, I have actually took it on.
The horse is upped a couple of furlongs from his wins but may benefit from a poor pace the amateurs set. The horse is 8lbs below a win last year, I did initially think no Brodie = no chance, but she is not on purely because of a weight issue, which actually makes me a lot more confident that we can finally put a nice rice.
– Advised bet – Eachway Lucky15
WHAT IS A LUCKY 15 BET?
A Lucky 15 bet consists of 15 unique bets, covering every possible combination that comes from backing four selections. The 15 bets are broken down like this:
– 1 fourfold accumulator
– 4 trebles, with each treble omitting one of your selections
– 6 doubles, again covering every possible combination
– 4 singles
The attraction of a Lucky 15 is that it offers many more ways to win than a standard accumulator. A Lucky 15 uses both your acca and your singles as well as producing trebles and doubles that reward you for correctly calling 2/4 or 3/4 of your selections. To cover the 15 separate bets, a Lucky 15 uses your stake 15 times. If you were to place £1 on a Lucky 15, you would be staking £15 in total across the various bets.
